From what I’m seeing in current valuation models, Bitcoin appears to be priced under where it “should” be. By these estimates, BTC’s fair value sits close to $85,000, while the market is hovering around $77,000. That gap suggests Bitcoin is currently undervalued.
Based on past market behavior, this kind of imbalance usually doesn’t stick around for long. Historically, Bitcoin hasn’t spent much time trading below its perceived fair value. When it enters these undervalued zones, the market often responds with relatively quick rebounds or gradual upward corrections to restore equilibrium.
This is something I closely monitor when forming a medium-term outlook for BTC. Periods like this have frequently acted as transition phases rather than long-lasting trends.
On the technical side, there are still unfilled CME gaps in play. In previous cycles, these gaps have had a tendency to close over time, often contributing to short-term volatility and directional moves. I see this as another factor worth keeping on the radar in the coming sessions.
To sum it up, in my view, Bitcoin is currently trading below its intrinsic value. When you combine valuation models, historical behavior, and technical signals, it points to a market that may still need to recalibrate to better reflect Bitcoin’s underlying worth.
