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$ETH Highest spike up to 1833 position; currently consolidating around 1790. The 4-hour chart remains in high-level choppy trading, limiting the price from falling deeply; the 1-hour timeframe shows a need for a pullback. In the morning, there is no major scheduled data; the market is driven mainly by technical factors, with intense battles between bulls and bears.

Strategy: mainly take rebounds to sell at highs, with secondary preference for going long on pullbacks. If price touches the resistance zone of 1810–1830 and faces downward pressure, consider shorting, targeting 1780 and 1750. If 1760 support holds, you can short-term go long, targeting a return to 1800 and 1820. #EtherUp12.4%Weekly

$BTC Overall core idea: Rely on high-level pressure and ride the momentum for upside from above; strictly forbid blindly chasing rising prices

After several consecutive days of surging volume, the morning’s upside increment is now showing clear weakness. The price has reached a high-level zone with dense overhead supply. In the short term, long-side capital has concentrated on exiting. The signal of a sluggish rally at highs is clear—upward momentum is slowing, and a pullback for the current phase is coming.

The 4-hour indicators are severely overbought. Rising volume continues to shrink, and a large amount of profitable selling has piled up at the highs. This rally is the final sprint at the end of an uptrend—there is no sustained upside momentum. Every high-level rebound is a window to set up short positions.

BTC short
Entry: 64000–64300
Stop loss (defense): 64750
Target 1: 63200–63500
Target 2: 62600

$BTC The large cycle in the previous halving period followed a similar pattern:
About 500 days after the halving: a strong bull market rebound, pushing the cycle’s peak.

About 500 days before the next halving: an extended adjustment and accumulation phase, which usually creates the best long-term buying opportunities.

If history continues to rhyme, the current cycle may see:
Bull market momentum before 2025

A deeper correction before the halving in 2028

Another major surge after the halving in 2028

Remember: historical patterns can provide useful reference, but they cannot guarantee future price movements. Always manage risk and do your own research

1. $BTC
It’s already at 64,000, yet I didn’t hear anyone in the crowd shouting about “going back to bullish”; this time it’s really different?

2.
$ETH
Finally broke above 1800—just a step away from 2000?

3.
$SOL
What’s it stuck on? It’s been around 82 for ages—can they pull the order book already?

4.Grayscale says Strategy’s recent Bitcoin sales will restore confidence in its financing structure;

5.Today’s Fear & Greed Index rises to 27, and the market has shifted into a “fear state”;

Everything’s getting better, guys.

6.The AI chip manufacturer Syntiant, backed by Intel and Microsoft, has filed for an IPO;

Brothers, can we get in on the hype IPOs again?

7.Iran fires at least two missiles at ships in the Strait of Hormuz;

Feels like a bet on PM.

8.South Korea’s KOSPI index drops 2% intraday;

Samsung Electronics earnings miss expectations—though it’s still up over 1900%;

9.Ex–Tether Chief Investment Officer Richard Heathcote plans to sell some of the shares in his 1.26% stake;

10.Polymarket traders estimate the probability that the U.S. will block public access to major Chinese AI models before end of 2026 is 23%.

It’s literally betting on everything—that’s Polymarket.

11.Bloomberg: Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve plan faces legal and jurisdictional obstacles;

12.Federal Reserve Governor Waller: The Fed will not deliberately maintain low interest rates;

13.Nvidia responds to reports of “product delays”: the product roadmap is not affected;

14.Trump: The short sellers are getting crushed;

Trump: Says Bitcoin may be included in the Trump account, calling himself a “large crypto person”;

15.Tom Lee: The rising ETH/BTC ratio indicates strengthened expectations that Ethereum fundamentals are improving;

----------------
Next, it’s a World Cup match here and there—then one fewer. Everyone’s starting to leave. Even the donkey left yesterday. All I can say is the coach is awesome. Portugal probably won’t have anyone watching anymore—roadside one left.

