btc
7.8G показвания
41.2M обсъждат
Популярни
Последни
🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Jorge_75314:
6
Bitcoin acaba de fazer algo que nunca fez antes na história:
2 primeiros meses do ano no vermelho.
Isso não é coincidência.
Isso é pressão psicológica.
O mercado testa sua convicção antes de recompensar sua paciência.
Fortunas são construídas nesses momentos.
Mas a maioria só percebe depois que já subiu 200%.
Você vai esperar confirmação… ou agir no silêncio?
#btc #analysis #TradingCommunity #hold
2 primeiros meses do ano no vermelho.
Isso não é coincidência.
Isso é pressão psicológica.
O mercado testa sua convicção antes de recompensar sua paciência.
Fortunas são construídas nesses momentos.
Mas a maioria só percebe depois que já subiu 200%.
Você vai esperar confirmação… ou agir no silêncio?
#btc #analysis #TradingCommunity #hold
Nabil-Trades:
A trader without emotional awareness is a risk without a stop loss.
قد يكون $BTC يستعد لهبوط كبير نحو 29,000 دولار في وقت مبكر من الأسبوع المقبل.
يبدو أن الفخ الصاعد الأخير لعام 2026 قد اكتمل — وإذا كان هذا الرسم البياني صحيحًا، فقد بدأ بالفعل الهبوط التالي.
هل أنت مستعد حقًا لما قد يكون أطول سوق هابطة شهدناها على الإطلاق؟
#btc #BTC
@ejjaz malik
يبدو أن الفخ الصاعد الأخير لعام 2026 قد اكتمل — وإذا كان هذا الرسم البياني صحيحًا، فقد بدأ بالفعل الهبوط التالي.
هل أنت مستعد حقًا لما قد يكون أطول سوق هابطة شهدناها على الإطلاق؟
#btc #BTC
@ejjaz malik
Moutei crypto:
السكتة القلبية للعملات الرقمية ❤️🩹
别被表象骗了，华尔街那帮人透露的信号其实很露骨。
还在吵这波回调是不是熊来了，真的挺幼稚。兄弟们，把格局打开点，看看现在的国际动向。
最近美国那边的监管风向（SEC/CFTC）明显变了，再加上欧洲MiCA法案落地的连锁反应，你们没发现吗？“草莽时代”彻底结束了。
不管是贝莱德还在加仓RWA，还是香港那边在抢Web3的话语权，所有大国和机构都在做一件事：要把加密资产变成他们能控制的“正规军”。
这意味着什么？
意味着以后市场上只有两类币能活：
1. 绝对的共识之王（BTC），那是给国家做储备的。
2. 有真实收入、能过合规审核的“铲子”（比如BNB这种头部平台币）。至于那些只有几页PPT、全是散户在自嗨的“土狗”和“空气项目”，在这种合规化的大清洗下，流动性只会越来越枯竭。
还是那句老话：如果你是来赌一把的，去冲土狗，祝你好运；但如果你是想在这个圈子把资产滚雪球滚上去的，哪怕现在行情再磨人，也别轻易交出你手里的核心筹码。这不仅仅是钱的问题，这是一张通往未来金融世界的船票。懂的自然懂。☕️
最近美国那边的监管风向（SEC/CFTC）明显变了，再加上欧洲MiCA法案落地的连锁反应，你们没发现吗？“草莽时代”彻底结束了。
不管是贝莱德还在加仓RWA，还是香港那边在抢Web3的话语权，所有大国和机构都在做一件事：要把加密资产变成他们能控制的“正规军”。
这意味着什么？
意味着以后市场上只有两类币能活：
1. 绝对的共识之王（BTC），那是给国家做储备的。
2. 有真实收入、能过合规审核的“铲子”（比如BNB这种头部平台币）。至于那些只有几页PPT、全是散户在自嗨的“土狗”和“空气项目”，在这种合规化的大清洗下，流动性只会越来越枯竭。
还是那句老话：如果你是来赌一把的，去冲土狗，祝你好运；但如果你是想在这个圈子把资产滚雪球滚上去的，哪怕现在行情再磨人，也别轻易交出你手里的核心筹码。这不仅仅是钱的问题，这是一张通往未来金融世界的船票。懂的自然懂。☕️
Faucets, Halving e Ciclos
Como conseguir 0.0000001 BTC em segundos?
A maioria vai rir.
