BITCOIN HOLDS ABOVE $75,700 — IS A MOVE TOWARD $78,853 NEXT?

Bitcoin is showing signs of steady recovery, gaining around 0.5% as its short-term bullish structure remains intact. But is this the beginning of a stronger relief rally or simply another temporary bounce?

My BTC outlook remains modestly bullish on the 1H timeframe.

- Market Structure: BTC continues forming higher lows, with the latest key higher low around $75,742. Buyers are defending the current support zone, keeping the short-term bullish structure alive.

- Key Levels: Immediate support sits between $75,690–$75,750, while the first resistance is at $76,350. A successful breakout could open the door toward $77,114 and potentially $78,853.

- Potential Entry: I would watch for a liquidity sweep below $75,750 followed by a strong bullish reclaim. A bullish engulfing candle or market structure shift on M5/M15 could provide additional confirmation.

- Upside Targets:

- TP1: $76,350–$76,500
- TP2: $77,114
- TP3: $78,853

Market Flow Check:

- Open Interest: $7.27B (+0.7% in 24H)
- Funding Rate: +0.0011%
- Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 1.21x
- Whale Activity: Approximately $1.3M sell order over 5 minutes

The flow data suggests relatively supportive buying pressure, although the whale sell activity deserves attention.

Important Risk Factor: The daily structure remains bearish, making this a counter-trend bullish setup. I would avoid chasing green candles and wait for proper confirmation.

Invalidation: A 1H candle close below $75,742.3 would invalidate the bullish setup and shift my short-term bias toward bearish continuation.

My Take: Bitcoin is holding its ground, but the next move needs confirmation. A clean reclaim of $76,000 could strengthen the recovery narrative. Until then, patience and risk management remain essential.$BTC

Not investment advice. Educational market analysis only.

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