#jobsreportraiseshikeodds — Jobs Report Just KILLED Rate Cut Hopes. +165K Jobs, Hike Odds Jump To 80%.
BREAKING Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET: The jobs report just came in HOT — and the Fed is now almost certain to HIKE in December.
Authentic
Payrolls: +165K vs +65K expected — 2.5X BEAT, more than double. Sept was only +29K (revised to +32K). This is the biggest upside surprise in months.Unemployment: 4.1% vs 4.2% Sept — DOWN 0.1, 7-month lowWages: +0.4% MoM — strongest since January, +3.1% YoY — but still below inflation for 7th straight monthRevisions: +84K added to Aug + Sept — labor market was stronger than we thought
Market Reaction Instant:
Dec Hike Odds: 80% vs 75% before report, CME FedWatch 77% +10 pts from Thursday10-Year Yield: 4.88% +4 bps — bonds sold offFed Funds: 3.75%-4.00% held Oct 28, vote 10-2 — 2 officials already wanted a hike
Why Fed will hike — insider quotes:
Cleveland Fed: policy must move to restrictive to bring inflation to 2%. Richmond Fed: “Inflation is too high. Path is straightforward. Question is pace.” NY Fed: “Inflation is absolutely too high. Too high for too long.”
This is not a soft landing anymore. This is hot labor + sticky inflation + Fed forced to tighten.
What it means for crypto:
Higher rates = stronger dollar = pressure on $BTC, $ETH, $SOL. When hike odds jump, BTC usually dips first, then recovers if jobs stay strong. Traders who bet on cuts just got liquidated.
But here's the twist: Wage growth 3.1% below inflation means real wages still falling. Consumers are working more but getting poorer. That's why Michigan sentiment is still near historic lows despite +165K jobs.
Fed meets Dec 8-9. Unless November CPI collapses, hike is locked.
Are you buying the dip or waiting for the hike?
#jobsreportraiseshikeodds #jobsreportraiseshikeodds coin#jobsreportraiseshikeodds
BREAKING Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET: The jobs report just came in HOT — and the Fed is now almost certain to HIKE in December.
Authentic
Payrolls: +165K vs +65K expected — 2.5X BEAT, more than double. Sept was only +29K (revised to +32K). This is the biggest upside surprise in months.Unemployment: 4.1% vs 4.2% Sept — DOWN 0.1, 7-month lowWages: +0.4% MoM — strongest since January, +3.1% YoY — but still below inflation for 7th straight monthRevisions: +84K added to Aug + Sept — labor market was stronger than we thought
Market Reaction Instant:
Dec Hike Odds: 80% vs 75% before report, CME FedWatch 77% +10 pts from Thursday10-Year Yield: 4.88% +4 bps — bonds sold offFed Funds: 3.75%-4.00% held Oct 28, vote 10-2 — 2 officials already wanted a hike
Why Fed will hike — insider quotes:
Cleveland Fed: policy must move to restrictive to bring inflation to 2%. Richmond Fed: “Inflation is too high. Path is straightforward. Question is pace.” NY Fed: “Inflation is absolutely too high. Too high for too long.”
This is not a soft landing anymore. This is hot labor + sticky inflation + Fed forced to tighten.
What it means for crypto:
Higher rates = stronger dollar = pressure on $BTC, $ETH, $SOL. When hike odds jump, BTC usually dips first, then recovers if jobs stay strong. Traders who bet on cuts just got liquidated.
But here's the twist: Wage growth 3.1% below inflation means real wages still falling. Consumers are working more but getting poorer. That's why Michigan sentiment is still near historic lows despite +165K jobs.
Fed meets Dec 8-9. Unless November CPI collapses, hike is locked.
Are you buying the dip or waiting for the hike?
#jobsreportraiseshikeodds #jobsreportraiseshikeodds coin#jobsreportraiseshikeodds
