PENGU: The 4h trend and the latest 15m directional balance are pulling apart.
🔴 SHORT
$PENGU /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Why this plan
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 41.6: supports SHORT.
The levels
Entry: 0.006591 – 0.006616
TP1: 0.006528 (-1.1% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.006478 (-1.9% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.006403 (-3.0% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.006703 (+1.5%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.44R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: TP1 offers 0.44R after assumed fees/slippage at the worst zone edge; first-target reward is limited (funding excluded).
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.006703, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 06 Nov 05:01 UTC | Expires 06 Nov 05:31 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$PENGU /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Why this plan
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 41.6: supports SHORT.
The levels
Entry: 0.006591 – 0.006616
TP1: 0.006528 (-1.1% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.006478 (-1.9% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.006403 (-3.0% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.006703 (+1.5%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.44R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: TP1 offers 0.44R after assumed fees/slippage at the worst zone edge; first-target reward is limited (funding excluded).
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.006703, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 06 Nov 05:01 UTC | Expires 06 Nov 05:31 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
