区块链KOL

Tonight's market is pretty crucial. Bitcoin is hitting a strong resistance zone on the 4-hour chart, around the 640-650 range. If we see a solid volume spike that breaks through this resistance, it could form a double bottom pattern, but the odds are slim. With SpaceX going public tonight, a large chunk of capital will likely be pulled out, coupled with the recent surge in US stocks that is bound to correct, and the outflow of funds from World Cup betting, the chances of consolidation under pressure are quite high.

The crypto market showed a strong upward trend yesterday, with the asset steadily climbing from the support level around 76000 in the morning. After a surge to 77400 during lunch, it experienced a brief consolidation before pushing up again, hitting a high of 78888. Currently, it's trading above 78000. Although it effectively broke through the 4-hour resistance high, it faced significant pressure at the ascending trend line. Short-term bullish momentum is waning, and as we head into the weekend, market liquidity is tightening, further compressing volatility. The likely scenario is a narrow range consolidation, with key resistance levels at 78500-78800 and support zones to watch at 77000-76500. For short-term trading, focus on high selling and low buying within this range. $BTC

This week, the S&P and Nasdaq marked their sixth consecutive week of gains, setting the longest winning streak since October 2024. This clearly reflects the market's preference for tech growth assets. Meanwhile, the dollar index is trending weak, and the pullback in crude oil is easing inflationary pressures. Gold is maintaining a steady consolidation phase, and the overall global macro liquidity environment is becoming more accommodative. Risk appetite continues to warm up, with the strong spillover effect from U.S. tech stocks, a weaker dollar, and cooling inflation expectations creating a confluence of bullish factors. This further provides robust macro support for the market, with a high probability of continued upward movement in the future. $BTC

Ether reached a high of 2465 the day before yesterday and then weakened, accelerating downward after breaking through the fluctuation platform of 2410 during yesterday's midday session, with a minimum drop to 2336, and then entered a narrow range consolidation. The short-term trend is clearly weak. From a technical perspective, 2300 is the key lifeline in the short term; if the price can hold this position, the short-term structure can still maintain a relatively strong stance; once it breaks, the bearish rhythm will be further confirmed. The upper range of 2450-2500 is a densely traded area where the previous rebound faced pressure, and it is also the strong resistance zone with the most significant divergence between bulls and bears. Before effectively stabilizing above this range, rebounds are likely to encounter resistance and fall back. The short-term focus below is on the effectiveness of support near 2336; if it breaks down again, it will further test the 2300 lifeline. If this critical level is effectively broken, the downward space will be opened up, and the mid-term adjustment rhythm will continue.

The pancake reached a recent high of 78200 the day before yesterday and then entered a period of oscillation. Yesterday's morning session ran in the range of 76800-77200, and then quickly fell due to news influence, dropping to 75700 in the evening before slightly rebounding to around 76300 and then falling again, with a low touching 75300. Currently, it is maintaining a narrow oscillation. Although this round of correction has seen a pullback, it has remained steady at the previous upward continuation and has not experienced a deep sell-off. The buying pressure below is evident, and from a technical perspective, this is a normal power accumulation adjustment after a big rise. The moving average system still maintains a bullish pattern, with indicators retreating from the overbought area. In the short term, there has not been a trend reversal signal formed, and overall, it is still in the stage of chip digestion within a bullish structure.

The market took a hit across the board yesterday. Currently, risk aversion is noticeably on the rise, and with the weekend news still brewing, there's a high likelihood of significant volatility when US stocks, the dollar, crude oil, and gold open on Monday. This will directly impact our market, with short-term assets being subject to shifts in risk appetite and capital flow. Volatility is likely to be amplified, so we need to manage our positions carefully and set our stop losses. Be wary of gaps and the risk of sharp spikes followed by quick pullbacks. It's crucial to keep an eye on the correlation between crude oil and the dollar and how it affects the rhythm of our market.

Ether maintained a narrow range of 2300-2342 yesterday, with a stalemate between bulls and bears during the day and limited volatility. In the evening session, although the market slightly surged to around 2384, it faced significant resistance and was unable to stabilize effectively. It is currently operating above 2360, showing a technical structure of high-level fluctuations and a weakening bullish momentum: the core fluctuation center is 2300-240. Attention should be focused on whether the support level of 2330-2300 can hold; if it fails, the lower edge of the fluctuation range will be further tested. On the upside, it needs to re-establish volume and stabilize above the 2380 level to open up further upward space.

The market maintained a range-bound fluctuation yesterday, with the pie Ethereum slightly rising in the evening following the MiGu, but it failed to break through the previous high points, and the market remains in a wait-and-see state. Funds are leaning towards caution, and no trend-driven行情 has emerged. The market displays features of rotation among popular varieties, with some strong varieties experiencing significant upward movement but also notable pullback risks. The overall rhythm is dominated by macro risk sentiment and the linkage with MiGu technology stocks, focusing on high-level fluctuations and consolidations in the short term. Operations need to strictly control volatility risks and wait for key position breakout signals. We will continue to track institutional capital flows and changes in on-chain data, updating layout strategies and target dynamics in real-time.

