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Bitcoin Falls Below $80K as US–Iran Tensions Hit Risk Appetite

Bitcoin slipped below $80,000 as renewed US–Iran military escalation triggered a fresh risk-off move across global markets.

BTC fell more than 2% to around $79,497 while ETH and XRP also declined. The move came after Bitcoin had recently reclaimed $81,000.

The immediate concern is oil.

Renewed US strikes on Iranian military targets and rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher as markets assessed the risk of supply disruptions.

That matters for Bitcoin because higher oil prices can increase inflation expectations, potentially reducing the Federal Reserve's room to ease policy.

The market is therefore pricing a chain reaction:

Iran escalation → higher oil → inflation pressure → tighter Fed expectations → stronger dollar/real yields → weaker risk assets.

Bitcoin is also still behaving more like a high-beta risk asset than a traditional safe haven during geopolitical shocks.

The key question now is whether this becomes another temporary selloff or a prolonged macro shock.

Watch $79K–$80K support, $81K resistance, oil prices, Hormuz developments, Fed communication and Bitcoin ETF flows.

If tensions ease and oil stabilizes BTC could rebound quickly.

If the conflict escalates, persistent inflation fears could keep Bitcoin below $81K.

The war created the headline.
Oil could determine Bitcoin's next move.

THE MARKET ISN’T BEARISH YET IT’S WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION.

BTC is around $78K after pulling back from above $81K. ETH remains near the $2,400–$2,550 decision zone while SOL is holding around $105 after reclaiming $102–103.

The important signal isn’t the pullback itself. It’s whether buyers can defend the levels they just reclaimed Analysis:

→ BTC: Structure remains constructive but momentum has cooled.
→ ETH: Above $2,400 keeps the bullish bias alive. A break above $2,550 strengthens the setup rejection could target $2,400–$2,350.
→ SOL: The move toward $110 after breaking $102–103 remains a short-term bullish signal.

Lose the key support zones and the current bullish structure weakens quickly.

Don’t chase the candle. Watch the levels. The next confirmation matters more than the last move.

Market analysis not a guarantee of future price.
$BTC $ETH $SOL

$2 TRILLION WIPED OUT IN 2.5 HOURS AS MARKETS REPRICE FED RATE RISKS

Global markets faced a sharp selloff after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh raised concerns about persistent inflation during the Jackson Hole meeting.

What happened?
Nearly $2 trillion in market value was erased across stocks, metals and crypto within roughly 2.5 hours, as investors rapidly repriced the outlook for U.S. interest rates.

Why did it happen?
According to market-implied pricing, the probability of a September rate hike jumped from approximately 34% to 61.7% within hours of Warsh’s remarks.

The move was accompanied by a rise in the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield, which reached its highest level in roughly a month.

Why does the 2-year yield matter?
It is highly sensitive to expectations for near-term Fed policy. When yields rise sharply, financial conditions tighten and risk assets can come under pressure.

Who was affected?
The selling spread across multiple asset classes, including equities, precious metals and cryptocurrencies, highlighting how quickly a change in monetary-policy expectations can transmit through global markets.

The repricing unfolded within hours following remarks at the Jackson Hole economic policy gathering, with the impact extending across major financial markets.

The key issue is no longer simply whether the Fed cuts or hikes rates.

It is how quickly expectations can change.

Higher-for-longer rate expectations generally increase the discount rate applied to risk assets, potentially putting pressure on high-valuation stocks, metals and crypto.

The market just received a reminder when inflation becomes the Fed’s priority, liquidity-sensitive assets can reprice very quickly.
$rAAPL $NVDAX $BTC

SOLANA JUST PASSED A CRITICAL INFLATION VOTE AND 18.9M SOL COULD STAY OUT OF CIRCULATION

Solana validators have approved a proposal to reduce the network’s future SOL issuance, potentially preventing nearly 18.9 million SOL from entering circulation.

The vote was unusually close.

The proposal required 66.7% approval to pass and ultimately secured 67% crossing the threshold by a narrow margin.

The outcome reportedly came down to the final minutes when a validator linked to Kraken changed its position, helping push the proposal over the required threshold.

Why does this matter?

Reducing new SOL issuance means fewer tokens will be added to the circulating supply over time. If network demand remains strong, a slower rate of supply growth could improve SOL’s long-term supply dynamics.

