Bitcoin’s Volatility Spring Is Coiled for Expansion

Markets cycle between compression and expansion.

Compression is unstable.

It usually resolves with a larger move.

What history says from this exact state:

• 3M: 84% positive, +23% median

• 6M: 88% positive, +57% median

• 12M: 100% positive, +152% median

Most important number right now:

+57% (6-month median return from compression).

Takeaway:

Historically, the release has favored upside.