$arc
🔴 ARC (AI Rig Complex) — SELL | RISK INCREASE
ARC has shown rapid momentum (+50%+) in recent days. However, on-chain data clearly shows that medium and large holders have started to unload their positions.
⚠️ CRITICAL RISK SIGNALS:
🔻 7 DAY / 30 DAY SALES
• Gate Wallet:
➜ 7D: significant outflow
➜ 30D: ~45M+ net decrease in ARC
• Raydium / MEXC / HTX:
➜ Consecutive balance decreases during the 7D and 30D periods
• Wintermute Market Making:
➜ 7D: net outflow
➜ 30D: -30M+ ARC → classic distribution signal
📌 These types of sales do not happen in one day; they are carried out through phased liquidation.
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🔴 Other risk factors:
• Supply-in >50% on Gate → centralization risk
• Market Cap ~$85M → expensive zone at this volume
• MM transfers + CEX balance decrease → liquidity being prepared for sale
• AI narratives are a rapidly fading theme
• Retail buying increases upside risk
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📉 Technical + On-chain alignment:
• Pressure after strong impulse
• Top 100 holder balance decreases as price increases
• This is typically seen around local TOP
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🧠 STRATEGY:
• ✅ Spot HOLD holders:
➜ Sell in increments
➜ Capital preservation is a priority
• ❌ New BUY: FOMO is risky
• ❌ Leverage: not recommended
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🎯 GOLDEN RULE:
"If large wallets sell when the price is rising, there is a problem."
ARC is not for BUY at this stage, but is suitable for reducing risk and locking in profits.
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