But this does not automatically mean SOL’s price will rise.

The real impact depends on how the new issuance policy affects validator economics, staking incentives, network security and the balance between SOL supply and demand.

The bigger story is not simply 18.9M SOL won’t be issued.

It is that Solana’s validator community has chosen to prioritize a lower future inflation rate a decision that could shape the network’s token economics for years to come.
$SOL

THE FED JUST SENT A WARNING SHOT TO RISK ASSETS.

Stocks and crypto came under pressure after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a more hawkish message at Jackson Hole.

Inflation is still not moving toward the Fed’s 2% target fast enough. Warsh said the Fed may need to take further action if underlying inflation fails to show clearer progress.

This changes the rate-cut narrative.

If inflation remains sticky the market has to price in the possibility of higher-for-longer rates or even renewed tightening that means:

→ Higher yields
→ Tighter financial conditions
→ Less liquidity chasing risk assets
→ More pressure on equities and crypto

And this is why Bitcoin reacts so aggressively to Fed rhetoric.

Crypto isn't falling simply because of one speech.

The market is repricing the liquidity environment.

The bigger question now isn't “When will the Fed cut?”

It's: “Will inflation give the Fed enough room to cut at all?”

Until that answer becomes clearer, volatility remains the trade.

$BTC $XRP

The News Events That Could Move Crypto Markets This Week

The next few days could be important for crypto traders.

Wednesday August 26 Core PCE Price Index

The Core PCE data will be one of the key macro releases to watch. It gives the market another signal on the underlying inflation trend and can influence expectations around the Federal Reserve’s next policy decisions.

A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the case for tighter policy and put pressure on risk assets. A softer print could have the opposite effect by supporting expectations for a more accommodative Fed.

Friday August 28 Jackson Hole

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

The headline itself may not be the biggest catalyst. The real focus will be on his language around inflation, monetary policy and interest rates.

Markets often react not only to what the Fed says but to what investors interpret from the wording.

And this is where the risk becomes interesting.

Crypto is currently trading at elevated levels, which means positioning and leverage can make the market more vulnerable to sudden moves. A major economic release or Fed comment can become the catalyst for a liquidity sweep, long/short squeeze or sharp shakeout before the market chooses its real direction.

So the key isn't simply predicting whether the news will be bullish or bearish.

It's being prepared for the volatility that comes with it.

If you have an open position around these events, review your leverage, position size, liquidation level, stop-loss and overall risk exposure.

News creates volatility. Positioning determines how much that volatility costs you.

$BTC $NVDAB
#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

TON DeFi Doesn’t Just Need More Liquidity. It Needs Better Access to It. This is where Omniston gets interesting. Built within the $STON ecosystem, Omniston approaches one of DeFi’s biggest problems from an infrastructure angle liquidity fragmentation. Liquidity can sit across different DEXs and RFQ resolvers, with each source offering different prices, depth and execution conditions. Omniston connects these sources, compares available quotes and helps route a swap toward the selected quote. User → Omniston → Multiple Liquidity Sources → Best Available Quote → Execution That sounds simple. But the impact can be significant. Instead of an application being tied to one liquidity source, Omniston creates a pathway to access liquidity across multiple venues. For users, that can improve: → Price discovery → Execution efficiency → Liquidity access → Slippage management For builders, the value is different. They don't necessarily need to build isolated liquidity infrastructure for every application. They can leverage an aggregation layer designed to connect existing liquidity. And this is where I think the bigger opportunity sits. TON DeFi doesn't necessarily need dozens of disconnected liquidity pools. It needs infrastructure that makes those pools work together. As the ecosystem expands, aggregation and routing become increasingly important because having liquidity is only half the equation. The other half is being able to reach it efficiently. That's the role Omniston is positioning itself to play. Not another isolated liquidity venue. A connectivity layer for TON's growing liquidity landscape. And if $GRAM DeFi continues to scale, that infrastructure could become far more important than it looks today. $BMT $BTR  $FARTCOIN #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects# #BTC Price Analysis# #DeFi

