$BTC The Truth About the Crypto Market 🚨
There has always been only one real condition for a true bull market to begin.
Do you know what it is?
First, the conclusion:
We are still in a bear market.
Many traders rushing to “buy the dip” are falling straight into a major trap.
📉 The Signal Most People Ignore
Look at the monthly MACD chart.
The current dead cross marks the start of a bear market cycle.
On a monthly timeframe, reversing this requires a full cycle before a golden cross can appear.
The last time this happened?
👉 2021 — the bear market began.
Simple. Clear. Repeating.
🚫 The Biggest Mistake Traders Make
Most people rely on:
Federal Reserve statements
Exchange narratives
Influencers and celebrities
This is completely wrong.
Rate cuts, CZ promises, and bullish headlines are temporary catalysts — tradable news at best, exit liquidity at worst.
These are smoke bombs used by top players to manipulate sentiment and harvest retail money.
🔑 The Only True Bull Market Trigger
Over all these years, there has been only ONE real driver:
👉 Bitcoin Halving
Nothing else comes close.
Halving = structural supply shock
Everything else = noise, speculation, variable narratives
“Experts” change opinions daily.
Halving does not.
🗓️ What This Means Going Forward
Next Bitcoin halving: 2027
Monthly MACD: still in dead cross
High-probability accumulation window: late 2026
Early 2026: likely high volatility
Seasonal liquidity (Spring Festival + start-of-year flows) may create short-term rebounds, but not a true bull market.
Patience beats hype.
Cycles don’t lie.
Structure > headlines.
#BTC #CryptoMarket #BitcoinHalving #MarketCycle