1. $BTC
Workdays are here, and Big Pie has dropped to 64,000—what a wonderful piece of news that everyone loves to see;

2.
$ETH
Let’s see if we can break 1,800;

3.
$SOL
It got stolen in terms of attention by BSC;

4.Dragonfly partner Haseeb: The essence of VVV has been misread; Venice is essentially a company, not a decentralized network or an on-chain protocol;

The allure of equity-for-tokens is here!

5.Miner cycle pressure composite indicator drops to a new low in 2026, entering a historically undervalued range;

6.The five tech giants’ AI capital expenditures surge, with 2027 expected to account for 3.2% of the U.S. GDP and surpass defense spending for the first time;

7.“Garrett Jin whale entity” adds to its ZEC short position to $15.08 million, with an unrealized loss of $530,000;

Does this guy go long and then short every now and then—are they a banded whale?

8.South Korea’s KOSPI index intraday gain reaches 2%;

The Koreans are back—brothers, what about our positions?

9.Hits a two-week high; spot gold climbs above $4,200 per ounce;

10.Probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July: 77%.

11.SemiAnalysis: NVIDIA’s Kyber NVL144 extension delayed by over 12 months, with release pushed to 2028;

12.Kraken allows tokenized stocks to power leveraged crypto trading;

The crypto folks’ hearts—leverage maxed out!

13.Clarity Act was not signed into law on July 4; August 7 is the key deadline;

14.Rare FIFA Article 27 ruling allows representatives of Barlogon to play for Belgium, triggering a surge in Polymarket trading volume;

Who’s biggest in the U.S.? Trump’s biggest. No red cards allowed—YYDS;

15.Citi: The reasons for rate hikes have disappeared; expects the Fed to restart rate cuts in October;

Now that’s good news;

16.

The comeback is to keep redirecting flows, keep bringing in new users—so do we still have to wait for the couple to spit out their “phlegm”?
#EthicalHackersFindAptosFlawRisking$70B

$SOL SOL Morning Outlook:

In the short term, the moving averages (MA5/10) have clearly “lost momentum.” After the price touched the prior high, it lacked the strength to push higher again, and the upper large-period moving averages are still firmly capping the price. The overall bearish structure has not changed.

That high at 78.93, accompanied by a lagging/uptrend-stalling candlestick, fully killed the rebound momentum. The prior rally was too fast, and the overextension gap has not been corrected yet. There is still a stretch of room on the downside that needs to be worked off.

For execution, do not hesitate: go short directly in the 78–80 range, with the target initially at 74.
#OilPriceFalls

$BTC Last night it surged up to 61334 and then couldn’t go any further, so it turned back downward. Now the market is caught in a triangle range, pulling back and forth; both long and short sides keep whipping the market with repeated stop-outs, and it hasn’t broken out into a one-way big rally or big drop. This time the downside has some strength. If you want a strong surge upward, it will need some positive news stimulus. The daily chart isn’t showing much strength on the upside. The overall short-term cycles are weak. At the moment, the small rebound is only a brief stabilization. Going forward, the focus is on how hard the bears will smash the market.

Trading suggestion: Place shorts in the 59200-60000 zone; targets are 58200 and 57000 ​​​
#Binance1B$inStocks #SouthKoreanStocksFall6%

This U.S. stock—after it got mixed up with something dirty—why is it 312 every day now? Is this something a human can stand? This kind of volatility is even more than most altcoins, and far crazier than crypto.
1.
$BTC
While U.S. stocks are plunging, at least holding your spine up is some consolation;

2.
$ETH
The gains are decent—just a little sprinkle of water;

3.
$SOL
That’s way too strong—no wonder it’s all over the internet, with everyone calling the trades;

4.
Robinhood Chain launches its mainnet, and simultaneously rolls out products including 24/7 tokenized stock trading and perpetual contracts;

Is it similar to Base?