$STON ISN’T JUST ADDING LIQUIDITY IT’S CHANGING HOW LIQUIDITY WORKS. Most DeFi pools still force LPs into a simple 50/50 structure. $STON is taking a different approach with Weighted Stable Swap (WSS) and Weighted Constant Product Invariant (WCPI) pools on TON. The important part isn't simply the introduction of two new pool types. It’s the control they give liquidity providers. With weighted pools capital doesn't have to be distributed evenly between assets. LPs can design positions around the characteristics of the assets and the strategy they want to pursue. That can matter in several ways: → Stable assets: more efficient liquidity distribution and potentially lower slippage. → Volatile assets: greater control over asset exposure and capital allocation. → LP strategies: less dependence on rigid 50/50 positioning. → Market depth: liquidity can be structured around actual trading demand. This is where the upgrade becomes more interesting. DeFi liquidity isn't only about how much capital is deposited. It's about how efficiently that capital is positioned. If $STON can attract more sophisticated LP strategies, WSS and WCPI could help strengthen liquidity quality across TON while giving users more flexibility over their capital. For a growing $GRAM ecosystem, that infrastructure layer matters. The next phase of DeFi may not be about putting more money into pools. It may be about making every dollar of liquidity work harder. $BTC $SOL #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights#

THE BIGGEST APY CAN BE A TRAP. A higher number on the screen doesn’t automatically mean higher returns. That became clear to me while going through $STON ’s latest insights. Two strategies can advertise completely different APYs, yet the one with the lower headline yield can leave you with more profit. Why? Because the real calculation starts after the APY. → Gas fees → Bridge costs → Slippage → Available liquidity → Execution efficiency Once these are included advertised APY becomes only one part of the equation. This is where Omniston caught my attention. Its resolver-based routing is designed around how efficiently a swap is executed, rather than simply treating cross-chain activity as an asset-transfer problem. That distinction matters. As DeFi expands across $GRAM and other ecosystems, capital will have more places to move but also more friction to navigate. So I think the smarter question is changing: Not: “Which pool offers the highest APY?” But: “After every cost, where does my capital actually perform best?” That is the difference between chasing yield and optimizing returns. And with $GRAM Wallet getting closer to its Telegram launch, the next opportunity may not just be for users. It could be for builders. Stonfiers we’re going live in a few moments to explore what Telegram-native crypto could look like and what the Gram Wallet ecosystem might unlock. Gram Wallet is coming to Telegram. What are you building? @ston_fi $BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights#

The real upgrade isn’t X Layer. It’s what users no longer have to think about. StonFi just connected X Layer to its expanding cross-chain ecosystem, bringing USDC and USDT0 into a unified swap flow across $GRAM and other supported networks. Omniston handles the complicated part routing, execution and settlement while users simply choose what they want to swap. No manual bridging. No jumping between chains. No guessing how much they’ll receive. Most swaps can complete in 15–40 seconds, with the expected output visible before confirmation. This is bigger than adding another network. Every new integration makes StonFi’s liquidity layer more useful. The long-term goal is clear chain abstraction where the infrastructure handles the complexity and users focus on the outcome. X Layer strengthens that direction by adding more stablecoin liquidity and another route into TON’s growing on-chain economy. At launch X Layer swaps are capped at $1000 per transaction. The more networks StonFi connects the less relevant the question “Which chain am I on?” becomes. That’s the real unlock. 🔗 Learn more: @ston_fi $BTC #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights# #STONfi

Liquidity fragmentation is one of the quiet inefficiencies holding DeFi back. The problem isn’t always a lack of liquidity. It’s that liquidity is often spread across different pools and sources, making it harder to find the best execution. That’s the problem @ston_fi is addressing with Omniston. Rather than creating another isolated DEX, Omniston connects liquidity from multiple sources and helps route trades more efficiently. The result can be: → Better access to liquidity → More efficient trade routing → Stronger price discovery → Lower potential slippage For developers Omniston provides a way to access aggregated liquidity through a single integration. For liquidity providers it expands the number of applications through which their liquidity can be accessed. And this is where the bigger picture becomes interesting. As the GRAM$GRAM ecosystem grows, liquidity infrastructure becomes increasingly important. Because having liquidity is one thing. Making that liquidity easy to discover, access and use efficiently is another. That’s the role Omniston is designed to play. $BTC #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights# #STONfi

