September threw everything at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won. ⚡

The FOMC hiked for the first time since 2023. The 10-year Treasury broke 5.2% and now sits at 5.32%, a 24-year high. Oil crossed 100 per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act died in the Senate.

Bitcoin's response: dipped to ~75K on the hike, back above 80K within days, printed an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September +6.2% — the fourth straight green September and the best Q3 since 2017. The first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650M in short liquidations. Sentiment sits in Greed at 67, and $ETH held ~2,700 through the same storm.

Numbers per 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.

The bear case used its entire playbook in four weeks and lost every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — it just needs the bears to stop selling.

What's your $BTC Q4 target?

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September melempar semua amunisinya ke Bitcoin — dan Bitcoin yang menang.

The Fed menaikkan suku bunga untuk pertama kalinya sejak 2023. Yield obligasi 10-tahun AS menembus 5,2% dan kini di 5,32%, tertinggi dalam 24 tahun. Minyak menembus 100 dolar per barel saat serangan menutup Selat Hormuz. CLARITY Act gagal lolos di Senat.

Respons Bitcoin: turun ke ~75 ribu saat pengumuman kenaikan, kembali di atas 80 ribu dalam hitungan hari, mencetak level tertinggi 8 bulan di dekat 87 ribu, dan menutup September +6,2% — September hijau keempat berturut-turut dan Q3 terbaik sejak 2017. Penutupan mingguan pertama di atas 81–82 ribu sejak November lalu memicu squeeze 7% dan likuidasi short senilai 650 juta. Sentimen di zona Greed (67).

Angka per laporan outlook Q4 21Shares.

Argumen bear menghabiskan seluruh playbook-nya dalam empat minggu dan kalah di setiap posisi. Q4 tidak butuh gelombang pembeli baru untuk tetap bullish — cukup para bear berhenti menjual.

Berapa target Q4 kalian?

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro