🗳️ TOMORROW: US midterms — and $BTC history says watch out!
Nov 3 vote: Polymarket gives a Democratic sweep 72% odds ($51M+ wagered); Kalshi: House Dem 93.6%.
History: $BTC bottomed 71 days after 2014 midterms, 39 days after 2018, 13 days after 2022.
Q4 in midterm years: -17.3% (2014), -43.5% (2018), -14.8% (2022).
Bulls say bottom's in; bears eye $73,000. $BTC ~$78,500, holding above 100-day average $76,548.
3 data points don't prove a rule — but the pattern is hard to ignore. 👇
#bitcoin
Nov 3 vote: Polymarket gives a Democratic sweep 72% odds ($51M+ wagered); Kalshi: House Dem 93.6%.
History: $BTC bottomed 71 days after 2014 midterms, 39 days after 2018, 13 days after 2022.
Q4 in midterm years: -17.3% (2014), -43.5% (2018), -14.8% (2022).
Bulls say bottom's in; bears eye $73,000. $BTC ~$78,500, holding above 100-day average $76,548.
3 data points don't prove a rule — but the pattern is hard to ignore. 👇
#bitcoin