Hyperliquid perps on Telegram is interesting. But Omniston is the part I’m watching. WenLong is bringing leveraged Hyperliquid trading into Telegram with Omniston handling the cross-chain execution underneath. The flow is straightforward: TON USDT → USDC on Arbitrum → Hyperliquid → Open Perp Users can start with GRAM$GRAM or USDT in a TON wallet without manually navigating bridges, swaps and multiple networks. That’s the bigger insight. Omniston isn’t competing for attention at the front end. It is solving the infrastructure problem underneath it connecting liquidity and assets across ecosystems while keeping the user experience simple. For Web3 adoption this matters. The best cross-chain infrastructure may eventually be the infrastructure users never notice. More chains should mean more possibilities not more complexity. Follow Omniston: omni.ston.fi/ $BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects# #Macro Insights#  #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

The real upgrade isn’t X Layer. It’s what users no longer have to think about. StonFi just connected X Layer to its expanding cross-chain ecosystem, bringing USDC and USDT0 into a unified swap flow across GRAM$GRAM and other supported networks. Omniston handles the complicated part routing, execution and settlement while users simply choose what they want to swap. No manual bridging. No jumping between chains. No guessing how much they’ll receive. Most swaps can complete in 15–40 seconds, with the expected output visible before confirmation. This is bigger than adding another network. Every new integration makes StonFi’s liquidity layer more useful. The long-term goal is clear chain abstraction where the infrastructure handles the complexity and users focus on the outcome. X Layer strengthens that direction by adding more stablecoin liquidity and another route into TON’s growing on-chain economy. At launch X Layer swaps are capped at $1000 per transaction. The more networks StonFi connects the less relevant the question “Which chain am I on?” becomes. That’s the real unlock. 🔗 Learn more: @ston_fi $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights# #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects#

The real upgrade isn’t X Layer. It’s what users no longer have to think about. StonFi just connected X Layer to its expanding cross-chain ecosystem, bringing USDC and USDT0 into a unified swap flow across $GRAM and other supported networks. Omniston handles the complicated part routing, execution, and settlement while users simply choose what they want to swap. No manual bridging. No jumping between chains. No guessing how much they’ll receive. Most swaps can complete in 15–40 seconds, with the expected output visible before confirmation. This is bigger than adding another network. Every new integration makes StonFi’s liquidity layer more useful. The long-term goal is clear chain abstraction where the infrastructure handles the complexity and users focus on the outcome. X Layer strengthens that direction by adding more stablecoin liquidity and another route into TON’s growing onchain economy. At launch X Layer swaps are capped at $1,000 per transaction. The more networks StonFi connects the less relevant the question “Which chain am I on?” becomes. That’s the real unlock. 🔗 Learn more: @ston_fi $XL1 $XYO $APTM $HEMI #Macro Insights# #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects#

Hyperliquid perps on Telegram is interesting. But Omniston is the part I’m watching. WenLong is bringing leveraged Hyperliquid trading into Telegram with Omniston handling the cross-chain execution underneath. The flow is straightforward: TON USDT → USDC on Arbitrum → Hyperliquid → Open Perp Users can start with $GRAM or USDT in a TON wallet without manually navigating bridges, swaps and multiple networks. That’s the bigger insight. Omniston isn’t competing for attention at the front end. It is solving the infrastructure problem underneath it connecting liquidity and assets across ecosystems while keeping the user experience simple. For Web3 adoption this matters. The best cross-chain infrastructure may eventually be the infrastructure users never notice. More chains should mean more possibilities not more complexity. Follow Omniston: https://omni.ston.fi/ $HEMI $ANTFUN $ON $H #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects# #Macro Insights# #DeFi #STONfi #Crypto#

More DEXs don’t automatically mean better DeFi but Better liquidity access does. That’s why OMNISTON integrating with Telegram’s non-custodial $GRAM Wallet is worth watching. OMNISTON aggregates liquidity across the ecosystem, helping route swaps toward more efficient execution instead of relying on a single liquidity source. But the bigger story is $STON ’s infrastructure. Its SDK is already integrated across multiple $GRAM projects. As OMNISTON expands, those integrations can potentially tap into broader liquidity without rebuilding their swap infrastructure. That creates a simple flywheel: More integrations → better liquidity access → better execution → stronger DeFi infrastructure. Although this shows where $GRAM DeFi is heading not just more DEXs but better-connected liquidity. The infrastructure may be invisible to users, but its impact won't be. Explore the $GRAM ecosystem: $GRAM Community $BTW $LDO $H $ANTFUN #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects# #Macro Insights# #DeFi #Web3 #Crypto#

