This is exactly what I was pointing out last night on $ETH .

Many traders were confident that $2,406 would hold because it had worked as support before. But previous bounces don’t guarantee the next one.

$ETH tested that level multiple times, and buyers kept stepping in, expecting another rebound. Eventually, the support broke, triggering a sharp move lower.

Our target near $2,353 was reached almost perfectly.

Here’s the key lesson: Never rely on a support level simply because it has held in the past.

Repeated tests can weaken a level, while the growing number of buyers betting on a bounce can create additional selling pressure once support fails.

$2,406 held twice. Buyers trusted it again on the next test, but this time, the market moved against them.

That’s why I focus on price action, confirmation, and risk management instead of blindly chasing a potential bounce.

The best setups often come from understanding what the market is preparing to do, not reacting after the move has already happened.