The market is standing at a critical turning point. After a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, attention has now shifted to today’s CPI data. The big question is simple: Will inflation force the Federal Reserve to hike rates, or will policymakers choose to hold?

My view is cautiously bea

rish in the short term, but not panic-bearish. If CPI comes hotter than expected, especially if core inflation remains sticky, rate-hike expectations could rise further. That could push Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar higher while putting pressure on stocks, Bitcoin and other risk assets.

However, a softer-than-expected CPI could quickly change the narrative and bring relief to markets.

For me, CPI is the key trigger today. I’ll be watching the headline number, core CPI and the market reaction rather than focusing on just one figure.

Bullish or bearish? The CPI will decide. 👀

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