Mas quem entende ciclos, presta atenção.
O Bitcoin opera sob um mecanismo chamado Halving.
A cada ciclo, a emissão de novos BTC é reduzida pela metade.
Menos oferta.
Mesma ou maior demanda.
Pressão estrutural de escassez.
Agora pense comigo:
Se a emissão está diminuindo a cada ciclo…
Acumular satoshis durante mercados de baixa não é insignificante.
É estratégico.
Enquanto muitos esperam o próximo bull market para comprar no topo…
Alguns estão acumulando frações diariamente.
0.0000001 BTC parece pequeno hoje.
Mas em um cenário de múltiplos ciclos de halving, cada satoshi representa uma fração de um ativo cada vez mais escasso.
Faucets continuam distribuindo Bitcoin mesmo em 2026, mesmo em mercado de queda.
A pergunta não é se o valor hoje é baixo.
A pergunta é:
Você está construindo posição antes da próxima compressão de oferta?
Holder não nasce no hype.
Holder nasce na disciplina silenciosa.
#btc
Como conseguir 0.0000001 BTC em segundos?
A maioria vai rir.
Mas quem entende ciclos, presta atenção.
O Bitcoin opera sob um mecanismo chamado Halving.
A cada ciclo, a emissão de novos BTC é reduzida pela metade.
Menos oferta.
Mesma ou maior demanda.
Pressão estrutural de escassez.
Agora pense comigo:
Se a emissão está diminuindo a cada ciclo…
Acumular satoshis durante mercados de baixa não é insignificante.
É estratégico.
Enquanto muitos esperam o próximo bull market para comprar no topo…
Alguns estão acumulando frações diariamente.
0.0000001 BTC parece pequeno hoje.
Mas em um cenário de múltiplos ciclos de halving, cada satoshi representa uma fração de um ativo cada vez mais escasso.
Faucets continuam distribuindo Bitcoin mesmo em 2026, mesmo em mercado de queda.
A pergunta não é se o valor hoje é baixo.
A pergunta é:
Você está construindo posição antes da próxima compressão de oferta?
Holder não nasce no hype.
Holder nasce na disciplina silenciosa.
#btc
Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on One Key On-Chain Signal
The crypto market is not going anywhere now. There is no momentum in the crypto market and it is hard to say which way it is going. Bitcoin has gone down by over 1% in the past day. People who trade crypto are just waiting to see what happens next, with the crypto market. They are waiting for something to happen with Bitcoin and the crypto market so they can make a move.
What is going on behind the scenes is that the on-chain data might already be telling the story of the on-chain data. The on-chain data is like a secret that's not visible to everyone but the on-chain data is still giving us clues about what is really happening with the, on-chain data.
The NUPL Factor
Alphractal co-founder Joao Wedson says that the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric is really important for people who hold Bitcoin for a time. This metric helps figure out when Bitcoin is at its point. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric for long-term Bitcoin holders is the signal for timing Bitcoins macro bottoms. Joao Wedson thinks this is the reliable signal.
The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric is at 0.36 now. This means that people who have been holding Bitcoin for a time are still making a profit overall. They are still in a position. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric, for Bitcoin is important to look at. Bitcoin holders are still doing well.
The thing is Bitcoin usually has its increases after this number becomes negative. When even the people who are willing to wait a time are losing money that is when nobody wants to sell Bitcoin anymore. At that point Bitcoin moves, from people who do not want to hold it to people who really believe in Bitcoin and that is when Bitcoin can go up a lot.
Every time something like this has happened before it has always gone the way. The people who own these things have had to deal with a lot of pain right before things started to look up. We are not at that point yet. The way things are going is important. Maximum pain for holders of these things came before maximum opportunity, for holders of these things.
MVRV Flashing Warning Signs
CryptoQuant found something important. The Bitcoin MVRV ratio just went into what they call the "Accumulation Zone". This is the time it has happened since May 2022. The Accumulation Zone, for Bitcoin starts when the MVRV ratio goes below 1.44. This means Bitcoin is cheap compared to its realized price. The Bitcoin MVRV ratio is used to see if Bitcoin is a buy or not. When the Bitcoin MVRV ratio is low it is a time to buy Bitcoin.
It is worth remembering that the time this situation happened Bitcoin still went down another 50 percent. It went from 30,000 dollars down, to 15,000 dollars before it finally stopped going down. So when Bitcoin enters the accumulation zone it does not mean that the price will stop going down away. It means that smart money, which is the money that people who know what they are doing invest starts to pay attention to Bitcoin.
