Kann AAVE-Crypto 200 US-Dollar erreichen? DIESES überkaufte Signal sorgt für Bedenken

ZeroBlock · 2026-10-02T11:17:17.000Z

AAVE hat einen Test über 200 US-Dollar Was meine Aufmerksamkeit auf AAVE gelenkt hat, ist nicht die 20%ige Wochenrallye. Das ist der Unterschied zwischen dem, was der Chart zeigt, und dem, was das Protokoll darunter tatsächlich macht. AAVE hat die Marke von 180 US-Dollar überschritten und sich wieder bis auf ein Niveau erholt, das man zuletzt etwa Anfang des Jahres gesehen hat. Der Token ist außerdem in letzter Zeit um mehr als 60% gestiegen, während AAVE/BTC seit vier Wochen in Folge zugelegt hat. Das sagt mir, dass es sich nicht einfach um AAVE handelt, das sich bewegt, weil Bitcoin höher gestiegen ist. Aber es gibt ein Problem. Das technische Setup wird immer weiter in die Länge gezogen.

AAVE Has A $200 Test
What caught my attention with AAVE is not the 20% weekly rally.
It is the difference between what the chart is showing and what the protocol is doing underneath it.
AAVE has pushed above $180 and recovered toward levels last seen around the beginning of the year. The token is also up more than 60% recently while AAVE/BTC has gained for four straight weeks.
That tells me this is not simply AAVE moving because Bitcoin moved higher.
But there is a problem.
The technical setup is getting stretched.
AAVE/BTC is already up more than 10% this month and the token is approaching the $200 area. After a move this fast some holders sitting near breakeven may start taking profits if momentum slows.
There is also a rotation risk.
Part of AAVE's recent strength appears to be coming from capital moving away from Bitcoin and toward altcoins. If Bitcoin dominance starts rising again then some of that capital could rotate back.
That would make the path toward $200 harder.
But the onchain data gives AAVE another layer.
Aave has reportedly processed more than $1.1 trillion in cumulative borrow volume.
DeFi activity is also improving. TVL reportedly reached almost $20B after rising around 18% from the previous month while fees crossed $37M.
That matters because it gives the rally something beyond chart momentum.
Price is rising while the underlying lending activity is also expanding.
Still I would not treat stronger fundamentals as protection against a correction.
AAVE can have growing TVL and fees while traders take profits at the same time.
For me the $200 area is therefore less about predicting whether AAVE reaches it and more about watching how price behaves if it gets there.
If buyers push through $200 with strong spot demand then the rally has another confirmation point.
If AAVE stalls below $200 while AAVE/BTC starts weakening then the recent rotation could be losing momentum.
The key support from here is around $180.
Holding that area would keep the current structure intact.
Losing it would make me more cautious about the strength of the breakout.
AAVE has real usage behind the move.
Now the question is whether demand can keep absorbing profit taking as price approaches $200.