The $BTC Bear Market Clock Remains Undefeated Every major Bitcoin bear market in recent history has lasted roughly 365 days (about 12 monthly bars) from the cycle top to the eventual low. Historical Pattern > 2013 peak → 2015 bottom: ~406–411 days
> 2017 peak → 2018 bottom: ~363–364 days
> 2021 peak → 2022 bottom: ~376–377 days

The chart marks these with consistent “12 bars, 365d” rectangles. The current cycle, measured from the October 2025 all-time high near $126,000, is following a similar timeline. Where We Stand
As of mid-August 2026 we are roughly 310+ days into the decline. That leaves approximately 54 days on the historical clock if the pattern holds — pointing toward a potential cycle low window in early-to-mid October 2026. Past performance is never a guarantee, and this cycle has already shown shallower drawdowns so far than previous ones. Still, the consistency of the ~12-month top-to-bottom rhythm across multiple cycles is one of the cleaner timing signals Bitcoin has offered. The clock is still ticking. Are you treating the next 50–60 days as the high-probability window for a final capitulation, or do you think this cycle will break the historical duration pattern?

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