What It All Means
So you are probably wondering what it all means. The truth is that what it all means is not always easy to understand. Sometimes what it all means is very complicated and difficult to figure out.
What it all means can be different for each person. What it all means to you might be very different from what it all means to someone
Here are a things to think about when trying to understand what it all means:
* What it all means is not about the big things in life
* What it all means is also about the things that happen every day
* What it all means can change over time as you learn and grow
Ultimately what it all means is something that you have to decide for yourself. What it all means is a thing that is unique, to each person.
The indicators are not saying we should buy now. What they are showing us is that the market is moving slowly towards the type of situation that happens before we see good buying opportunities. People need to feel more pessimistic, about the market. We also need to see all the speculation completely gone from the market. The market needs to get to the point where people are not speculating about what will happen. This is what the indicators are telling us about the market conditions and the market.
The biggest opportunities in crypto have always emerged when nobody wanted to touch it. That moment hasn't arrived but the data says it's getting closer.
$BTC $ETH
#MarketRebound #CPIWatch #btc #BTC
What is going on behind the scenes is that the on-chain data might already be telling the story of the on-chain data. The on-chain data is like a secret that's not visible to everyone but the on-chain data is still giving us clues about what is really happening with the, on-chain data.
The NUPL Factor
Alphractal co-founder Joao Wedson says that the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric is really important for people who hold Bitcoin for a time. This metric helps figure out when Bitcoin is at its point. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric for long-term Bitcoin holders is the signal for timing Bitcoins macro bottoms. Joao Wedson thinks this is the reliable signal.
The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric is at 0.36 now. This means that people who have been holding Bitcoin for a time are still making a profit overall. They are still in a position. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric, for Bitcoin is important to look at. Bitcoin holders are still doing well.
The thing is Bitcoin usually has its increases after this number becomes negative. When even the people who are willing to wait a time are losing money that is when nobody wants to sell Bitcoin anymore. At that point Bitcoin moves, from people who do not want to hold it to people who really believe in Bitcoin and that is when Bitcoin can go up a lot.
Every time something like this has happened before it has always gone the way. The people who own these things have had to deal with a lot of pain right before things started to look up. We are not at that point yet. The way things are going is important. Maximum pain for holders of these things came before maximum opportunity, for holders of these things.
MVRV Flashing Warning Signs
CryptoQuant found something important. The Bitcoin MVRV ratio just went into what they call the "Accumulation Zone". This is the time it has happened since May 2022. The Accumulation Zone, for Bitcoin starts when the MVRV ratio goes below 1.44. This means Bitcoin is cheap compared to its realized price. The Bitcoin MVRV ratio is used to see if Bitcoin is a buy or not. When the Bitcoin MVRV ratio is low it is a time to buy Bitcoin.
It is worth remembering that the time this situation happened Bitcoin still went down another 50 percent. It went from 30,000 dollars down, to 15,000 dollars before it finally stopped going down. So when Bitcoin enters the accumulation zone it does not mean that the price will stop going down away. It means that smart money, which is the money that people who know what they are doing invest starts to pay attention to Bitcoin.
What It All Means
So you are probably wondering what it all means. The truth is that what it all means is not always easy to understand. Sometimes what it all means is very complicated and difficult to figure out.
What it all means can be different for each person. What it all means to you might be very different from what it all means to someone
Here are a things to think about when trying to understand what it all means:
* What it all means is not about the big things in life
* What it all means is also about the things that happen every day
* What it all means can change over time as you learn and grow
Ultimately what it all means is something that you have to decide for yourself. What it all means is a thing that is unique, to each person.
The indicators are not saying we should buy now. What they are showing us is that the market is moving slowly towards the type of situation that happens before we see good buying opportunities. People need to feel more pessimistic, about the market. We also need to see all the speculation completely gone from the market. The market needs to get to the point where people are not speculating about what will happen. This is what the indicators are telling us about the market conditions and the market.
The biggest opportunities in crypto have always emerged when nobody wanted to touch it. That moment hasn't arrived but the data says it's getting closer.
$BTC $ETH
#MarketRebound #CPIWatch #btc #BTC
🔥 $BTC is priming for a breakout while the weak hands fold. Don't get left behind. The supply shock is loading and the next leg up looks imminent.