The market maintained a range-bound fluctuation yesterday. Bitcoin and Ethereum followed a slight rise in the evening, but failed to break through the previous highs. The market remains in a wait-and-see mode. Funds are leaning towards caution, and no trending market has emerged. The charts show a rotation characteristic of popular varieties, with some strong varieties experiencing significant upward movements but also notable risks of correction. Overall, the rhythm is dominated by macro risk sentiment and the linkage to U.S. technology stocks, focusing on high-level fluctuations in the short term. Operations need to strictly control volatility risks and await breakthrough signals at key positions. We will continue to track institutional fund flows and changes in on-chain data, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target dynamics.
$BTC

The market is shrouded by geopolitical and macro pressures, maintaining a high-level sideways grinding situation overall. US Treasury yields have decreased, gold has surged and then retreated, and crude oil has rebounded significantly. Capital is switching between traditional safe havens and risk assets, and global market sentiment is cautiously waiting and observing. Bitcoin has neither followed gold to emerge with strong safe-haven characteristics nor surged significantly due to the overall rise in the US market, resulting in a temporary balance between bulls and bears, with volatility being noticeably compressed. The market primarily focuses on local opportunities, with only some altcoins and hot sectors experiencing rotational rebounds.
$BTC #Life Notes#

The BTC trend is very standard
The first wave trend dropped to 80,000
Then it oscillated in a range at the daily level for a month
Breaking through the daily level range reached 98,000
Then it quickly turned down to start the second wave trend down
The current market situation is the second wave trend down to 60,000
Then it oscillated at the daily level for a month
Breaking through the daily level range reached 74,000
Then it quickly turned down
Could it be that we are going to start the third wave trend down so soon?
If it really goes like this
Then the bottom could be even lower
Because from the time node, it has only been 5 months since the bear market
To finish 3 waves of trend down so quickly and hit the bottom
The second half of this year will be endless oscillation
This is obviously unreasonable
Personally, I still lean towards the effective support at 60,000 in the short term
It’s more reasonable to oscillate for another month or two before starting the third wave trend down
$BTC

Although the pace of the decline has been buffered, the bulls indeed have the idea of a counterattack. However, there are too many resistance points that need to be broken through step by step; since the continuation of breaking the bottom of 60000 on the 5th-6th of last month, it has been a month-long consolidation. Yesterday, it finally broke through the high point of the downward Fan rebound at 72200 and accelerated to extend to 74000, making the weekly rhythm strong as well. Today is Friday, and whether it can stabilize cannot be defined yet, especially since tonight there are non-farm payroll data and recent geopolitical news that will directly impact the technical trend. Therefore, this path is very bumpy, and I hope the bulls can strive to maintain this week's strong pattern!
First, look at the weekly chart; it currently shows the performance of a giant bullish candlestick. For a strong rebound, the pullback cannot exceed 30% of the overall weekly volatility. Then, whether there is continuing momentum next week depends on the closing line.
Another point worth noting is the support and resistance conversion at 74500. This position is the starting point from April 25. If the weekly line can stabilize above this position, a very strong trend will form, and the continuation momentum will be even stronger. As of now, it has not broken through before; 74500 still belongs to the current strong resistance point!
#加密市场反弹

Short-term attention has seen some decline
Although there will be fluctuations in the short term
Because there is still time
But the trend of testing the bottom in April and May remains unchanged
Just wait patiently
Currently, the most extreme statement is breaking below 50,000
Making everyone feel disheartened
Of course, I do not believe it
But we must wait until the end of May
Wait patiently for the results
$ETH ​​​$BTC

We will now focus on the overall market trend.
Yesterday, the pie index showed a general downtrend with a low point reaching around 89,200, after which it stabilized and began to recover slowly, entering a gradual consolidation and recovery phase. From the current performance, it has been steadily regaining lost ground. In the short term, the low point at 89,200 has been confirmed, forming a healthy bullish fan-up pattern. The overall situation has completed a small-cycle breakdown, and the short-term trend remains relatively strong. Moving forward, attention should still be paid to whether key resistance levels can be broken through. If resistance cannot be overcome, the market is likely to continue with a 'step-by-step recovery' pattern, maintaining a consolidating and relatively strong stance.
Ethereum's performance, on the other hand, has been relatively weak. It retraced to around 3,053 yesterday evening and then stopped, with the pullback being relatively mild compared to the pie index. Although it subsequently entered an upward recovery phase, the fan-up effect was notably insufficient, failing to sustain a strong rebound. It will need to wait for increased volume or external catalysts to break the current balance.
Currently, the short-term resistance for the pie index is at 92,000, with support at 88,000; for Ethereum, resistance is at 3,300, with support at 3,000.
#比特币2026年价格预测

