$TMF
Analysis of the screenshot
Current: 33.08 USDT ≈ ₱2,033.10 | +2.26% today
1. Trend: Bullish short-term. Price made higher lows all night: 32.09 → 33.08. The MA60 33.10 is flat and price is hugging it.
2.Key levels:
Resistance: 24h High 33.48. Also rejected twice near 33.21-33.25 area on this 15m chart.
Support: 24h Low 32.09. Immediate support is 33.05 where price bounced earlier.
Range: 33.48 - 32.09 = $1.39 = ∼4.3% range today. Wider than TBT.
3.Momentum: 3 big spikes to 33.21-33.25 but no follow-through. That means buyers tried to break out but got sold. Now it's consolidating.
4. Volume: 12,546 TMF in 24h. Not huge, but better than TBT. Volume dies after each spike = profit taking.
Summary: Uptrend but stalled at resistance. It's coiling right under 33.10-33.25.
Perp trading = high risk. Use leverage carefully. This is education, not financial advice.
Play 1: Range Scalp
While it's stuck 33.05 - 33.25
Long: Buy dip to 33.05-33.06, target 33.15, then 33.20. SL below 33.02
Short: Sell rejection at 33.20-33.25, target 33.10, then 33.05. SL above 33.28
Why: Price keeps bouncing between MA60 and the spike highs.
Play 2: Breakout Trade
Wait for a confirmed break so you ride the momentum.
Long confirmation: 15m candle CLOSE above 33.28 + volume spike. Target 33.48 high, then 33.70. This means bonds are rallying hard.
Short confirmation: 15m candle CLOSE below 33.04 with volume. Target 32.80, then 32.50. This means the uptrend failed.
Play 3: Risk Management = how you actually win
1. Leverage: TMF is already 3x leveraged. On perps, use 2x-3x max. A 1% move in bonds = 3% in TMF = 6-9% with 2-3x perp leverage.
2. Stop Loss: Always. For longs put it 0.05-0.08 below entry. For shorts 0.05-0.08 above.
3. Position size: Risk 1% of account per trade. Don't go all-in.
4. Watch the driver: TMF follows US 20+ Year Treasury yields. If there’s Fed news, CPI, or bond buying, that’s what pops it. Also watch TLT and TBT.
#GrubMarketFilesConfidentiallyForUSIPO
#KoreanLawmakersWeighStateCompensationForETFLosses
Analysis of the screenshot
Current: 33.08 USDT ≈ ₱2,033.10 | +2.26% today
1. Trend: Bullish short-term. Price made higher lows all night: 32.09 → 33.08. The MA60 33.10 is flat and price is hugging it.
2.Key levels:
Resistance: 24h High 33.48. Also rejected twice near 33.21-33.25 area on this 15m chart.
Support: 24h Low 32.09. Immediate support is 33.05 where price bounced earlier.
Range: 33.48 - 32.09 = $1.39 = ∼4.3% range today. Wider than TBT.
3.Momentum: 3 big spikes to 33.21-33.25 but no follow-through. That means buyers tried to break out but got sold. Now it's consolidating.
4. Volume: 12,546 TMF in 24h. Not huge, but better than TBT. Volume dies after each spike = profit taking.
Summary: Uptrend but stalled at resistance. It's coiling right under 33.10-33.25.
Perp trading = high risk. Use leverage carefully. This is education, not financial advice.
Play 1: Range Scalp
While it's stuck 33.05 - 33.25
Long: Buy dip to 33.05-33.06, target 33.15, then 33.20. SL below 33.02
Short: Sell rejection at 33.20-33.25, target 33.10, then 33.05. SL above 33.28
Why: Price keeps bouncing between MA60 and the spike highs.
Play 2: Breakout Trade
Wait for a confirmed break so you ride the momentum.
Long confirmation: 15m candle CLOSE above 33.28 + volume spike. Target 33.48 high, then 33.70. This means bonds are rallying hard.
Short confirmation: 15m candle CLOSE below 33.04 with volume. Target 32.80, then 32.50. This means the uptrend failed.
Play 3: Risk Management = how you actually win
1. Leverage: TMF is already 3x leveraged. On perps, use 2x-3x max. A 1% move in bonds = 3% in TMF = 6-9% with 2-3x perp leverage.
2. Stop Loss: Always. For longs put it 0.05-0.08 below entry. For shorts 0.05-0.08 above.
3. Position size: Risk 1% of account per trade. Don't go all-in.
4. Watch the driver: TMF follows US 20+ Year Treasury yields. If there’s Fed news, CPI, or bond buying, that’s what pops it. Also watch TLT and TBT.
#GrubMarketFilesConfidentiallyForUSIPO
#KoreanLawmakersWeighStateCompensationForETFLosses