5.
Bitwise’s head of research for Europe: BTC is very likely to bottom out earlier than the market’s widely expected October;

6.
CryptoQuant: The size of the CeFi lending market fell 6% quarter-over-quarter in Q1, the first contraction since Q3 2024;

7.
A member of the ENS community proposed dissolving the DAO. The project’s co-founder previously blocked the Security Committee’s renewal;

So is it over?

8.
1inch integrates Robinhood Chain, supporting trading of RWA assets;

Long time no see, 1inch;

9.
Strive CEO: SATA’s target price is still $100, but it no longer guarantees issuing new shares automatically at $100;

10.
Non-farm payrolls is out today; U.S. markets will be closed tomorrow;

11.
TRON’s Nile testnet is launched with an anti-quantum upgrade, releasing an upgraded version v4.8.2-PQ1-build1;

12.
Ark Invest bought nearly $18 million worth of Circle stock on Wednesday. CRCL is down 41% cumulatively over the past month;

Little Sis Mu is still awesome;

13.
Mainland China A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and Japanese and Korean markets—everything opened with a full-scale plunge;

14.
Ripple discloses eight progress updates on RLUSD, covering payments, exchanges, and cross-chain infrastructure;

Once you’ve made enough money, do you start working?

15.
dYdX team-developed DEX Arcus has launched on Robinhood Chain and received investment from Robinhood Crypto;

Is it swapping coins, or issuing more shares + swapping coins?

16.
Financial Times (UK): U.S. AI guidance may be released as early as next week;

------------------
If you add leverage to these U.S. stocks, the volatility is way bigger than most junk coins. You still need to reduce leverage to the absolute minimum—down to the level you can tolerate.

What’s going on? I wake up and it’s gone—Clee is gone!! Why is the gacha/pool gone too?!!

I’m relying on it—did the event start already on the third day? If you buy AV workers now, you’ll directly get a refund of the cost for upgrading your room from before! That saves a huge amount of cle—what a sweet income! Brothers, if you’re still just watching, start digging now!

Latest advice:
✅
It’s still not too late to participate. The entry threshold for the basic setup is low, so it’s great for experiencing the gameplay first.
📷
Upgrading rooms has a cooldown period. Right now, many rooms can’t be upgraded further yet. After tonight’s cooldown ends, I’ll update my guide for higher configurations and the optimal upgrade route as soon as possible.
Also, if you think well of the project’s future development, you can prepare some tokens in advance based on your own risk tolerance. Future upgrades, holding rewards, etc. may all require them.

There will be new strategies coming up. I’ll sync them with everyone as soon as they’re available—don’t fall behind.
ca：0x9fd71846e4f6fc44849c90376e8f44322fccb1c6

$XAG
Since the 71.60 peak, a continuous downward channel has been opened; the MA30 has been pointing downward for the long term, and the mid-term bearish trend is clear. Every rebound is rejected and falls back under pressure from the 30-day moving average; the overall decline structure is intact.
After hitting the extreme low of 55.76 on June 24, it entered a low-range box consolidation. Bearish momentum has temporarily weakened, but no reversal signal has appeared.

After the low-range consolidation, the price falls again with a bearish candle:
Resistance range: 58.71 (MA7), 58.82 (MA30) — the two moving averages form a confluence resistance
Support range: 57.60 (intraday low), 55.76 (the defense line at the bottom of this leg)
The pattern is a low-range box under pressure followed by a pullback. Rebounds lack strength; bulls have no incremental capital to push the price up.

In the big-drop phase, sell orders increased in volume to fully cash in the bearish positions. In recent days, trading volume within the consolidation range has been continuously shrinking, staying below the 5-day and 10-day average volume. The cooling of the bulls-vs-bears standoff has resulted in no capital-driven one-way trend.