The pie is currently experiencing intense volatility in the high range. Since the recent high of 94740 yesterday, it has retraced, with the intraday low dropping to around 93000 before rapidly rebounding. In the evening session, it was pushed up to around 94460 amid market sentiment. However, selling pressure at higher levels hasn't dissipated, and a sharp drop occurred in the early hours, with the price touching the key support level of 91270. Short-term correction is still expected, but no clear breakdown has occurred during the pullback. Combined with recent institutional fund flows, the continuous net inflows into the pie spot ETF, along with Tether's ongoing accumulation of pie, provide strong support for the bullish trend.
Currently, blindly chasing the price is risky. The key resistance level is at 95000; a breakout with sustained volume is required to further open up upward potential.
Ethereum remains highly correlated with pie but also shows signs of independent resilience. The quick rebound from the 3180 support level indicates strong buying interest below. However, the red bars on the four-hour MACD for Ethereum are continuously shortening, suggesting that a sustained breakout will require continued volume.
Current strong resistance for pie is at 95000, with support near 90,000; for Ethereum, strong resistance is at 3500, and strong support is between 3,000 and $BTC

The market welcomes fan fluctuations, having surpassed 91,000, with Ethereum standing above 3,100.
It is worth mentioning that Doge has seen a significant increase, and this wave of rise is mainly attributed to the collective rise of 米 Gu. Recently, Tesla has performed quite well, so there is reason to suspect that the rise of Doge is influenced by this factor. Regardless, the market has welcomed a good start. In fact, after the 'Double Eleven' event, the systematic risk of the market has decreased significantly. The panic triggered by fund liquidations or substantial selling pressure has diminished greatly, and once our Lunar New Year passes, this risk will be completely eliminated.

The market situation over the past two weeks can be described as "terribly chaotic". The repair of the shipping situation has repeatedly played out but has struggled to gain momentum, with the oscillating pattern continuing, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifying. The absence of dominant forces in the market has made the trend increasingly chaotic. Even though there has been a slight increase in the short term, it has consistently failed to achieve effective continuation. The current shipping situation has once again fallen into a state of pressure and decline, with rebound momentum clearly showing signs of fatigue.
From the four-hour level trend of the pie, although it once presented a continuous upward trend indicating a rebound from the bottom, giving the market a brief expectation of warming, a deeper observation reveals that the upward momentum has always been insufficient. As the shipping situation gradually rises, the pressure from above continues to intensify, and the upper shadow on the K-line chart has also been extended accordingly. This pattern clearly reflects the strong selling pressure from above, and the rebound has encountered obvious resistance, making it difficult to advance smoothly. The weak characteristics of the short-term trend are even more prominent. At this level, there have been multiple attempts to test the resistance level of the upper Bollinger Bands, but each rebound has failed to reach market expectations and has not successfully broken through the resistance. This phenomenon further confirms the current lack of rebound momentum in the market, making it difficult for the bulls to organize an effective attack and unable to change the current weak oscillating pattern.
$BTC
$ETH

The market performance in the past two weeks can only be described as "terrible". The fluctuation of the shipping situation has repeatedly played out but has failed to form a climate, and the oscillating pattern continues. The tug-of-war between the bulls and bears is becoming increasingly intense, and the absence of the dominant force in the market has made the trend more chaotic. Even though there were small increases in the short term, they have never been able to achieve effective continuation. The current shipping situation has once again fallen into a trend of pressure and decline, and the rebound momentum clearly shows signs of fatigue.

The market has been repeatedly tugging around the 88000 line, while Ethereum is hovering around the 2980 line. Anyone who has experienced several rounds of bull and bear cycles should understand that adjustment periods have always been a necessary lesson in the market, not an unexpected interlude. In this market, there are no one-sided trends that run wild forever, nor will there be a constant stream of easily accessible entry opportunities. Those who hope for explosive market conditions and readily available opportunities fundamentally misunderstand market rules.
The market is like the tide; where there is rise, there is fall. There are intense sprint phases, but there are also calm moments of consolidation. Pursue less of the restless chase and accumulate more with steadiness. By gathering strength during the current adjustment period, one can ride the waves in future market movements.

The pancake has seen a slight retreat since last night, with the low point touching the 86840 line, and then bouncing back to consolidate above 88300. As the weekend approaches, market sentiment tends to be cautious, and the fluctuation range is narrowing. Looking at the weekly chart, the pancake still maintains a narrow range of fluctuations at a high level, with no clear breakthrough signal yet. Overall, the pancake continues to reach new highs amid fluctuations, showing a strong oscillating trend, and the downward momentum at the daily level has weakened. Although there are signs of certain resistance near the middle track, the upward oscillation rhythm has not been broken.
The trend of Ethereum shows a certain correlation with the pancake, primarily characterized by a "consolidating and correcting" slow rise. It is important to note that in the short term, Ethereum has not formed a strong unilateral trend, but rather maintains a back-and-forth tug-of-war pattern.
Currently, the pressure for the pancake is at the 90,000 line, with support at the 85000 line; Ethereum has strong pressure at the 3200 line, with short-term support at the 2800 line.