cryptomarketsentiment

Bitcoin is trading around 78000 to 79000 right now (down about 5 to 7% in the last 24 hours as of Feb 1 2026). It's correcting hard from recent highs near 90k plus (all time high was around 126k late 2025). Main reasons: big ETF outflows (billions pulled recently), leverage getting liquidated, macro worries (Fed stuff, stronger USD), and people taking profits after the huge 2025 run.
Technicals are showing broken supports but oversold RSI which could mean a bounce is coming. February has usually been good for BTC historically (average gains around 14%). Still, sentiment is cautious so short term range probably 75k to 90k with some chop.
I'm cautiously buying dips if you're thinking long term (institutions still adopting and cycle effects aren't done yet). Not financial advice though, crypto is super volatile so always do your own research and manage risk!
Trade idea for spot long:
Entry: 77000 to 78500 (this dip area)
Stop loss (SL): 74000 (below recent lows, about 5 to 7% risk)
Take profit (TP): 90000 (big resistance, around 15% upside), then trail higher toward 98k plus if it breaks strong.
What do you guys think, dip buy now or wait for lower? Share your thoughts below! 🚀 is $

Cyklické vrcholy Bitcoinu se shodují s rekordními realizovanými zisky, což signalizuje zvýšenou aktivitu traderů během býčích fází.
Realizované zisky dosáhly 3,51 miliardy dolarů v prosinci 2024, což odráží nejsilnější vrchol trhu Bitcoinu během oživujícího býčího momenta.

Dlouhodobé trendy ukazují na klesající momentum v vrcholech Bitcoinu, což naznačuje sníženou sílu v budoucích tržních cyklech.
Bitcoin konzistentně prokazoval cyklické chování, přičemž každý vrchol trhu byl označen výraznými vrcholy realizovaných zisků. Data analytika Aliho z prosince 2024 zdůrazňují více než 3 miliardy dolarů v realizovaných ziscích, což se shoduje s velkým tržním rally. Tyto vrcholy naznačují zvýšenou aktivitu a potenciální fáze distribuce, což ukazuje cyklické trendy Bitcoinu.

Bitcoin's weekend surge back above $90,000 has reignited market enthusiasm, blending institutional momentum with technical resilience that could signal the next leg higher or a pause in an overstretched rally. As traders dissect the latest price action against a backdrop of bullish headlines, the interplay between chart structure and news flow offers critical clues for probabilistic outcomes in this high-volatility environment.
Market Snapshot:
The BTC/USD chart on a 4-hour timeframe reveals a clear bullish trend structure, with price action demonstrating higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low around $85,000. Observable elements include an impulsive upward move from that low, forming a series of engulfing candles that rejected lower liquidity pockets below the prior range bottom. Consolidation has since emerged near the recent swing high, characterized by tightening Bollinger Bands and a volatility contraction pattern, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Momentum indicators, such as the MACD histogram expanding positively and RSI holding above 60 without divergence, reinforce this setup. The main bias remains bullish, driven by the successful retest of the 50-period EMA as support, which aligns with mean reversion from an oversold dip and positions BTC for potential range expansion.
Chart Read:
Diving deeper into the price action, the chart shows a textbook breakout attempt from a multi-week range, where BTC cleared the upper boundary near $90,000 on elevated volume. Key elements include a liquidity sweep below the range low earlier in the period, trapping shorts and fueling the subsequent impulse wave. Local swing highs now act as magnet points for retests, with the most recent rejection at $91,500 forming a potential distribution block if volume fades. The structure favors bulls as long as price respects the ascending channel's lower trendline, currently aligning with the 200-period SMA around $88,000. However, the approach to prior all-time highs introduces overhead supply risks, where mean reversion could test deeper liquidity if momentum wanes.
News Drivers:
The latest three headlines coalesce into two dominant themes: institutional adoption and technical breakout potential (both bullish for BTC), contrasted by a subtle caution on market maturity (mildly bearish). First, Coinpaper highlights weekend dominance with Bitcoin reclaiming $90K, attributing it to institutional moves, ETF inflows, and volatility-fueled sentiment—pure bullish macro fuel that underscores growing on-chain accumulation. Second, Finbold points to technical signals flashing a 15% upside move toward $100K, with strength above $90,000 positioning for higher highs; this project-agnostic analysis amplifies bullish trader conviction. Third, Cointribune questions if the "lottery" phase is over, entering an "era of institutional calm," implying reduced retail frenzy but not boredom—labeling this mixed to bearish as it hints at a distribution phase amid maturing liquidity. Overall, news sentiment skews strongly bullish (two positive, one tempered), aligning seamlessly with the chart's upward bias rather than conflicting; no sell-the-news dynamics are evident, as price continues to grind higher post-headlines.
What to Watch Next:
For bullish continuation, BTC must hold above the recent swing low near $88,500—the channel support—and demonstrate a clean breakout above the $91,500 local high on expanding volume, targeting liquidity pockets beyond prior highs. This would confirm impulse extension, potentially sweeping stop-loss clusters higher. An alternative invalidation involves a breakdown below the 50-period EMA and range midpoint around $89,000, signaling a fakeout and mean reversion toward the $85,000 demand zone; such a move would negate the higher low structure and invite bearish momentum divergence. A neutral range trap remains possible if price oscillates within $88,500–$91,500, awaiting higher-timeframe catalysts like ETF flow data.
Actionable takeaway (non-advice):
Monitor volume profile for conviction on retests of $90,000 support, where thin liquidity could amplify moves; watch RSI for hidden bearish divergence above 70, indicating exhaustion; track MACD zero-line crossover for momentum shifts, paired with on-chain metrics like exchange inflows for distribution risks.
Risk Note:
While the setup leans probabilistic bullish, external factors like macroeconomic data releases or regulatory whispers could trigger volatility expansion, sweeping both directional liquidity pools.
In summary, Bitcoin's chart and news alignment suggest sustained upside potential if key supports hold, keeping traders attuned to structural shifts.
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#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoMarketSentiment
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