Short-term support: 57.60
Strong support: 57.00
Extreme support: 55.76
First resistance: 58.71
Second resistance: 58.82
Mid-term resistance: 60.00

Trading plan
Entry range: 58.60-58.80 — place orders on a rebound failure as the moving averages cap upward movement
Stop-loss level: above 59.10
Target range: 57.60 → 57.00
#SpotSilverRises3%To$60.10 #BitcoinSlidesTo$59250

$ETH The overall trend from the earlier peak at 1839.54 has opened a sustained downward channel. The MA30 has been exerting long-term downward pressure on the price, indicating a mid-term bearish trend;
After 6月26打出了1510.87 as the extreme low, the bearish momentum has waned and the market has entered a low-range consolidation and bottoming phase, with the downward slope clearly slowing.
After the low of 1510.87, the market formed a consolidation-and-repair box:
​Support range: 1550-1560. Repeated tests quickly recovered, and bottom-formation support is stable.
​Resistance range: 1590-1600. Multiple attempts to break higher failed to hold, and sell pressure above remains persistent.
​On July 1, a small bullish candle closed. Price is running close to the MA7, only 2 points away from the MA30. The 30-day moving average is a strong near-term resistance level.

Bearish phase with increased volume: On June 25-26 the sharp selloff came with huge-volume bearish candles, showing concentrated bearish release;
​Bottoming phase with shrinking volume: In recent days, trading volume has kept declining to 463.9k, below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The game between bulls and bears has become relatively calm, and there is no clear increase in incremental capital to break through.

First support: 1560
​Strong support: 1530
​Extreme support: 1510.87

Short-term resistance: 1580
​Second resistance: 1600
​Mid-term resistance: 1625

Trading approach
Entry: buy on dips in the 1555-1570 range
​Stop loss: 1530 (exit if it breaks the strong support)
​Targets: 1580 → 1600 → 1625
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

I’ve never understood why, even though the trend hasn’t reversed, so many people are still rushing to go long.

The recent highs keep getting lower, the moving averages are still pointing down, and the market structure hasn’t changed.

At times like this, trying to snatch a rebound is, in essence, trading against the trend.

Many people always think:

This rebound—I’ll go long first, take profit after it rises a bit;

Then after it goes up, I’ll flip and go short;

I can profit on both sides.

It sounds perfect, but reality often is:

You get trapped in a long, and you miss the short—getting hit from both directions.

Real big money rarely thinks about making money from every stretch of fluctuation.

When the trend is down, respect the trend;

When the trend hasn’t changed, be patient and wait.

Bottom-fishing isn’t about whether the “fall” is deep enough, but whether the trend has truly reversed.
#BitcoinSlidesTo$59250

Trump: Turns out making money can be this easy

$BTC The price modestly rose and then pulled up; most likely this is a liquidation-style sell-off caused by a bear-side “baiting long” (诱多) move. The rebound strength is relatively weak and does not have sustained upside momentum. On the price chart, the overhead area is heavily suppressed by multiple clustered moving averages, leaving very limited room upward. The overall downtrend structure remains intact, and bears still dominate the market.

At present, the action is more like a downward continuation consolidation rather than a sign that the market has stabilized and stopped falling. Market sentiment among bulls is weak; there is insufficient willingness to enter long positions. The trapped sellers from the prior high levels create ongoing overhead selling pressure. In the short term, the rebound is merely a technical correction and is unlikely to trigger a trend reversal.

Overall, considering the tug-of-war in market funds, sentiment, and technical patterns, the bearish trend signals are clear. For trading, it is recommended to follow the trend and be cautious about chasing longs.

Trading advice: take positions in the 58900–59700 range for selling/buying the box pattern (做箜), target 56700. If it breaks down and continues lower, watch for 54000
#BitcoinSlidesTo$59250

Finally made it through the first half of the year, and we’ve officially started the second half. I hope the days in the second half will be better. The first half was way too tough.

