$BTC | Square is asking whether Microsoft can deliver on AI, and on the desk I read that kind of doubt as a sign risk capital is shifting between Nasdaq megacaps and Bitcoin, not noise. My read: the mechanism matters more than the headline. Australians wanting AI exposure choose shares, a CFD, or an ETF, and the choice changes the risk. SatoshiMacro's guide to trading US stocks notes a single-name CFD on Microsoft sits under ASIC's 5:1 leverage cap, 20 percent margin, since one earnings miss can wipe a position an index fund absorbs. Brokers disclose 70 to 85 percent of retail CFD accounts lose money, a real limitation. The AUD/USD conversion on owning the shares outright runs 0.5 to 1 percent.
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