FOMC September: Is the Fed Preparing for a New Hiking Cycle?
The September FOMC meeting is bringing renewed attention to inflation, interest rates, and global risk assets. August core CPI reportedly rose 0.3% month-over-month, while market expectations for a 25bp rate hike this week have moved close to 90%. If the hike materializes, the bigger question is whether it represents a one-off policy adjustment or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle.
For Bitcoin, a rate hike could create short-term volatility as traders reassess liquidity conditions and risk appetite. However, BTC's reaction will depend on the Fed's forward guidance, real yields, and the strength of the U.S. dollarnot simply the rate decision itself. A hawkish surprise could pressure speculative assets, while a well-telegraphed hike may already be priced in
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