dyor

Sledoval jsem 3 býčí trhy, jak ničí milionáře. Tady je vzor, který všichni přehlédli:
Každý si myslí, že je dost chytrý, aby se svezl na vlně a vystoupil na vrcholu. Není. A pravděpodobně ty taky nejsi.
Takhle to OPRAVDU probíhá:
🔻 Fáze 1: Hřbitov
Trh je mrtvý. Tvé tašky klesly o 70 %. Všichni, které znáš, prodali se ztrátou a přísahali, že s kryptoměnami skončili navždy. Ale podívej se blíže - data z peněženky ukazují, že velryby nakupují. Chytré peníze nakupují, zatímco krev teče v ulicích. Ty? Jsi příliš vystrašený, abys se podíval na své portfolio.

Crypto markets were largely steady on Friday as traders waited for the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, a key macro event that could determine short-term direction.
Market Snapshot
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly tested the $67,000 level before pulling back slightly.Ethereum (ETH) traded near $1,955, posting modest gains on the day.Overall market movement remained limited as investors avoided aggressive positioning ahead of the inflation data.
Despite the small recovery, Bitcoin remains on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline.
Why the CPI Report Matters
The inflation report plays a critical role in shaping expectations around Federal Reserve policy.
Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen bond yields and the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on risk assets like crypto.Lower-than-expected inflation may revive rate-cut expectations, supporting Bitcoin and Ethereum.
For now, markets appear to be in a wait-and-see mode.

Derivatives Show Cautious Optimism
While spot prices remain relatively flat, derivatives data suggests improving sentiment.
Open Interest Reset
Open interest has declined to around $15.5 billion, indicating that excessive leverage has been flushed from the system , often considered a healthy reset.
Positive Funding Rates
Perpetual futures funding rates have turned positive, signaling renewed bullish positioning across trading venues.
Institutional Conviction Improving
The three-month annualized futures basis has risen above 3%, reflecting growing professional participation.
Options Market Signals
Call option activity has increased, but traders are still paying a premium for short-term downside protection.
Liquidations & Key Levels
Approximately $256 million in 24-hour liquidations were recorded, split between long and short positions.
A key level to monitor:
$68,800 : A breakout above this level could trigger additional upside volatility.
Conclusion
Crypto markets remain stable but cautious ahead of critical inflation data.
Leverage has been cleaned upSentiment is improvingInstitutional activity is picking upShort-term risk hedging remains in place
The upcoming CPI report will likely determine whether Bitcoin and Ether push higher , or face renewed pressure.

#dyor #NFA✅

Bitcoin’s long-term bullish structure remains under pressure and will stay that way unless the price climbs back above $85,000, according to Jean-David Péquignot.
Speaking during a recent industry event in Hong Kong, he outlined the critical technical levels that could determine whether Bitcoin resumes its broader uptrend , or slides deeper into correction territory.
Current Market Structure
Bitcoin is currently trading within the $60,000–$70,000 range, consolidating after a sharp pullback from its all-time high in October.
The asset remains roughly 45% below its peak and has struggled to regain strong upside momentum.
According to him:
“Until the market reclaims $85K, the longer-term chart remains broken, and the path of least resistance technically remains lower.”
In simple terms:
🔴 Below $85K → Long-term trend remains weak🟢 Above $85K → Buyers regain structural control
Why $85,000 Matters
The $85K level represents:
A major supply zone where heavy selling previously occurredA technical breakout confirmation levelA signal that long-term bullish momentum has returned
Reclaiming this zone would indicate that buyers have absorbed prior selling pressure and regained control.
Key Support Levels to Watch
1️⃣ $60,000 : Psychological Support
The next major support lies at $60,000, a strong psychological level where significant buy interest has historically appeared.
If Bitcoin closes decisively below $60K, downside pressure could accelerate.
2️⃣ $58,000 : 200-Week Moving Average
If $60K fails, the next likely target is around $58,000, near the 200-week simple moving average (SMA).
This level is widely tracked by long-term investors because:
Multiple past bear markets have bottomed near this averageIt often acts as a major cycle supportLong-term capital closely monitors it
The $58K–$60K zone is viewed as the ultimate support range for this correction phase.
Could a Drop to $58K Be Constructive?
A move toward $58K wouldn’t necessarily mean long-term damage. In fact, such a decline could:
Flush out excessive leverageTrigger strong dip-buyingReset market sentimentBuild a stronger base for future upside
Sometimes, deeper corrections lay the foundation for stronger rallies.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently at a critical technical crossroads:
Above $85K → Bullish structure restoredBelow $60K → Risk of testing $58K$58K–$60K → Major long-term support zone

Until $85K is reclaimed, the broader chart structure remains technically under pressure , and the next decisive move will likely be defined by how the market reacts around these key levels.

#dyor #NFA✅