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🚨 $SPCX IS BUILDING ITS BOTTOM IN PLAIN SIGHT
$137 now. Down 40% from the $225 ATH
This isn't a crash. It's weak hands handing the bag to strong hands
Euphoria at $225 → flush to $105 → Denial rally to $176 → now the phase nobody watches
That phase is 2-3 months of accumulation
Why? Follow the supply
~320M shares unlock Oct 24. Up to 1.3B more after Q3 earnings. Final 180-day tranche: Dec 8
Every unlock is supply. Someone has to absorb it. That absorption IS the base
The business isn't the problem, the float is. Q2 revenue +92%, Starlink at 12M subs, $100B cash
Retail capitulates, funds ladder bids all the way down
My bottom zone: $80-$90. Timing: December
Bounces to $120-$140 are sucker's rallies. Don't marry them
The real bottom won't feel like a bottom. Flat. Boring. Ignored. Silence is the signal
Then the structure flips: Bottom → higher lows → Belief at $200 → vertical
A reclaim of $140 in February is confirmation
Target: $300-$320 by April 2027. That's 3-4x from the zone, ~1.9x from here
Retail buys $250 “when it feels safe”. Capital buys $80
Invalidation: daily close above $180. Then I'm wrong
Your job: survive the panic with dry powder ready
First buy goes up HERE. Turn notifications on. Bottoms don't send invitations
🚨 $SPCX IS BUILDING ITS BOTTOM IN PLAIN SIGHT
$137 now. Down 40% from the $225 ATH
This isn't a crash. It's weak hands handing the bag to strong hands
Euphoria at $225 → flush to $105 → Denial rally to $176 → now the phase nobody watches
That phase is 2-3 months of accumulation
Why? Follow the supply
~320M shares unlock Oct 24. Up to 1.3B more after Q3 earnings. Final 180-day tranche: Dec 8
Every unlock is supply. Someone has to absorb it. That absorption IS the base
The business isn't the problem, the float is. Q2 revenue +92%, Starlink at 12M subs, $100B cash
Retail capitulates, funds ladder bids all the way down
My bottom zone: $80-$90. Timing: December
Bounces to $120-$140 are sucker's rallies. Don't marry them
The real bottom won't feel like a bottom. Flat. Boring. Ignored. Silence is the signal
Then the structure flips: Bottom → higher lows → Belief at $200 → vertical
A reclaim of $140 in February is confirmation
Target: $300-$320 by April 2027. That's 3-4x from the zone, ~1.9x from here
Retail buys $250 “when it feels safe”. Capital buys $80
Invalidation: daily close above $180. Then I'm wrong
Your job: survive the panic with dry powder ready
First buy goes up HERE. Turn notifications on. Bottoms don't send invitations