Tim Ferriss ran a year-long crowd prediction experiment with his 1.9M X followers, asking them to rank stocks and crypto picks. The results: followers nailed the stock rankings but completely missed on crypto.
In stocks, followers correctly predicted the order of performance. $PLTR held up best at -1.4%, followed by $SHOP (-6.5%), $UBER (-27.6%), and $DUOL (-36.4%). None gained ground, but the crowd ranked the losses accurately.
Crypto went the opposite way. Followers picked $BTC as their top choice, but it dropped -22.3%. Their second pick, $ZEC, surged +99.7% and was the only winner. $SOL fell -41.1% and $ETH dropped -29.6%.
Ferriss notes the timelines differed between asset classes, so longer-term outcomes remain uncertain. Returns measured from Nov 7, 2024 to yesterday's close for stocks, and today's prices for crypto.
In stocks, followers correctly predicted the order of performance. $PLTR held up best at -1.4%, followed by $SHOP (-6.5%), $UBER (-27.6%), and $DUOL (-36.4%). None gained ground, but the crowd ranked the losses accurately.
Crypto went the opposite way. Followers picked $BTC as their top choice, but it dropped -22.3%. Their second pick, $ZEC, surged +99.7% and was the only winner. $SOL fell -41.1% and $ETH dropped -29.6%.
Ferriss notes the timelines differed between asset classes, so longer-term outcomes remain uncertain. Returns measured from Nov 7, 2024 to yesterday's close for stocks, and today's prices for crypto.