cryptomarkets

Bitcoin’s price structure is once again forming a classic 1–2–3 market cycle, a pattern that previously marked major bullish expansions — most notably in 2021.
But the current environment is fundamentally different.
Unlike prior cycles that were fueled by speculative excess, today’s rally is being supported by strong macro tailwinds. Recent CPI data came in below expectations, reinforcing the narrative that inflationary pressure is easing. This has shifted market sentiment, with capital rotating back into risk assets at scale.
Over the last 24 hours alone, more than $120 billion in fresh liquidity has entered global markets — a level of inflow that historically precedes sustained upward trends rather than short-term relief rallies.
This is not a repeat of the 2022 environment.
This is a structural reset.
The Critical Range That Decides Everything
Bitcoin is now trading within a decisive technical zone. The entire market outlook hinges on whether price can break and close above the $72,000–$73,000 range.
A confirmed breakout would invalidate the bearish thesis and signal that the $60,000 region has likely formed a long-term bottom.
From a market psychology perspective, most sidelined participants remain skeptical — a classic setup where late buyers are forced to re-enter at significantly higher levels. Historically, this behavior has resulted in rapid price discovery phases.
If momentum holds, six-figure Bitcoin is no longer a speculative idea — it becomes a mathematical outcome of liquidity expansion and structural demand.
The smart money isn’t asking if Bitcoin moves higher.
They’re positioning for how far.

#bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #MarketOutlook #MacroTrends #CPI数据 #liquidity #DigitalAssets #BinanceResearch

🚨
Crypto and stock markets are heading into a heavy macro week, with key data like CPI, PCE, Fed minutes, Retail Sales, and multiple Fed speakers set to test rate-cut expectations after mixed inflation signals and rising geopolitical tensions.
Last week’s January CPI came in slightly below expectations:
• Headline inflation: 2.38% YoY
• Core CPI: 2.5% YoY (lowest since early 2021)
Markets initially reacted positively, pushing stocks and crypto higher on Friday — but weekend price action erased most crypto gains.
📅 This Week’s Key Events:
• Tuesday: ADP Employment + Retail Sales
• Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders + Fed Minutes + 10 Fed Speakers
• Later this week: PCE Inflation Report (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge)
Goldman Sachs has already raised its core PCE forecast to +0.40%, citing rising consumer electronics and IT prices. A global shortage of RAM and storage components — fueled by AI data center demand — is pushing tech prices higher, which weighs more heavily in PCE calculations than CPI.
📊 The CME FedWatch Tool currently shows a 90% probability of no rate change in March, meaning markets are highly sensitive to any surprise in inflation data.
Meanwhile:
• Total crypto market cap has declined
• $BTC remains range-bound after retreating from recent highs
• $ETH has dropped sharply
• Altcoins continue bleeding
The Kobeissi Letter warns that macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions remain elevated — suggesting volatility may stay high throughout the week.
⚠️ This is a data-driven week. Expect sharp moves around releases.
#CPIWatch #CryptoMarkets #BTC #ETH