Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$398.6M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$139.7M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$2.9M (Bitwise, Grayscale);
🔴 According to Polymarket, there is currently a 71% probability that the price of Bitcoin will exceed $80,000 this month;
🔴 Tether CEO: Tether currently holds approximately 150,000 BTC on its balance sheet;
🔴 The exponential decay oscillator for $BTC has returned to the 0% mark. It has reached this level five times previously—in 2012, 2015, 2018, 2020, and 2022. Each time, it marked the cycle low. This occurs once per cycle, and we are now witnessing the sixth instance;
🔴 Daily volume of newly mined assets: Bitcoin: 450 BTC/day × $77,000 ≈ $35m. Gold: 323,000 ounces/day × $3,950 ≈ $1.28 billion;
🔴 Nearly 72% of the capital invested in Bitcoin is held by individuals who have owned their coins for more than 6 months—a group classified as LTH (long-term holders). Only 28% is held by more recent investors—those who have held their assets for less than 6 months.
🔴 CryptoQuant: The current cycle stands in stark contrast to the previous one (2019–2021), when inflows from transactions under 1 BTC were consistently rising, averaging 2,700 BTC per month-nearly 10 times the current figures;
🔴 Santiment: Currently, for every "bearish" (pessimistic) comment about BTC, there are only 0.69 "bullish" (optimistic) ones; for XRP, this ratio is approximately 0.61. The situation for ETH is slightly better at 1.14, though investor enthusiasm has still notably declined compared to September. Such ratios help gauge when retail traders become overly confident or, conversely, gripped by fear. It is clear that the community is currently in the throes of intense fear;
🔴 Crypto sentiment is back in the "FUD zone." Historically, this has been a bullish signal, according to Santiment;
🔴 CryptoSlate: Binance’s Auto-Deleveraging (ADL) system could still forcibly reduce profitable Bitcoin hedge positions, even when the insurance fund and reserves are sufficiently capitalized.