🔥LONG $BTC /USDT
Entry: $68,600 - $69,200
Stoploss: $67,500
Targets:
TP1: $70,200
TP2: $71,200
TP3: $72,500
✅TA: BTC is holding firmly above the $68.4k support zone. With profitable supply at multi-year lows, seller exhaustion is peaking. H4 structure has shifted from bearish to a solid accumulation base. A confirmed break above $71.7k resistance will trigger the squeeze.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#btc
🔥LONG $BTC /USDT
Entry: $68,600 - $69,200
Stoploss: $67,500
Targets:
TP1: $70,200
TP2: $71,200
TP3: $72,500
✅TA: BTC is holding firmly above the $68.4k support zone. With profitable supply at multi-year lows, seller exhaustion is peaking. H4 structure has shifted from bearish to a solid accumulation base. A confirmed break above $71.7k resistance will trigger the squeeze.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#btc
B
BTCUSDT
Безсрочно
Затворена
PNL
+112.22%
Gracy44:
Too early
$BTC 1H级别在68000-69000区间窄幅震荡，价格正测试1H EMA20（68818）阻力。4H级别仍处于下降通道内，但1H RSI（39.89）已从超卖区反弹，且最新1小时K线买盘占比52%，显示短期抛压减弱，存在技术性反弹需求。OI稳定，负费率暗示空头占优，但价格未进一步下破，警惕轧空可能。
🎯方向：做多（回调接多）
🎯入场/挂单：68500 - 68700（理由：回踩1H EMA20支撑区，同时是近期小级别盘整中枢）
🛑止损：67900（理由：跌破前低68030及4H K线实体低点，确认下跌延续）
🚀目标1：69500（理由：4H级别前高阻力及EMA50（69527）附近）
🚀目标2：70300（理由：1H级别前高及2月15日反弹高点区域）
🛡️交易管理：
- 仓位建议：轻仓（理由：4H趋势仍偏空，此为逆小势顺大势的反弹博弈，风险较高）
- 执行策略：价格到达目标1后，将止损上移至入场位（保本位）。剩余仓位看向目标2。若价格无法站稳1H EMA20之上，或反弹无力，可提前减仓。
深度逻辑：盘口显示买盘深度在68320附近有集中堆积（约4.67 BTC），构成短期支撑。1H级别出现价格新低但RSI未新低的潜在底背离雏形。市场逻辑提示“价格下跌，持仓量稳定”，并非主力出货，更多是多头被动减仓。若价格能放量突破69000（1H EMA50），将确认短期底部，吸引追多资金。
在这里交易 👇$BTC
---
关注我：获取更多加密市场实时分析与洞察！
#Fogo #btc
@币安广场
$ETH
🎯方向：做多（回调接多）
🎯入场/挂单：68500 - 68700（理由：回踩1H EMA20支撑区，同时是近期小级别盘整中枢）
🛑止损：67900（理由：跌破前低68030及4H K线实体低点，确认下跌延续）
🚀目标1：69500（理由：4H级别前高阻力及EMA50（69527）附近）
🚀目标2：70300（理由：1H级别前高及2月15日反弹高点区域）
🛡️交易管理：
- 仓位建议：轻仓（理由：4H趋势仍偏空，此为逆小势顺大势的反弹博弈，风险较高）
- 执行策略：价格到达目标1后，将止损上移至入场位（保本位）。剩余仓位看向目标2。若价格无法站稳1H EMA20之上，或反弹无力，可提前减仓。
深度逻辑：盘口显示买盘深度在68320附近有集中堆积（约4.67 BTC），构成短期支撑。1H级别出现价格新低但RSI未新低的潜在底背离雏形。市场逻辑提示“价格下跌，持仓量稳定”，并非主力出货，更多是多头被动减仓。若价格能放量突破69000（1H EMA50），将确认短期底部，吸引追多资金。
在这里交易 👇$BTC
---
关注我：获取更多加密市场实时分析与洞察！
#Fogo #btc
@币安广场
$ETH
1. 行情：深夜“血洗”，多头集体熄火
• 高空跳水： 比特币在触及 $71,000 关口后直线跳水，目前回落至 $68,000 - $69,000 附近震荡；以太坊（ETH）更惨，单日跌幅一度接近 6%。
• 数据杀手： 全网 24 小时爆仓金额高达 3.3 亿美元（约 23 亿人民币），超过 11 万人 成为“燃料”。
• 关键支撑： 机构预警，如果 BTC 跌破 $60,000 心理防线，期权市场的看跌头寸将引发连锁清算。
2. 宏观：降息预期再变，美联储“最爱指标”将至
• 通胀阴云： 本周五（2月20日）将公布 核心 PCE 指数，市场预测通胀可能回升至 2.9%，这让原本乐观的降息预期蒙上阴影。
