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$HOT 24. In 24 hours it surged 31%, but the funding rate has already spiked to 0.1%+. Last time we saw this kind of setup was before last year’s bull market topped out—three days later it dropped 40%.

The Fear & Greed Index is currently 85, on the right side of the greed zone. In historical data, after extreme greed (90%), within 7 days there is at least a 15% pullback 90% of the time. 24h trading volume is 39.8M, which is a 3x jump compared to the average of the previous 5 days—this isn’t a healthy rally; it’s a signal that retail FOMO is chasing in.

I ran a simple test using two indicators: the Fear & Greed Index and the funding rate. When Fear & Greed > 80 and funding rate > 0.05%, I mark it as an “emotional inflection point.” Of the 12 signals in the past, 11 of them showed a local top within 3 days afterward. Currently HOT is at 0.0004, and the 24h high is exactly also 0.0004, suggesting the longs are pushing hard but the buy-side momentum is running out fast.

What to do next? If you hold HOT, I suggest placing limit sell orders in batches in the 0.00038–0.0004 range, and setting your stop-loss at 0.00035. If you’re in cash, don’t chase—wait for this wave’s emotion to cool down to Fear & Greed below 70 before considering going long. If you absolutely must gamble, your stop-loss must be strict—volatility is extremely high at this level.

My personal rule: I only trade emotional inflection points, and I don’t try to capture the last 10% of the move. This time, if HOT drops back to around 0.0003, I might re-enter—but chasing long right now is basically taking the bag.
Emotional inflection point = the best entry.

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CZ—Zhao Changpeng stands at the peak of a multi-billion-dollar enterprise, then suffers a massive blow: a $400 million fine, four months in prison, and the subsequent decline of his business. He has an exceptionally strong ability to handle pressure. Faced with this crushing defeat, he does not complain about external factors; instead, he takes responsibility for the consequences of his own mistakes, accepts reality, and lets go of inner resentment and regret.
CZ does not tie his self-worth to wealth and fame. He faces the drastic drop in his net worth calmly and maintains a balanced mindset. When the crisis hits, he stays clear-headed, proactively hands over the company’s management to limit losses, and prevents risks from continuing to grow.
CZ sheds the halo of his past achievements. He does not care about public opinion and deeply reviews the lessons from his failures. He withdraws from the original industry and shifts his focus to investing and public welfare.

This incident teaches us: life’s ups and downs are hard to predict. If you make a mistake, you must dare to take responsibility, change direction in time, and don’t let a single failure negate yourself—so you can get out of your predicament.

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$BTC 🧧July 3: BTC made a modest rebound to around $61,800.🧧 In the morning, it rose slightly; the Fed’s hawkish stance kept the larger trend weak.🧧 Trading volume is insufficient, so the rebound lacks momentum. In the short term, $62,400 is a strong resistance level. Watch closely for support at $59,700 below.

Red candles continue in a steady run, the moving averages all form golden crossovers, hold onto profits, keep hold of the principal, and achieve steady, reliable earnings throughout the entire day #比特币经历2022年来最差上半年 $TAG

🚨Bitcoin just broke below $59,000 again and continues to show weakness.

This is happening despite relative stability in US, Japan, and South Korea markets.

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