Fed decision today is a 90.6% lock for no change—real alpha is in the December guidance.

$DXY already near 2-week highs. If Powell leans hawkish, risk-off pressure continues across the board.

$BTC needs liquidity injections + actual bid-side demand to break structure. A dovish pivot helps sentiment short-term, but won't magically repair technicals.

Watch the dot plot and forward language. That's where the real move happens.