$BTC QUARTERLY BREAKDOWN 📊 | PART 2
Continuing our BTC top-down price action series. If you missed the yearly breakdown, you can check my page for Part 1.
Now let's zoom into the quarterly timeframe and see what the candles are actually telling us.
Q4 2025 was the big rejection. BTC pushed above $125K and printed a new ATH, but sellers stepped in hard and dragged price back toward the $87K area. That quarter marked a clear shift from the previous bullish expansion.
Then came Q1 2026. BTC opened around $87K, pushed toward $93K but failed to hold the move. Sellers took over again, sending price down toward the $68K area. No real reversal yet, just continued weakness.
Q2 2026 gave us another recovery attempt, with #BTC pushing back above $80K before getting rejected again. Price eventually dropped toward the $58K-$60K region, creating another lower high and lower low on the quarterly structure.
Now we're in Q3 2026, and this is where things get interesting. BTC has recovered from the $58K-$60K area and is currently around $64K, but the quarter is still unfinished. So I'm not calling this a reversal yet.
For the quarterly structure to start looking stronger, I'd want to see BTC reclaim $67.9K, then $75.6K, and eventually push through the $80K+ region.
For now, the quarterly structure remains bearish, but Q3 is showing a recovery attempt.
The big question is: Is Q3 building the foundation for a Q4 reversal, or is this just another recovery inside the larger bearish structure?
That's what we'll find out when we move down to the Monthly timeframe.
Big picture first. Entries later!
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
Continuing our BTC top-down price action series. If you missed the yearly breakdown, you can check my page for Part 1.
Now let's zoom into the quarterly timeframe and see what the candles are actually telling us.
Q4 2025 was the big rejection. BTC pushed above $125K and printed a new ATH, but sellers stepped in hard and dragged price back toward the $87K area. That quarter marked a clear shift from the previous bullish expansion.
Then came Q1 2026. BTC opened around $87K, pushed toward $93K but failed to hold the move. Sellers took over again, sending price down toward the $68K area. No real reversal yet, just continued weakness.
Q2 2026 gave us another recovery attempt, with #BTC pushing back above $80K before getting rejected again. Price eventually dropped toward the $58K-$60K region, creating another lower high and lower low on the quarterly structure.
Now we're in Q3 2026, and this is where things get interesting. BTC has recovered from the $58K-$60K area and is currently around $64K, but the quarter is still unfinished. So I'm not calling this a reversal yet.
For the quarterly structure to start looking stronger, I'd want to see BTC reclaim $67.9K, then $75.6K, and eventually push through the $80K+ region.
For now, the quarterly structure remains bearish, but Q3 is showing a recovery attempt.
The big question is: Is Q3 building the foundation for a Q4 reversal, or is this just another recovery inside the larger bearish structure?
That's what we'll find out when we move down to the Monthly timeframe.
Big picture first. Entries later!
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#