btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

行情观点

短线以7万为分水岭

经过反弹后目前行情运行于69000一线。7万将会是短线的分水岭

若始终无法站上7万，行情或将进一步下跌至65-64一线

若站稳7万，行情或将进一步上探至79000一线

此仅为讨论短线走势，与中线看反弹至84以上的目标并不冲突

再次确认一下时间框架：
短线=几小时-几天
中线=几天-几周，不超过2个月内
长线=2个月以上

我认为中线内跌破至6万及以下的可能性非常低。目前已经处在深跌后反弹并整理的阶段

因为进一步下跌（即跌破6万以下）意味着下探57000以下，但6万以下区间有大量的买单，意味着下探到这一区域的阻力非常巨大。在没有进一步宏观利空到来之前，我认为跌破6万的概率很低#btc

“💣 Logan Paul, el millón que nunca existio”

Logan Paul volvió a hacerlo. Anunció a bombo y platillo una apuesta de 1 millón de dolarés en $BTC y $ETH en el Super Bowl a través de Polymarket, desatando titulares, debates y miles de interacciones.
¿El problema? El millón nunca estuvo realmente en juego.
Lo que parecía una jugada de alto riesgo terminó siendo un truco promocional perfectamente calculado. Sin fondos reales bloqueados, sin riesgo financiero auténtico… solo ruido, atención y visibilidad. Mucha visibilidad.
🎭 El espectáculo por encima de la apuesta
La maniobra dejó claro algo: en la economía de los influencers, la percepción vale más que el dinero. No importa si el riesgo es real, lo que importa es que parezca real. Y Logan Paul sabe jugar ese juego mejor que nadie.
📈 Marketing 1 – Transparencia 0
Mientras miles creían estar presenciando una apuesta histórica, la realidad era otra: una estrategia diseñada para impulsar una plataforma, generar conversación y dominar el ciclo de noticias. Misión cumplida.
🤔 La pregunta incómoda
Si una apuesta sin dinero puede generar más impacto que una real…
¿cuántas otras “hazañas millonarias” que vemos en internet son solo humo bien vendido?
🔥 En la era del click, no gana quien arriesga más, sino quien sabe captar mejor tu atención.

#btc #WhaleDeRiskETH #USIranStandoff

$BTC
BlackRock снова перевел большие объемы на Coinbase Prime

«BlackRock только что внесла еще 3 402 $BTC ($234,3 млн) и 30 216 $ETH ($60,83 млн) на Coinbase Prime».
$ETH
#crypto #BlackRock⁩ #btc #ETH

中本聪的钱包没有动，没有转出任何$BTC ，也没有迹象显示中本聪本人活跃

最近进的2.56枚BTC是别人转进去的，不是他自己转的

可能是有人致敬，或者烧币表达信仰，跟中本聪活跃没关系，没有证据显示是中本聪本人

他的110万枚BTC还是纹丝不动，别被标题党带节奏

#btc

自 72K 空头清算以来，币安上有人一直在抛售。

目前为止，Coinbase上的ETF已经吸收了部分抛售压力。

$BTC努力将头部保持在 68K 以上。

谁在卖？#btc

🚨 Market Overview

Bitcoin is currently trading around $68,000 after a small bounce from recent lows.

Price is now consolidating, and the market remains undecided.

There is no confirmed breakout or trend change at this time.

On the macro time frames these are opportunistic DCA levels, although no confirmed bottom or major astronomic volume has entered.

This continues to be a range and patience environment.

Bitcoin (BTC)

BTC remains below key resistance and is still searching for direction.

- Current Price: ~$68,000

- Key Levels:

Resistance: $70,000 – $72,500

Short-term support: Recent lows

Major support: $60,000BTC needs to either:

Push higher toward $72.5K and show acceptance, or

Sweep lower levels to help define a stronger baseUntil one of those happens, price action remains consolidation, not confirmation.

Weekly Outlook

BTC is consolidating near $68KNo confirmed breakout or breakdown

Volatility remains a factor

This week is about waiting for expansion, not forcing trades.

Stay Safe

#WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #btc #bitcoin

$BTC
$SOL
$ETH

#btc 2 月 11 日，Polymarket 上预测比特币价格波动概率更新。据 BlockBeats 报道，预测比特币今年跌至 5.5 万美元的概率升至 78%。此外，预测其跌至 5 万美元暂报 63%，涨至 8 万美元概率暂报 72%，涨至 9 万美元概率暂报 55%。

$BTC
BTCUSDT Update

🟦 Price entering strong support zone.
👀 Watching for bounce confirmation.

If support holds → upside move towards 74–75k possible.
If breakdown → avoid long.

Patience = best entry. 🚀

#USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #GoldSilverRally #btc #thebitcoin537

谁在抛售？谁在接盘？真相在这！

Lookonchain 最新监测：
今日 10 只 BTC ETF 净流入 2.84 亿美元。
散户在恐慌，机构在加仓。
关键数据：
ETH 流入超 2 万枚，SOL 持续吸金。
这是底部信号，还是机构的“诱多”？ 评论区聊聊。👇#btc #ETH
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

Tiếp tục gồng lời nhỉ
Target về 65kxxx
$BTC #btc

我只想做正确的事情，除非大饼以太跌倒盈亏比合适的地方，不然我不会为了20-30点的反弹 来操作。

过早抄底稍有不慎就会被套2-3年，中间会有太多的机会错过 得不偿失。

即便按照下个牛市btc涨到20万u来算6万+的价格也就3倍，4年3倍太多股票可以超过这个收益了，何必呢。

跌倒5万以内才有抄底的性价比，均价4万涨到20万才有5倍收益。

以太坊的话下轮牛市能破前高来算的话也得1k附近才能抄底 做到5倍收益。

经验来说的话很多人会死在过早抄底和耐不住性子过早币本位做多上，真正的底部需要绝望。
#btc