Bitcoin and Ethereum just closed July with gains. But August has a different story to tell. Here's what history says.
📊 Ethereum's August Record (Since 2016)
4 green months / 6 red months
Best: +92.86% (2017)
Worst: -34.79% (2018)
Average: +6.74%
Median: -1.74%
The takeaway: The positive average is misleading—it's carried by the 2017 surge. A typical August is more likely to be red.
📊 Bitcoin's August Record
Average: +1.06%
Median: -6.99%
Recent years:
2025: +8.13%
2024: +2.95%
2023: -4.02%
The takeaway: BTC's average is barely positive, but the median is deeply negative. Loss-making closes are more typical.
🧠 What This Means
Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin in July:
But August is historically the weakest month for both.
The averages are pulled up by a few strong years. The median tells a different story: August more often ends in red than green.
⚠️ The Bottom Line
History doesn't guarantee the future. But the data suggests:
Both assets are more likely to close August negative than positive
ETH's volatility is higher—bigger upside, bigger downside
BTC's median -6.99% is the cleaner signal
Proceed with caution.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is market analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.