• 博弈焦点： 目前市场将“确定性降息”押注推迟到了 7月，短期内流动性收紧的预期导致风险资产集体承压。
3. 机构：大佬们也在“死扛”
• 微策略（MSTR）豪言： 全球持币最多的上市公司 Strategy 声明，即便 BTC 跌至 $8,000，他们也有足够的资产覆盖债务，绝不平仓。目前该机构持有超 71 万枚 BTC。
• 巨头换手： 链上数据显示，部分老牌矿商（如 Mara Holdings）近期频繁移动大额 BTC，疑似在进行套现或资产重组。
#btc #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
• 高空跳水： 比特币在触及 $71,000 关口后直线跳水，目前回落至 $68,000 - $69,000 附近震荡；以太坊（ETH）更惨，单日跌幅一度接近 6%。
• 数据杀手： 全网 24 小时爆仓金额高达 3.3 亿美元（约 23 亿人民币），超过 11 万人 成为“燃料”。
• 关键支撑： 机构预警，如果 BTC 跌破 $60,000 心理防线，期权市场的看跌头寸将引发连锁清算。
2. 宏观：降息预期再变，美联储“最爱指标”将至
• 通胀阴云： 本周五（2月20日）将公布 核心 PCE 指数，市场预测通胀可能回升至 2.9%，这让原本乐观的降息预期蒙上阴影。
• 博弈焦点： 目前市场将“确定性降息”押注推迟到了 7月，短期内流动性收紧的预期导致风险资产集体承压。
3. 机构：大佬们也在“死扛”
• 微策略（MSTR）豪言： 全球持币最多的上市公司 Strategy 声明，即便 BTC 跌至 $8,000，他们也有足够的资产覆盖债务，绝不平仓。目前该机构持有超 71 万枚 BTC。
• 巨头换手： 链上数据显示，部分老牌矿商（如 Mara Holdings）近期频繁移动大额 BTC，疑似在进行套现或资产重组。
#btc #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Dlaczego $BTC spada?
$BTC
Dlaczego $BTC spada
Makro i sentyment ryzyka
Zbliżają się dane o inflacji PCE i PKB w USA, a rosnące obawy o utrzymanie wysokich stóp procentowych sprawiają, że duże fundusze ograniczają ekspozycję na ryzykowne aktywa. Realne obniżki stóp odsuwają się w czasie, co zniechęca instytucje do dalszych zakupów BTC i wywołuje presję na cenę.
Struktura rynku i likwidacje
Po krótkiej euforii na poziomie 70,000 USDT nastąpił masowy cascade likwidacji. W ciągu ostatnich 24 godzin rynek odnotował ponad 3.3 miliarda USDT w likwidacjach longów, co pogłębiło spadek i chwilowo zaburzyło płynność. Taki efekt domina to klasyczny “flush”, który często poprzedza fazę stabilizacji.
Zachowanie instytucji (ETF-y i korporacje)
ETF-y na BTC odnotowały mieszane przepływy: po kilku dniach odpływu pojawiły się symboliczne wzrosty napływów, ale nie na tyle, by powstrzymać korektę. Spółka MSTR mimo 51 miliardów USD strat papierowych wciąż dokupuje BTC, jednak rynek czyta to jako sygnał długoterminowy, nie krótkoterminową obronę ceny.
Zmiana nastrojów społeczności
Na X (Twitterze) temat „Trump rozważa BTC w rezerwach USA” wywołał chwilowy euforyczny skok nastroju, który przekształcił się w spekulację i przesyt. Indeks Fear & Greed spadł do 11, co oznacza ekstremalny strach — kontrariański sygnał, ale tymczasowo dominujący jest defensywny ton.
Prognoza i wskazówki operacyjne
Ogólnie rzecz biorąc, rynek krótkoterminowo pozostaje pod presją, ale w rejonie 68,000 USDT kształtuje się kluczowe techniczne wsparcie.
