Risk 1.5%, Target 3%: The $ZEC SHORT Setup 🔴

TL;DR: short idea from 1,173.85, stop 1,192.04 (+1.5%), first target 1,141.72 (1.8R).
🧪 Research verdict: STRONG SHORT TYPE - coin weak while BTC holds (2y test: +0.18 to +0.38R)

✅ What supports it
1️⃣ Volatility is coiling
2️⃣ Bottom 10% in 30-day momentum
3️⃣ Lagging Bitcoin by 18% this month

🎯 The plan
⚡ Entry: 1,173.85 (limit, on a retest)
⛔ Stop-loss: 1,192.04 (+1.5%)
🎯 TP1: 1,141.72 (-2.7% · 1.8R) · ~91% touch in 3d
🎯 TP2: 1,128.38 (-3.9% · 2.5R) · ~81% touch in 3d
🎯 TP3: 1,119.29 (-4.6% · 3.0R) · ~75% touch in 3d
🎯 TP4: 1,110.19 (-5.4% · 3.5R) · ~69% touch in 3d
📐 Odds TP1 hits before the stop with no edge: 36%. That's why R:R must be ≥ 1.5.

🛠️ How I'd manage it
1) Limit order at entry, no chasing candles.
2) Stop goes in right after the fill and never gets widened.
3) Small partial at TP1, then trail the stop for TP2-TP4 (in our 2-year test, booking everything early cut the edge to ~0).
4) Risk ≤1% of capital, max 10x isolated.
❌ Invalid: daily close above 1,192.04
Key levels: support 1,141.72 / 1,123.53 · resistance 1,178.40 / 1,225.61
📏 7-day range (68%): 991.77 – 1,346.61. This band held on 74% of days last year.

💬 Would you take this trade, or wait for a better price?

Not financial advice · Data: Binance Futures
$ZEC #ZEC #TradingSetup #CryptoAnalysis
⚠️ Research by Pravin Soni - DYOR