marketsentimenttoday

Většina obchodníků oslavuje, že ZCash překonal $300.
Nejsem.
Protože tento pohyb není o obratu odporu na podporu.
Jde o likviditu, pozicování a krátkodobou nerovnováhu.

Nech mě vysvětlit.
První kontext je důležitější než průlom

ZCash se nedávno vzpamatoval z $187.9, klíčové dlouhodobé úrovně podpory.


Tato úroveň nebyla náhodná.

Udržel strukturu týdenního swingu, což znamená, že vyšší časový rámec se zatím nezhroutil.
Ale tady je důležitá část:

$ZEC nepomalu se vrátila, Explodovala nad $300. A explozivní pohyby obvykle zanechávají něco za sebou.

1. As Per Data (Merged Quantitative & Technical Overview) 📊

Spot Price & Levels 💰: $BTC is currently tradng between $68,762 - $69,694.
The chart identifies a (HVL) and Call Resistance pivot at $70,000.
Net Exposure (DEX/GEX) ⚖️: Net DEX remains deeply negative at -$3.59 Billion, indicating a strong downward "gravity" from market makers.
Block Trade Flow 💹: A massive influx of Call Buying (35,655 contracts) vs Put Buying (19,666 contracts). Whales are aggressively positioning for an upside move.

Technical CVD & Liquidity 💎: The 4H chart shows "Accumulations from the buyers" in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) at the current lows, while highlighting "Huge Sellside Forced Liquidity" (stop-loss pockets) resting on the left.
Volatility Profile 🌪️: IV has stabilized at 47%, down from the 81% panic zone.IV Percentile is at 82.5%, suggesting options are still relatively expensive but the immediate "fear" has subsided.
2. Deep Analysis: The Quant-Technical Divergence 🔍

Our Quant Model reveals a high-stakes battle between institutional accumulation & dealer-driven price suppression.
The Accumulation Absorption 🛒: The technical chart shows a clear CVD accumulation at the $68k range.
Aligns perfectly with the 35k+ Call contracts bought in block trades. Whales are buying the dip.
However, Net DEX is -$3.59B, dealers are hedging these calls by selling the underlying, keeping price “stuck” despite buying pressure.

The $70,000 Gravity Flip ⚡:The HVL ($70k) is the line in the sand.As long as price is below $70,000, we are in a Negative Gamma Regime. Any bounce is likely to be sold off by dealers.
Reclaiming $70k is the only way to trigger a "Gamma Squeeze."
Upside Targets (The Golden Pocket ): If $70,000 is reclaimed, the chart points to $76,000 - $78,000 (Golden Pocket) and the Value Area High (VAH).
Heavy Call Resistance ($72k - $80k) starts to build up in the GEX profile.
3. Institutional Sentiment & Expected Moves 🏦

Strategic Outlook 📈: Large institutions are "Strategically Bullish but Tactically Cautious."
Bottom Fishing 🎯: Actively using $68k level to build long-biased spreads (Call Spreads/Call Diagonals).
They do not expect a total collapse to $60k (Major Put Support).
Anticipating a Squeeze ⏱️: High volume of calls for Feb 27 expiry suggests timing a move for late February.
Risk Management 🛡️: Despite the buying, "Put Bias" (Skew) is still in the red zone.
They are keeping downside protection in case $68,000 (0DTE Support) fails.
4.Market Sentiment Scale (1-100) 📊

Current Score: 49/100
Verdict: Neutral-to-Short Build-up (Transitioning) ⚖️
Reasoning: The score has improved from 32 to 49. We are on the verge of a Neutral (50) flip.
Why not above 50? Because the price is still below the HVL ($70k) and Net DEX is still negative. Until the price breaks the dealer's sell-wall at $70,000, the "Short Build-up" remains the dominant mechanical force, even if Whales are trying to buy.
Our Practical Trading Strategy (The Quant Model Way) 📝:
The Short Trap ⚠️: Avoid shorting aggressively here because the CVD Accumulation and Whale Call Buying are massive.This is a potential trap for late bears.
The Confirmation ✅: Wait for a 4H close above $70,200.
Once the HVL is reclaimed, the negative DEX will turn into a tailwind (short covering), and the path to the Golden Pocket ($76k) opens up.
Stop Loss 🛑: A clean break below $68,000 invalidates the accumulation thesis and would likely trigger the "Forced Liquidity" cascade shown on your chart.
#MarketRebound #MarketSentimentToday #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #BTC走势分析

I. Krypto není kasino
Trh s kryptoměnami je známý svou extrémní volatilitou, rychlou inovací a potenciálem pro exponenciální výnosy. Tyto charakteristiky přitahují ambiciózní investory, podnikatele a riskéry z celého světa.
Problém však není v samotném trhu.
Problém spočívá v tom, jak jednotlivci k němu přistupují.
Když jsou rozhodnutí primárně řízena hype, trendy na sociálních médiích nebo emocionálními reakcemi na pohyby cen, to, co se zdá být „investováním“, se často stává hazardem. Rozdíl není v zisku nebo ztrátě, ale v procesu.

