$ALICE PLAN CLOSED A LOSS — TP3 MISSED BY 0.08% AND THAT STILL COUNTS AS A MISS
• Called 26 Aug at 0.1448 · spot 0.1478 (+2.07%)
Scoreboard so far: 1575 reached, 87 expired unhit — 94.77% of everything scored. Misses stay on the timeline.
• The full ladder published on 26 Aug, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.148295 — reached · published hit rate 75%
• TP2 0.15312 — reached · published hit rate 49.9%
• TP3 0.157919 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.1578, short by 0.08% · published hit rate 29.9%
• Invalidation SL 0.128367 — reached, 11.35% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.134054 — reached, 7.42% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.138315 — reached, 4.48% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
No ladder redrawn from a later price, no rounding up. The levels get graded exactly as they were published.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#ALICE #CryptoTrading
• Called 26 Aug at 0.1448 · spot 0.1478 (+2.07%)
Scoreboard so far: 1575 reached, 87 expired unhit — 94.77% of everything scored. Misses stay on the timeline.
• The full ladder published on 26 Aug, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.148295 — reached · published hit rate 75%
• TP2 0.15312 — reached · published hit rate 49.9%
• TP3 0.157919 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.1578, short by 0.08% · published hit rate 29.9%
• Invalidation SL 0.128367 — reached, 11.35% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.134054 — reached, 7.42% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.138315 — reached, 4.48% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
No ladder redrawn from a later price, no rounding up. The levels get graded exactly as they were published.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#ALICE #CryptoTrading
