Twelve months ago BTC was ripping to new highs around $126k.
Today it’s stuck in the $82k–$85k zone, sitting 25–34% below that peak, and Polymarket only gives it a 3% chance of clearing $130k before the calendar flips.
Options on Deribit are slightly kinder: 20–25% odds it even brushes $100k by December 31.
Nothing more.
The climb back from the $58k low was solid… yet almost nobody believes the old high is still reachable in 2026.
$100k is the real battleground now.
Anything higher feels like a 2027 conversation.
Dead-cat bounce or the calm before the next surge? Drop your take below.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare
Today it’s stuck in the $82k–$85k zone, sitting 25–34% below that peak, and Polymarket only gives it a 3% chance of clearing $130k before the calendar flips.
Options on Deribit are slightly kinder: 20–25% odds it even brushes $100k by December 31.
Nothing more.
The climb back from the $58k low was solid… yet almost nobody believes the old high is still reachable in 2026.
$100k is the real battleground now.
Anything higher feels like a 2027 conversation.
Dead-cat bounce or the calm before the next surge? Drop your take below.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BinanceSquare