Polymarket is now giving the CLARITY Act only an 18% chance of becoming law in 2026. That is a strikingly low probability for a bill that could become one of the most important pieces of U.S. crypto legislation. The market is pricing in roughly an 82% chance that the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act will not be signed into law this year. Polymarket’s contract has already attracted around $15 million in trading volume, making the odds a meaningful snapshot of where prediction market traders currently stand. The timing is crucial. The Senate is scheduled for a procedural vote on September 15, but clearing that hurdle would only allow the chamber to begin considering the legislation. The bill would still need to navigate debate, amendments, final passage and the House before reaching the president’s desk. #BTC Price Analysis# #BTC Above 60K# $BTC $XRP