FOMC SEPTEMBER: WHAT’S THE FED’S NEXT MOVE?
The September FOMC decision is here, and markets are watching every signal closely. The latest August CPI showed headline inflation rising 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, while core CPI increased 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY.
The key question now: what comes next?
If the Fed delivers a 25bp rate hike, the immediate reaction across risk assets could be volatile. Higher rates generally put pressure on liquidity-sensitive assets such as $BTC and tech stocks, while gold may react to changing expectations around yields, inflation and the dollar.
But the bigger question is whether any hike would be a one-off policy move or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle. That will likely depend on incoming inflation, labor-market and economic data rather than one $CPIX.US print.
My focus going into the decision:
BTC — watch liquidity and post-FOMC confirmation.
Tech stocks — monitor Treasury yields.
Gold — watch $USDC and real yields.
I’m keeping position sizing controlled and waiting for confirmation rather than chasing the first move.
What’s your FOMC strategy?
The September FOMC decision is here, and markets are watching every signal closely. The latest August CPI showed headline inflation rising 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, while core CPI increased 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY.
The key question now: what comes next?
If the Fed delivers a 25bp rate hike, the immediate reaction across risk assets could be volatile. Higher rates generally put pressure on liquidity-sensitive assets such as $BTC and tech stocks, while gold may react to changing expectations around yields, inflation and the dollar.
But the bigger question is whether any hike would be a one-off policy move or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle. That will likely depend on incoming inflation, labor-market and economic data rather than one $CPIX.US print.
My focus going into the decision:
BTC — watch liquidity and post-FOMC confirmation.
Tech stocks — monitor Treasury yields.
Gold — watch $USDC and real yields.
I’m keeping position sizing controlled and waiting for confirmation rather than chasing the first move.
What’s your FOMC strategy?
