Fed Rate Odds Shift: Markets Now Lean Toward a Hold in September Traders are pricing a higher chance the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its September 16, 2026 meeting. Current probabilities (as of the latest data): > 350–375 bps (hold / current range): 63.9% > 375–400 bps (25 bp hike): 36.1% > Higher ranges: effectively 0% How the outlook has evolved: > One day ago (Aug 11): Hold ~51.6%, Hike ~48.4% > One week ago (Aug 5): Hold ~45.6%, Hike ~54.4% > One month ago (Jul 10): Hold ~30.4%, Hike ~51.2% The current target range sits at 350–375 bps. Markets have swung from favoring a hike earlier in the summer toward a clear preference for no change, driven by recent labor market data and shifting inflation dynamics. September Fed Meeting: Hold Odds Climb to Nearly 64% Does this shift in rate expectations change how you’re positioning risk assets into the September FOMC? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#