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💵 $XRP price fell over 20% this week, dropping to $1.53, its lowest level recorded since November 2024.
😵 According to data XRP price fell 20.7% over the past seven days to a weekly low of $1.53 on Feb. 4 before stabilizing a little higher at $1.60 at the time of writing. The losses position it roughly 56% below its all-time high of $3.65, reached in July last year.
🤔 XRP price analysis
Technical indicators on the weekly chart also confirm a gloomy outlook for XRP price in the weeks ahead.
👎 XRP price is currently trapped within a descending parallel channel, which confirms that the overall trend remains bearish. Subsequently, if XRP breaches the lower support line of the pattern, the downtrend could intensify.
🤐 Having fallen for five weeks straight, XRP is also at the brink of breaking below the $1.56 Murrey Math pivot level. It has already slipped under its 20, 50, and 100-day moving averages and is on the verge of turning a previous double top neckline at $1.60 into a new level of resistance.
🤷 Consequently, the forecast remains heavily bearish. If XRP cannot hold its current ground, the next stop is the psychological floor at $1. A breach of that level would likely open the door for a further slide toward $0.78, which marks a major reversal zone on the Murrey Math scale.
#xrp #Xrp🔥🔥 #analysis
According to data from crypto.news
😵 According to data XRP price fell 20.7% over the past seven days to a weekly low of $1.53 on Feb. 4 before stabilizing a little higher at $1.60 at the time of writing. The losses position it roughly 56% below its all-time high of $3.65, reached in July last year.
🤔 XRP price analysis
Technical indicators on the weekly chart also confirm a gloomy outlook for XRP price in the weeks ahead.
👎 XRP price is currently trapped within a descending parallel channel, which confirms that the overall trend remains bearish. Subsequently, if XRP breaches the lower support line of the pattern, the downtrend could intensify.
🤐 Having fallen for five weeks straight, XRP is also at the brink of breaking below the $1.56 Murrey Math pivot level. It has already slipped under its 20, 50, and 100-day moving averages and is on the verge of turning a previous double top neckline at $1.60 into a new level of resistance.
🤷 Consequently, the forecast remains heavily bearish. If XRP cannot hold its current ground, the next stop is the psychological floor at $1. A breach of that level would likely open the door for a further slide toward $0.78, which marks a major reversal zone on the Murrey Math scale.
#xrp #Xrp🔥🔥 #analysis
According to data from crypto.news
XRP — سكالب 2 و 3 محدث
════════════════════════════════════
🪙 XRP — سكالب 2 و 3 محدث
بروتوكول Azou
════════════════════════════════════
السعر المرجعي : 1.59 $
الوضع : ضغط بعد هبوط — تذبذب قبل قرار
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 2 (في حال هبوط إضافي) ════════════════════════════════════
منطقة الشراء : 1.53 – 1.55 $
الهدف : 1.60 $
إيقاف الخسارة : 1.50 $
الزمن المتوقع (THMP) : من 6 إلى 24 ساعة
الحركة المتوقعة :
1️⃣ هبوط بطيء نحو 1.54 $
2️⃣ لمسة سريعة للمنطقة
3️⃣ ارتداد تقني نحو 1.58 $
4️⃣ امتداد إلى 1.60 $ ثم خروج
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 3 (من القاع الأعمق) ════════════════════════════════════
منطقة الشراء : 1.47 – 1.49 $
الهدف : 1.56 $
إيقاف الخسارة : 1.43 $
الزمن المتوقع (THMP) : من 12 إلى 36 ساعة
الحركة المتوقعة :
1️⃣ هبوط مفاجئ نحو 1.48 $
2️⃣ شموع ذعر قصيرة
3️⃣ ارتداد سريع فوق 1.52 $
4️⃣ صعود تدريجي حتى 1.56 $
════════════════════════════════════
قواعد التنفيذ
════════════════════════════════════
كل سكالب مستقل عن الآخر.