The 200W MA Is Giving Bitcoin a Different Signal This Time. In 2022 $BTC lost the 200-week moving average and failed to reclaim it. Rebounds were repeatedly rejected and the 200W MA eventually became resistance. This time the reaction has been different. BTC dipped into the same long-term zone, then recovered toward $64.8K while the short-term structure began developing higher lows. The important point isn’t simply that BTC traded below the 200W MA. It’s whether the market can accept below it. A temporary breakdown followed by a reclaim tells a different story from a sustained move beneath the level. If sellers cannot maintain price below the 200W MA, the failed breakdown may indicate that supply around these lower levels is being absorbed. That would make the current structure meaningfully different from 2022. Long-term moving averages are useful because they show how the market behaves around historically important valuation zones. The reaction matters more than the first move through the level. If BTC keeps reclaiming the 200W MA and continues printing higher lows, the current breakdown could eventually be viewed as a failed bearish signal rather than the beginning of another 2022-style acceptance below fair value. This interpretation is not confirmed. If BTC begins closing multiple weeks below the 200W MA and fails to reclaim it, the bearish case becomes considerably stronger. That would suggest the market is no longer rejecting lower prices it is accepting them. For now I’m watching acceptance, not just the breakdown. 2022 showed what happened when Bitcoin lost the 200W MA and stayed below it. 2026 may be testing whether the opposite can happen. Same level. Different reaction. And the reaction is what matters. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

The best swap rate shouldn’t depend on which DEX you check first. That’s the problem Omniston is designed to solve on @ton_blockchain. Instead of forcing users to manually compare different liquidity sources, Omniston checks rates across multiple DEXs in real time and routes the trade through the most competitive option available. The important part isn’t just better execution. It’s liquidity aggregation. By bringing fragmented liquidity into one routing layer, Omniston can make swaps more efficient while giving users access to deeper opportunities across the TON ecosystem. And the integration goes beyond crypto-native assets. Omniston now unlocks 9 tokenized stocks directly in My Wallet: $Apple, $AMZNon , $COINX , $rGOOGL , $- , $MSTRX , $NVDAon , $Nasdaq-100 and $TESLA . That creates a more interesting direction for $GRAM : DeFi liquidity and real-world assets seamless execution in one experience. The real test is whether this infrastructure can turn fragmented liquidity and tokenized assets into meaningful everyday usage. Explore Omniston: @ston_fi #Macro Insights# #STONfi #DeFi #BTC Price Analysis# #CMC Launch: Aster#

Liquidity fragmentation is one of the quiet inefficiencies holding DeFi back. The problem isn’t always a lack of liquidity. It’s that liquidity is often spread across different pools and sources, making it harder to find the best execution. That’s the problem @ston_fi is addressing with Omniston. Rather than creating another isolated DEX, Omniston connects liquidity from multiple sources and helps route trades more efficiently. The result can be: → Better access to liquidity → More efficient trade routing → Stronger price discovery → Lower potential slippage For developers Omniston provides a way to access aggregated liquidity through a single integration. For liquidity providers it expands the number of applications through which their liquidity can be accessed. And this is where the bigger picture becomes interesting. As the $GRAM ecosystem grows, liquidity infrastructure becomes increasingly important. Because having liquidity is one thing. Making that liquidity easy to discover, access, and use efficiently is another. That’s the role Omniston is designed to play. $STON $PORTAL $BTW $XRP #Macro Insights# #STONfi #Omniston

How Does STON.fi DAO Governance Work? A strong DeFi ecosystem is not built by developers alone. It grows when the community has a voice, participates in important discussions and helps shape the future. That’s the role of STON.fi DAO Governance It gives community members the opportunity to actively contribute to the protocol’s evolution by: • Sharing ideas and discussing potential improvements • Submitting proposals for community consideration • Participating in governance votes • Collaborating with other members to shape the ecosystem • Promoting greater transparency and community participation The idea is simple: STON.fi is built with its community not just for its community. The more informed and engaged the community becomes stronger and more resilient the ecosystem can be. Before participating in governance or using any DeFi protocol always DYOR and understand the risks involved. #STONfi $GRAM #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects#