Bitcoin (BTC) encountered challenges around the 200-week trend line during Thursday's Wall Street opening, raising concerns about potential bearish acceleration. According to Cointelegraph, the cryptocurrency is threatening to add the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) to its list of new resistance levels. Historical data suggests that when Bitcoin's price rejects from this key trend line, it could lead to further price declines.
Data from TradingView indicated that BTC price action was concentrated around $67,000 for the second consecutive day. Bulls are struggling to regain momentum, preventing them from reclaiming the previous all-time high of $69,000 set in 2021. The 200-week EMA has emerged as a potential new resistance level, with trader and analyst Rekt Capital warning that failing to rescue the 200-week EMA could result in further price downside. He noted that historically, a weekly close below the 200-week EMA followed by a retest of the EMA as new resistance has triggered additional bearish acceleration.
The analysis had hoped that the EMA would serve as a long-term BTC price floor before last week's break below $60,000. Together with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA), it now forms a "cloud" of support that the price has so far avoided violating. Despite the bearish outlook, William Clemente, head of strategy at crypto over-the-counter settlement platform Styx, sees a buying opportunity. He highlighted that throughout Bitcoin's lifespan, two indicators—the Mayer Multiple and the 200-week moving average—have consistently signaled global market bottoms. Both indicators are currently in long-term accumulation territory.
Continuing the discussion, the X analytics account named after economist Frank Fetter emphasized the rarity of current Mayer Multiple readings. The Multiple is a well-known Bitcoin price yardstick, with readings below 0.8 traditionally indicating good long-term odds of returns. Conversely, a reading above 2.4 suggests caution. The account noted that only 5.3% of days have seen the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple at a lower level, suggesting that BTC is currently undervalued. As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin last experienced such low Mayer Multiple levels during the 2022 bear market. Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, agreed, stating that while the price could go lower, the current levels historically represent one of the best buy signals in Bitcoin's history.
