With the Senate back in session July 13, the CLARITY Act now has about 25 calendar days before the August 7 summer recess to clear a 60-vote floor threshold, and only Sens. Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks are locked in as Democratic supporters. Democrats’ alarm over President Trump’s disclosed $1.4 billion in 2025 crypto-linked income has tangled the bill up in ethics negotiations, as Galaxy Digital has cut its 2026 passage odds from 75% in May to 50-50.

Key Takeaways

CLARITY Act needs about 7 Democrats before Aug. 7; Gallego and Alsobrooks are the only 2 confirmed.

Galaxy Digital cut 2026 CLARITY odds from 75% to 50% as Senate delays cloud crypto policy.

Senate may release a new CLARITY draft next week, with 60 votes still the decisive hurdle.

The Senate is back on the clock, with roughly 25 calendar days before lawmakers leave for the August 7 recess and the CLARITY Act’s window slams shut. Clearing the 60-vote threshold means Republicans need about seven Democrats, but only Sens. Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks are currently locked in. The politics got messier after a disclosure showed crypto business entities tied to President Trump and his family brought in $1.4 billion in 2025, spiking Democratic alarm and tangling the bill up with ethics provisions. Galaxy Digital’s Alex Thorn has already cut his passage odds to an even coin flip, warning that “the absence of news is itself the news.”

The CLARITY Act’s shrinking window for action

Washington is back in session today, July 13, and crypto policy is staring at the calendar. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), better known as the CLARITY Act, missed an earlier July 4 signing target and is now boxed in by the August 7, 2026 deadline, when the Senate begins its summer recess. That leaves roughly 25 calendar days, widely framed as around 20 Senate working days, to move a bill that has become a proxy for how serious Congress is about setting rules for digital assets.

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