Tap the live $BTC and $ETH widgets below to analyze open positions.

🌐 Macro Parameters

Fed Chair Warsh gave no signal on an October hike in Bangkok, saying he does not prejudge meetings, while CME FedWatch odds of an October hike fell to about 15% from about 27%. The 10-year Treasury yield is about 5.08%, Brent crude is about $105 after two hot inflation reports, and Goldman expects an October pause followed by a final hike in December ahead of the Oct 27 to 28 Fed meeting.

📊 Market Structure

$BTC is near $82,300, up about 2% from yesterday morning after testing below $80,000 on Thursday, with $82,000 as immediate resistance and $85,000 the next level. $ETH is near $2,450, up about 4% after recovering from below $2,400, while spot $BTC ETFs saw $5.06 million in inflows on Oct 15 and spot $ETH ETFs recorded $60.22 million in outflows.

💧 Allocation Framework

Staying defensive with cash and short-duration exposure remains one approach while inflation stays hot and a December hike remains likely. Holding $BTC and $ETH offers exposure if markets continue pricing in an October Fed hold, but resistance levels and uneven ETF flows remain important considerations.

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💬 Risk-on or risk-off?

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