Kluczowy układ
Jeśli BTC/USDT utrzyma się powyżej 68,000 – 69,000 USDT, może spróbować ponownie wejść w strefę 70,000 – 72,000 USDT z celem na odbicie.
Jeśli wolumen osłabnie i cena znowu spadnie poniżej 66,000 USDT, możliwy powrót do 62,000 USDT, gdzie znajduje się głębsze wsparcie.
Dane i sygnały
Dane o pozycjach z kontraktów wskazują, że ponad 59.2 % pozycji znajduje się po stronie longów, a tylko 40.7 % po stronie shortów. To nie tylko emocjonalne głosy, ale realne pieniądze na stole — tak duża przewaga longów często oznacza ryzyko krótkoterminowej korekty.
Stawka finansowania kontraktów wynosi –0.000033, co sugeruje lekką przewagę krótkich pozycji na rynku perpetual, jednak bez ekstremów.
Dane z rynku pokazują, że w ciągu ostatnich dni odpływ środków netto z BTC wyniósł ponad 173 miliony USDT, co wskazuje, że kapitał przewartościowuje ekspozycję przed decyzjami FED.
Pozycjonowanie trendu
Sentyment nadal chłodny, wolumen w kontraktach rośnie, ale bez nowego momentum. Rynek prawdopodobnie pozostanie w bocznym zakresie 68,000 – 71,000 USDT, dopóki nie pojawi się impuls z makro lub z ETF-ów.
Czy więc to moment paniki, czy raczej faza akumulacji “by smart money”? Wybór należy do Ciebie — i jak to w krypto bywa, albo wchodzisz w emocje jak FOMO wojownik 😎, albo siadasz z zimną kalkulacją i czekasz na sygnał potwierdzenia.
🔥
#BTCFellBelow$69 " data-hashtag="#BTCFellBelow$69 " class="tag">#BTCFellBelow$69
#BTCFellBelow$69,000Again
#btc
Dlaczego $BTC spada
Makro i sentyment ryzyka
Zbliżają się dane o inflacji PCE i PKB w USA, a rosnące obawy o utrzymanie wysokich stóp procentowych sprawiają, że duże fundusze ograniczają ekspozycję na ryzykowne aktywa. Realne obniżki stóp odsuwają się w czasie, co zniechęca instytucje do dalszych zakupów BTC i wywołuje presję na cenę.
Struktura rynku i likwidacje
Po krótkiej euforii na poziomie 70,000 USDT nastąpił masowy cascade likwidacji. W ciągu ostatnich 24 godzin rynek odnotował ponad 3.3 miliarda USDT w likwidacjach longów, co pogłębiło spadek i chwilowo zaburzyło płynność. Taki efekt domina to klasyczny “flush”, który często poprzedza fazę stabilizacji.
Zachowanie instytucji (ETF-y i korporacje)
ETF-y na BTC odnotowały mieszane przepływy: po kilku dniach odpływu pojawiły się symboliczne wzrosty napływów, ale nie na tyle, by powstrzymać korektę. Spółka MSTR mimo 51 miliardów USD strat papierowych wciąż dokupuje BTC, jednak rynek czyta to jako sygnał długoterminowy, nie krótkoterminową obronę ceny.
Zmiana nastrojów społeczności
Na X (Twitterze) temat „Trump rozważa BTC w rezerwach USA” wywołał chwilowy euforyczny skok nastroju, który przekształcił się w spekulację i przesyt. Indeks Fear & Greed spadł do 11, co oznacza ekstremalny strach — kontrariański sygnał, ale tymczasowo dominujący jest defensywny ton.
Prognoza i wskazówki operacyjne
Ogólnie rzecz biorąc, rynek krótkoterminowo pozostaje pod presją, ale w rejonie 68,000 USDT kształtuje się kluczowe techniczne wsparcie.
Kluczowy układ
Jeśli BTC/USDT utrzyma się powyżej 68,000 – 69,000 USDT, może spróbować ponownie wejść w strefę 70,000 – 72,000 USDT z celem na odbicie.
Jeśli wolumen osłabnie i cena znowu spadnie poniżej 66,000 USDT, możliwy powrót do 62,000 USDT, gdzie znajduje się głębsze wsparcie.