1.
$BTC
I went ahead and got in at 58,000. You ask me why? Then it can only be said that MicroStrategy’s influence is still huge;

2.
$ETH
The only thing sturdier than a big pie is the second pie;

3.
$SOL
Not for discussion for now—it’s a built-up position;

4. OKX launches an AI market, letting agents execute tasks and earn rewards;

5. Trump’s financial disclosures: In 2025, crypto business revenue exceeded $1.4 billion;

The main source is the Trump meme—sure enough, meme devs make the most money;

6. Circle’s share price fell 17.55% on Tuesday due to Open USD competition. Analysts say they’re concerned about being “overhyped”;

Once the core business is out, you’ve got direct competitors;

7. The SEC seeks public input on the regulatory framework for the next generation of novel and strategic ETFs;

8. About 1,700 UK investors file a class-action lawsuit against Binance, claiming about $200 million;

Foreigners are really something;

9. Italian fintech company Hodli has been approved to become the country’s first crypto asset management institution;

10. Dutch prosecutors apply for bankruptcy liquidation of crypto platform Knaken to protect funds of about 30,000 customers;

Never heard of this platform—are you sure it’s the Europeans’ own exchange?

11. Grayscale: Solana has become the settlement layer for more than a thousand applications. This year, average daily trading volume exceeds 100 million transactions;

12. Massachusetts amends the lawsuit, accusing Kalshi of offering sports betting to users under 21;

13. Nasdaq brings its exclusive market data on-chain via the Pyth network;

--------------
The first round of the World Cup knockout stage is only a few days away. Everyone bet well—bet slowly. The US stocks that lose aren’t slower than炒币 (coin-trading/speculating) are pretty interesting. No trading today—so everyone’s got time to play.
#BitcoinSlidesTo$59250

The yen has fallen to a 40-year low. The real thing to worry about is people holding BTC. When you see the yen drop to a 40-year new low, it’s a signal!

The USD/JPY exchange rate has broken above the previous high and is topping at 161.95, the highest level since December 1986. Actually, the exchange-rate number itself isn’t the key. The key is this: the yen has been the world’s cheapest funding currency. For decades, market traders have used yen to buy dollars and then buy everything that could rise—US stocks, gold, BTC. This arbitrage structure has grown so large that no one can precisely quantify its scale.

Now the Bank of Japan is tightening, but the yen is still depreciating, which shows the market doesn’t believe the BOJ can catch up to the Fed’s pace. But the BOJ won’t be able to tolerate it forever. Once it verbally intervenes or delivers an unexpectedly large rate hike in July, all positions that were built by borrowing yen must be unwound in reverse—sell assets and repay the yen.

August 2024 already demonstrated this. An unexpected BOJ rate hike crushed BTC from 60K to 49K. In 24 hours, $1.1 billion in liquidations occurred, and $600 billion evaporated from the crypto market. That was only a modest adjustment. Today’s situation is even more fragile: BTC ETFs have had 6 straight weeks of net outflows totaling $4 billion, and liquidity was already drying up.

If the BOJ acts at this point in time, it would be like ETF outflows stacked on top of a carry unwind—two floodgates opening at once. In this scenario, gold’s role is comparatively okay. In past experiences, during the first few hours after yen intervention, gold is sold off indiscriminately like all other assets, but after that initial wave ends, gold’s safe-haven characteristics kick in and pull prices back up. This “fall first, then rise” rhythm has been repeatedly verified in every episode of large yen swings over the past two years.

So now you should watch the BOJ’s moves. As long as it doesn’t say anything, the carry trade lives another day. Once it speaks, the yen surges up → risk assets are dumped in a concentrated selloff → BTC leads the decline → BTC drags down the entire crypto market’s risk appetite again → gold is briefly bled and then rebounds.
#OilReclaims$70

BTC has been consolidating around 60,000 for 5 days. Usually, this suggests that a big move is coming. Overall, the market is bearish. The next target level is 49,000—be careful of a sudden plunge. If it breaks down decisively, are we about to see a major move!