A robust trend trading strategy for DUSK in 2026 should leverage its unique position as a "compliant privacy" infrastructure for real-world assets (RWAs) while accounting for the current split in market sentiment.
1. Trend Identification & Core Indicators
Primary Filter: Use the 200-day Moving Average (MA) to determine the macro trend. As of early February, DUSK's 200-day MA is sloping up, indicating a strong long-term structural trend despite recent short-term pullbacks.
Momentum Filter: Monitor the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Current price action is testing support near the $0.100 level. A sustained hold above this level serves as a bullish trigger for continuation.
Strength Confirmation: Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to avoid overextended entries. The current daily RSI of 47 suggests bearish momentum is fading, but a move above the neutral 50 level is required to confirm a trend resumption.
2. Strategic Entry and Exit Points
Buy Zone: Focus on "value" entries near structural support between $0.098 and $0.110. Long bets have been increasing as price defends these levels.
Bullish Breakout Trigger: A decisive close above the $0.176–$0.190 resistance zone, which aligns with a forming inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, could target a move back toward $0.33.
Stop-Loss Management: Place protective stops below the 100-day EMA at $0.082. A daily close below this level would invalidate the current bullish structure and signal a deeper correction.
3. Fundamental Catalysts to Watch
NPEX dApp Launch (Q1 2026): The integration with the Dutch exchange NPEX is expected to bring €300 million+ in tokenized securities on-chain, acting as a major liquidity driver.
EU Regulatory Shifts (March 2026): Decisions regarding the EU DLT Pilot Regime extension could either accelerate or constrain DUSK's adoption in European financial markets.
Whale Activity: Monitor top 100 addresses; recent data shows aggressive accumulation by large holders during price dips, suggesting long-term conviction.
Key Risks & Considerations
Volatility: DUSK remains a mid-cap token with high price fluctuations. The recent 38% weekly correction highlights the need for strict position sizing.
Liquidity: The recent delisting of DUSK leveraged tokens on KuCoin (February 2, 2026) may impact short-term liquidity, though new listings on other major exchanges like HTX partially offset this.