لا دخول إلا عند لمس منطقة الشراء.
الخروج فور الوصول إلى الهدف.
إذا ضُرب وقف الخسارة ننتقل للسكالب التالي.
═══════════════
════════════════════════════════════
🧠 تحليل نفسي لسكالب XRP
بروتوكول Azou — مرافقة نفسية
════════════════════════════════════
الوضع : ثلاث مناطق سكالب متتالية
الهدف : تحييد اللعب النفسي قبل الأهداف
════════════════════════════════════
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 2 — منطقة 1.53 – 1.55 $ ════════════════════════════════════
ما سيحدث نفسيًا :
هبوط بطيء يخلق خوفًا تدريجيًا
شعور أن السوق “لن يرتد”
ضغط نفسي يدفع للبيع قرب القاع
المغزى النفسي :
مرحلة تجميع ذكية
إخراج المشترين الضعفاء
التصرف الصحيح :
✔ دخول فقط داخل المنطقة المحددة
✔ لا مطاردة السعر
✔ انتظار الارتداد دون استعجال
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 3 — منطقة 1.47 – 1.49 $ ════════════════════════════════════
ما سيحدث نفسيًا :
هبوط مفاجئ وسريع
شموع ذعر قوية
إحساس بأن السوق انهار تمامًا
المغزى النفسي :
آخر مرحلة إخراج جماعي
نهاية الضغط قبل الارتداد التقني
التصرف الصحيح :
✔ دخول هادئ داخل المنطقة
✔ عدم الخوف من الشموع الحمراء
✔ الالتزام بالهدف دون ذعر
════════════════════════════════════
📊 THMP النفسي العام ════════════════════════════════════
مدة الاختبارات النفسية :
من 6 ساعات إلى 36 ساعة
الحركة : تذبذب + ضغط نفسي قبل الارتداد
════════════════════════════════════
📖 الخلاصة ════════════════════════════════════
التذبذب جزء من الخطة
الشموع الحمراء ليست نهاية الحركة
الخوف يظهر قرب مناطق الشراء
الهدوء هو مفتاح الربح
════════════════════════════════════
SIGNATURE
— azoudonpadrino
════════════════════════════════════
#analysis #crypto $XRP
🪙 XRP — سكالب 2 و 3 محدث
بروتوكول Azou
════════════════════════════════════
السعر المرجعي : 1.59 $
الوضع : ضغط بعد هبوط — تذبذب قبل قرار
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 2 (في حال هبوط إضافي) ════════════════════════════════════
منطقة الشراء : 1.53 – 1.55 $
الهدف : 1.60 $
إيقاف الخسارة : 1.50 $
الزمن المتوقع (THMP) : من 6 إلى 24 ساعة
الحركة المتوقعة :
1️⃣ هبوط بطيء نحو 1.54 $
2️⃣ لمسة سريعة للمنطقة
3️⃣ ارتداد تقني نحو 1.58 $
4️⃣ امتداد إلى 1.60 $ ثم خروج
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 3 (من القاع الأعمق) ════════════════════════════════════
منطقة الشراء : 1.47 – 1.49 $
الهدف : 1.56 $
إيقاف الخسارة : 1.43 $
الزمن المتوقع (THMP) : من 12 إلى 36 ساعة
الحركة المتوقعة :
1️⃣ هبوط مفاجئ نحو 1.48 $
2️⃣ شموع ذعر قصيرة
3️⃣ ارتداد سريع فوق 1.52 $
4️⃣ صعود تدريجي حتى 1.56 $
════════════════════════════════════
قواعد التنفيذ
════════════════════════════════════
كل سكالب مستقل عن الآخر.
لا دخول إلا عند لمس منطقة الشراء.
الخروج فور الوصول إلى الهدف.
إذا ضُرب وقف الخسارة ننتقل للسكالب التالي.
