datarevisions

🚨 U.S. JOB MARKET: Calm on the Surface… Stress Building Underneath

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$PTB | $IRYS | $CLANKER

U.S. job growth remains weak heading into December, and the real picture is more concerning than the headline suggests. Economists are forecasting ~60,000 new jobs, which would drag the 3-month average close to zero — a level not seen since the 2020 crisis.

📉 Why this matters:

Every single month of 2025 has been revised downward after release

December’s data may look “okay” initially, but future revisions are likely to erase gains

Labor momentum is clearly fading, even if the headline avoids panic

Unemployment trending toward ~4.5%, hovering near multi-year highs

Hiring is slowing faster than layoffs, a classic late-cycle warning sign

⚠️ Bottom line:
The headline numbers are masking structural weakness. Job creation is stalling, revisions keep cutting past optimism, and the labor market is far softer than it appears. The real question is no longer if conditions deteriorate — but how quickly they do.

Markets often react late. Smart money watches the trend, not the headline. 📊🔥

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