Dane i sygnały
Dane o pozycjach z kontraktów wskazują, że ponad 59.2 % pozycji znajduje się po stronie longów, a tylko 40.7 % po stronie shortów. To nie tylko emocjonalne głosy, ale realne pieniądze na stole — tak duża przewaga longów często oznacza ryzyko krótkoterminowej korekty.
Stawka finansowania kontraktów wynosi –0.000033, co sugeruje lekką przewagę krótkich pozycji na rynku perpetual, jednak bez ekstremów.
Dane z rynku pokazują, że w ciągu ostatnich dni odpływ środków netto z BTC wyniósł ponad 173 miliony USDT, co wskazuje, że kapitał przewartościowuje ekspozycję przed decyzjami FED.
Pozycjonowanie trendu
Sentyment nadal chłodny, wolumen w kontraktach rośnie, ale bez nowego momentum. Rynek prawdopodobnie pozostanie w bocznym zakresie 68,000 – 71,000 USDT, dopóki nie pojawi się impuls z makro lub z ETF-ów.
Czy więc to moment paniki, czy raczej faza akumulacji “by smart money”? Wybór należy do Ciebie — i jak to w krypto bywa, albo wchodzisz w emocje jak FOMO wojownik 😎, albo siadasz z zimną kalkulacją i czekasz na sygnał potwierdzenia.
🔥
#BTCFellBelow$69 " data-hashtag="#BTCFellBelow$69 " class="tag">#BTCFellBelow$69
#BTCFellBelow$69,000Again
#btc
👀 Для Strategy навіть BTC по $8 000 — не проблема
📉 Компанія Strategy підтвердила, що навіть у разі падіння ціни Bitcoin до $8 000 її активів вистачить для повного покриття всіх боргових зобов’язань.
🔄 За словами Майкла Сейлора, частину конвертованого боргу компанія планує перетворити в акціонерний капітал протягом наступних 3–6 років.
💬 Такий підхід демонструє продуману роботу з ризиками та довгострокове бачення розвитку, навіть в умовах високої волатильності ринку.
😅 Поки Strategy обраховує можливі наслідки падіння BTC, у США з’явилася новина про відкриття збору для погашення державного боргу у $38 трильйонів
#strategy #btc $BTC
📉 Компанія Strategy підтвердила, що навіть у разі падіння ціни Bitcoin до $8 000 її активів вистачить для повного покриття всіх боргових зобов’язань.
🔄 За словами Майкла Сейлора, частину конвертованого боргу компанія планує перетворити в акціонерний капітал протягом наступних 3–6 років.
💬 Такий підхід демонструє продуману роботу з ризиками та довгострокове бачення розвитку, навіть в умовах високої волатильності ринку.
😅 Поки Strategy обраховує можливі наслідки падіння BTC, у США з’явилася новина про відкриття збору для погашення державного боргу у $38 трильйонів
#strategy #btc $BTC
🔱🚀 EL PRÓXIMO MOVIMIENTO 🚀🔱
* El Abismo Bajista: Si el soporte local actual en $67,294 se rompe, espera un desagüe rápido hacia el piso psicológico de $66,000. ⛓️🎯
* La Trampa de Alivio: Los toros deben recuperar $69,200 solo para estabilizar la tendencia. Cualquier bombeo hacia $70,000 probablemente sea un "engaño" a menos que esté respaldado por un aumento masivo en el volumen de compras. 🌬️⚡
* Conclusión: btc es radiactivo. Observa el área de $67,800 como un halcón; si no logra mantenerse en el próximo cierre de 15 minutos, el 2026 se va a poner mucho Mal💀
¡Si deseas que se analice un gráfico de una moneda específica, comenta el nombre de la moneda abajo! 🚀
$BTC #btc
* El Abismo Bajista: Si el soporte local actual en $67,294 se rompe, espera un desagüe rápido hacia el piso psicológico de $66,000. ⛓️🎯
* La Trampa de Alivio: Los toros deben recuperar $69,200 solo para estabilizar la tendencia. Cualquier bombeo hacia $70,000 probablemente sea un "engaño" a menos que esté respaldado por un aumento masivo en el volumen de compras. 🌬️⚡
* Conclusión: btc es radiactivo. Observa el área de $67,800 como un halcón; si no logra mantenerse en el próximo cierre de 15 minutos, el 2026 se va a poner mucho Mal💀
¡Si deseas que se analice un gráfico de una moneda específica, comenta el nombre de la moneda abajo! 🚀
$BTC #btc
Влезте, за да разгледате още съдържание