Regulace kryptoměn v Hongkongu 2026 není jen politikou — je to strukturální reset globálních financí.

Zatímco maloobchodní obchodníci pronásledují 15minutové svíčky, Hongkong buduje institucionální kryptoinfrastrukturu navrženou tak, aby absorbovala biliony kapitálu. Finanční tajemník Paul Chan potvrdil, že licence na stablecoiny v Hongkongu začnou být vydávány v březnu 2026, zatímco SFC otevírá dveře maržovému obchodování v Asii v rámci regulovaného rámce.
Tohle není spekulace. To je integrace.
Regulační sandbox → Licence na stablecoiny 2026

$FOGO Blockchain is moving fast, and it feels like new Layer 1 networks are showing up all the time. But the reason for that is pretty simple — people want blockchains that are actually usable. Fast transactions, low fees, and networks that don’t slow down the moment more users show up.
That’s why Fogo has started getting some attention.@Fogo Official
Fogo is a high-performance Layer 1 that uses the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM). Basically, it’s built on the same kind of technology that helps Solana handle transactions quickly and efficiently. The SVM is designed to process a lot of activity at once, which makes it a strong choice for networks aiming to scale without sacrificing speed.
What makes Fogo interesting is the kind of things it could support. From DeFi apps that need quick settlement, to blockchain games that can’t afford lag, to Web3 platforms trying to reach everyday users — performance really matters, and Fogo is being built with that in mind.
As more projects begin exploring the SVM beyond Solana itself, Fogo feels like part of a new wave of Layer 1 blockchains focused on real usability, not just hype.
#fogo #MarketRebound #CPIWatch #FOGOUSDT #MarketSentimentToday
$DASH $RIVER

#MarketSentimentToday #BTC
IBKR · Market Insights

🔹 Core judgment
• The current market has entered a stage of structural differentiation
• AI repricing is spreading from the tech sector to wider industries
• European economy maintains moderate expansion, but momentum is limited

🔹 Market trend
• Short-term range operation of the index
• Banks and defense remain relatively safe assets
• The software sector faces dual pressures of valuation and profit model
• Both gold and US dollar sentiment are close to phased extremes

🔹 Risk Factors
• PCE data for the week
• Results of US-Iran negotiations
• AI capital expenditure and profit realization rhythm
• Duration of European industrial weakness

📊 During the week of 09/02–15/02/2026, Bitcoin entered a clear range between $72,000 and $67,700. Instead of trending, the market moved sideways 🔄, showing hesitation and lack of strong direction. Buyers were not strong enough to push above $72,000, and sellers failed to break below $67,700.

😨 Fear & Greed remains at 9 (Extreme Fear), keeping the market in a risk-off mood. Confidence is still low, and traders remain cautious.

📉 Inflation data was released during the week. CPI came at 0.2% (below the 0.3% forecast) and Core CPI came at 0.3% (in line with expectations). This was slightly positive and shows inflation is slowly cooling. Normally, this supports risk assets like $BTC 🟠.

However, despite the positive inflation data, the market remains defensive. The current structure shows consolidation inside a range, and Bitcoin is waiting for a stronger catalyst to decide the next move.

#CPIWatch #MarketRebound #MarketSentimentToday #btcrange #MarketUpdate

V kryptoměnách často používáme termín „Diamantové ruce“. Ale občas se objeví příběh, který to skutečně definuje.
Nedávno se vrátil účastník raného ICO #Ethereum—v podstatě časový cestovatel kryptoměn—po 10,6 letech úplného ticha. A to, co objevili, bylo nedostižné.
Malá sázka, která se proměnila v miliony
Zpět v roce 2014, během ICO Etherea, tento investor vložil pouhých 443 $. Na oplátku obdrželi 1 430 ETH.
Pak... nic.
Žádné obchody. Žádné převody. Žádná aktivita.

Představte si, že svět má velké digitální peněžní hřiště.
Na tomto hřišti počítače pomáhají lidem posílat peníze bez bank.
Tato digitální měna se nazývá kryptoměna.
Dnes vysvětlím, co se děje na kryptoměnových trzích, profesionálním, ale super jednoduchým způsobem — jako bych vyprávěl chytrému dítěti příběh.
🧸 Velký obrázek — Co se dnes děje?
Právě teď:
Celková hodnota kryptoměnového trhu je kolem $2.3 až $2.4 bilionu.
Cena největší kryptoměny se pohybuje kolem $68K až $70K v únoru 2026.
Trhy se pohybují pomalu, protože globální ekonomické zprávy ovlivňují také kryptoměny.