The Four Times Bear: Is Bitcoins Rare Monthly MACD Reversal a Systematic Warning

For the first time since February 2022, Bitcoin has printed a rare sell signal on the monthly MACD indicator. Historically, this technical event is exceptionally infrequent, with only four occurrences recorded in the asset’s entire trading history. Professional analysts are closely monitoring this development as Bitcoin struggles to maintain equilibrium near eighty-eight thousand dollars, following a failure to decisively breach the six-figure resistance. While long-term holders reference the halving cycle theory to suggest further upside, the monthly MACD cross historically precedes significant structural corrections or prolonged consolidation phases. Inter-market data further complicates the bullish narrative, as high-yield credit momentum hovers at a critical fifty percent threshold, often serving as a leading indicator for broad risk-off sentiment. If this monthly signal confirms, the current stagnation may resolve through a deep liquidity sweep toward the eighty-five thousand dollar range or lower. For disciplined participants, this signal represents a mandatory shift toward defensive positioning before the 2026 cycle transition.$BTC