🚨 BREAKING: Fed Rate Hike Odds Drop to 13.8%
Markets are now pricing in an 86.2% probability of no rate change at the October 28, 2026 Fed meeting, while the probability of another rate hike has fallen to just 13.8%.
📌 Current Fed Target Rate: 3.75%–4.00%
📉 Rate Hike Odds: 13.8%
➡️ No Change Odds: 86.2%
Why It Matters for Crypto
Lower expectations for another Fed rate hike could reduce pressure from tighter monetary policy and potentially improve overall risk sentiment.
Since Bitcoin and other risk assets can be sensitive to liquidity and interest-rate expectations, a further decline in hike expectations could be a supportive macro factor for crypto.
However, these are market-implied probabilities, not a guaranteed Fed decision. The actual outcome will depend on incoming inflation, jobs, and other economic data.
👀 Now the big question: Will the Fed keep rates unchanged in October?
#Bitcoin
Markets are now pricing in an 86.2% probability of no rate change at the October 28, 2026 Fed meeting, while the probability of another rate hike has fallen to just 13.8%.
📌 Current Fed Target Rate: 3.75%–4.00%
📉 Rate Hike Odds: 13.8%
➡️ No Change Odds: 86.2%
Why It Matters for Crypto
Lower expectations for another Fed rate hike could reduce pressure from tighter monetary policy and potentially improve overall risk sentiment.
Since Bitcoin and other risk assets can be sensitive to liquidity and interest-rate expectations, a further decline in hike expectations could be a supportive macro factor for crypto.
However, these are market-implied probabilities, not a guaranteed Fed decision. The actual outcome will depend on incoming inflation, jobs, and other economic data.
👀 Now the big question: Will the Fed keep rates unchanged in October?
#Bitcoin
