NY Monday: risk-on. Oil down, yields down, AI back on.
đ Dow +0.7% to 52,049 · S&P +1.5% to 7,765 (0.4% off the record) · Nasdaq +2.3% to 27,122 â record close
Chips led (SOX +4.3%). AMD hit $1T. Meta +11%.
⥠Oil: Brent -3.4% to $100.34 (4th down day, off last weekâs ~$110 spike). WTI slump harder, toward the mid-90s / low-90s into Asia.
đ 10Y eased to ~4.95â4.96% (off 5.00%).
Driver: UN-week diplomacy hopes + Saudi flow repair. Weekend Houthi hits did not reprice crude higher.
âż BTC: squeeze. High ~$86,900, Asia ~$86,200â86,400. Best since January. ~$710m liquidations, mostly shorts. ETF cost basis (~$82.2k) recaptured.
đ Asia open:
đ„ Gold ~$4,350â4,370 (soft vs equities)
đ„ Silver ~$65.90â66.50
âż Bitcoin ~$86,200â86,400
Î ETH ~$2,660â2,750
XAU â Support 4,320 / 4,280. Resistance 4,400 / 4,420. Yields off 5% helps, but risk-on steals the bid. 4,400 still the line.
XAG â Support 65.00 / 64.00. Resistance 67.00 / 68.00. Follows gold; do not chase the FridayâMon bounce.
BTC â Support 85,000 / 82,200 / 80,000. Resistance 87,000 / 90,000. First Asia hour after +6% is not a buy signal. Lose 85k and the squeeze fades.
â ïž Relief rally, not a new regime. Oil back above $105 or 10Y back over 5% kills the bid. Goolsbee already flagging demand-side inflation. Next tape-mover: crude + PCE this week.
Cash is still a position if you missed the squeeze.
NFA. Confirm live prices.
đTRADE $XAU | $BTC | $XAG HEREđ
đ Dow +0.7% to 52,049 · S&P +1.5% to 7,765 (0.4% off the record) · Nasdaq +2.3% to 27,122 â record close
Chips led (SOX +4.3%). AMD hit $1T. Meta +11%.
⥠Oil: Brent -3.4% to $100.34 (4th down day, off last weekâs ~$110 spike). WTI slump harder, toward the mid-90s / low-90s into Asia.
đ 10Y eased to ~4.95â4.96% (off 5.00%).
Driver: UN-week diplomacy hopes + Saudi flow repair. Weekend Houthi hits did not reprice crude higher.
âż BTC: squeeze. High ~$86,900, Asia ~$86,200â86,400. Best since January. ~$710m liquidations, mostly shorts. ETF cost basis (~$82.2k) recaptured.
đ Asia open:
đ„ Gold ~$4,350â4,370 (soft vs equities)
đ„ Silver ~$65.90â66.50
âż Bitcoin ~$86,200â86,400
Î ETH ~$2,660â2,750
XAU â Support 4,320 / 4,280. Resistance 4,400 / 4,420. Yields off 5% helps, but risk-on steals the bid. 4,400 still the line.
XAG â Support 65.00 / 64.00. Resistance 67.00 / 68.00. Follows gold; do not chase the FridayâMon bounce.
BTC â Support 85,000 / 82,200 / 80,000. Resistance 87,000 / 90,000. First Asia hour after +6% is not a buy signal. Lose 85k and the squeeze fades.
â ïž Relief rally, not a new regime. Oil back above $105 or 10Y back over 5% kills the bid. Goolsbee already flagging demand-side inflation. Next tape-mover: crude + PCE this week.
Cash is still a position if you missed the squeeze.
NFA. Confirm live prices.
đTRADE $XAU | $BTC | $XAG HEREđ
