📊 $BTC TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — BITCOIN STRUGGLES BELOW $78,000

MARKET STRUCTURE

Bitcoin remains under selling pressure after its recent decline from above $81,000. Price is trading below the 4-hour EMA20 near $78,963, while RSI around 35 indicates weak momentum approaching oversold territory.

Recent stabilization around $77,100 has not yet produced a confirmed bullish reversal.

KEY SUPPORT

$77,100–$76,900 — Immediate support

$76,600 — Secondary support

$76,326 — Critical structural support

KEY RESISTANCE

$77,360–$77,650 — Immediate resistance

$77,900–$78,250 — Recovery resistance

$78,800–$78,963 — Major resistance

📈 BULLISH SCENARIO

A sustained 4-hour close above $77,650 could support recovery toward $78,250. Reclaiming $78,963 would materially improve the short-term structure.

📉 BEARISH SCENARIO

A confirmed breakdown below $77,100 could expose $76,600, followed by $76,326.

🔎 TECHNICAL CONCLUSION

OUTLOOK: BEARISH

BTC remains below its short-term moving average, with sellers retaining control.

Decisive range: $77,100–$77,650.

Until buyers reclaim $78,250, recovery attempts remain vulnerable.

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Source: Binance BTC/USDT Spot