technicalanalyse

📉 Bitcoin-Dominanz sinkt — Kommt die Altseason?

Das wöchentliche BTC-Dominanz (BTC.D) Diagramm zeigt ein klassisches Verteilungsmuster. Historisch gesehen, wenn die Dominanz in der Nähe von Hochs ablehnt und wichtige Unterstützungsniveaus durchbricht, rotiert das Kapital oft in Altcoins, was den Beginn der Altseason signalisiert.

📊 Wichtige Fakten

BTC-Dominanz lehnte in der Nähe von 66% Widerstand ab
Aktueller Stand: ~58,6%, zeigt eine schwächende Struktur
Vergangene Zyklen: 55% → 50% Durchbrüche haben die Altseason ausgelöst

🧠 Markt-Einsicht

Wenn BTC.D unter 55% fällt, wird die Liquidität wahrscheinlich in große und Mid-Cap-Altcoins fließen, was den Wechsel von Pre-Altseason → Vollständige Altseason markiert.

🪙 Coins zu beobachten

ETH, SOL, BNB → erste Rotation
AI, RWA, DePIN-Sektoren → potenzielle Hoch-Beta-Fortsetzung

#BTC #Altseason #bitcoindominance #TradingView #TechnicalAnalyse

📊 Simple Guide to Moving Averages (EMA)

If you’re confused about which EMA does what, save this 👇

🔹 5 EMA – Short-term trend
🔹 10 EMA – Strong momentum
🔹 20 EMA – Dynamic support & resistance
🔹 50 EMA – Long-term support & resistance
🔹 100 EMA – First hurdle between 50 & 200 EMA
🔹 200 EMA – Last line of defence 💪

📌 Pro Tip:
When price stays above key EMAs, trend is strong.
When price breaks below, be cautious.

Trade smart, not emotional 📈 DeGO, FET .
#Tips #TechnicalAnalyse

@TopTrader 01 💥
#TechnicalAnalyse
Why the 10–20 SMA Strategy Still Works After 100 Years

Market Wisdom That Still Works
This visual highlights a time-tested trend-following strategy built on a 100-year backtest, using the 10 SMA and 20 SMA (Simple Moving Averages — not EMA) as dynamic trend guides and stop-loss levels. Its strength lies in simplicity, discipline, and alignment with long-term market behavior.

🔍 Core Concept

10 SMA (Fast Line): Best for strong, impulsive trends where price “surfs” above the average

20 SMA (Slow Line): Suitable for steady trends, allowing deeper pullbacks without exiting early

Both act as dynamic stop-losses, not just indicators

📐 Key Trading Rules

✅ Trend Following: Stay invested as long as price closes above the SMA
✅ 2–3 Touch Rule: After 2–3 clean bounces on the SMA, a decisive break = strong exit signal
✅ 7-Week Rule:
If price respects the 10 SMA for more than 7 weeks, exit immediately on the first close below it (no hesitation)
✅ Market Condition Filter:

Works best in trending markets

In choppy markets, whipsaws dominate → cash is king 💰

⚠️ Warning & Exit Signals

Failed breakouts

Outside reversal candles

First confirmed close below the SMA after prolonged trend strength

🚫 Critical Reminder: Never rely only on moving averages — price action confirmation is essential

📌 Strategic Takeaway

This strategy proves that trend discipline beats prediction. By cutting losses early and letting winners run, traders align with long-term market structure rather than emotions. It’s especially powerful for positional trading in equities, indices, and crypto during strong trends.

LINK , INIT