═══════════════
════════════════════════════════════
🧠 تحليل نفسي لسكالب XRP
بروتوكول Azou — مرافقة نفسية
════════════════════════════════════
الوضع : ثلاث مناطق سكالب متتالية
الهدف : تحييد اللعب النفسي قبل الأهداف
════════════════════════════════════
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 2 — منطقة 1.53 – 1.55 $ ════════════════════════════════════
ما سيحدث نفسيًا :
هبوط بطيء يخلق خوفًا تدريجيًا
شعور أن السوق “لن يرتد”
ضغط نفسي يدفع للبيع قرب القاع
المغزى النفسي :
مرحلة تجميع ذكية
إخراج المشترين الضعفاء
التصرف الصحيح :
✔ دخول فقط داخل المنطقة المحددة
✔ لا مطاردة السعر
✔ انتظار الارتداد دون استعجال
════════════════════════════════════
🔹 السكالب 3 — منطقة 1.47 – 1.49 $ ════════════════════════════════════
ما سيحدث نفسيًا :
هبوط مفاجئ وسريع
شموع ذعر قوية
إحساس بأن السوق انهار تمامًا
المغزى النفسي :
آخر مرحلة إخراج جماعي
نهاية الضغط قبل الارتداد التقني
التصرف الصحيح :
✔ دخول هادئ داخل المنطقة
✔ عدم الخوف من الشموع الحمراء
✔ الالتزام بالهدف دون ذعر
════════════════════════════════════
📊 THMP النفسي العام ════════════════════════════════════
مدة الاختبارات النفسية :
من 6 ساعات إلى 36 ساعة
الحركة : تذبذب + ضغط نفسي قبل الارتداد
════════════════════════════════════
📖 الخلاصة ════════════════════════════════════
التذبذب جزء من الخطة
الشموع الحمراء ليست نهاية الحركة
الخوف يظهر قرب مناطق الشراء
الهدوء هو مفتاح الربح
════════════════════════════════════
SIGNATURE
— azoudonpadrino
════════════════════════════════════
#analysis #crypto $XRP
Daisey Vonseggern Wiou:
تسلم الايادي
════════════════════════════════════
🪙 SOL (Solana) — ANALYSE AZOU
════════════════════════════════════
الوضع : فرصة دخول دقيقة
السعر الحالي : ~97
الغرض : دخول واضح + خروج واضح
═
⭐ BUY قياسي محدد
BUY : **79.50 $**
═
⛔ وقف الخسارة (قانوني)
STOP : **71.80 $**
• كسر هذا المستوى = خروج نهائي
• ما دام السعر فوقه → السيناريو حي
═
🎯 أهداف (TP) مرتبة
═
TP1 : **94.00 $**
TP2 : **104.00 $**
TP3 (نهائي) : **120.00 $**
═
⏱️ THMP (الإطار الزمني)
═
✔️ المرحلة الأولى (TP1) : **5 – 12 يومًا**
✔️ المرحلة الثانية (TP2) : **12 – 21 يومًا**
✔️ المرحلة الثالثة (TP3) : **21 – 35 يومًا**
الزمن جزء من الحركة،
ليس عائقًا.
═
🧠 MODE 3 — الانضباط النفسي
═
✔️ لا خروج قبل TP1
✔️ أي تصحيح فوق STOP = فخ نفسي
✔️ الالتزام بالخطة هو مفتاح الربح
═
📖 الخلاصة — AZOU FINAL
═
✔️ الدخول عند **79.50 $**
✔️ السيناريو حي ما دام فوق **71.80 $**
✔️ الأهداف واضحة:
- TP1 (94 $)
- TP2 (104 $)
- TP3 (120 $)
✔️ الحركة محسوبة وفق السعر والزمن
> القرار واضح
> الخطة ثابتة
> الانضباط يصنع الربح
═
#analysis #cryptouniverseofficial $SOL
🪙 SOL (Solana) — ANALYSE AZOU
════════════════════════════════════
الوضع : فرصة دخول دقيقة
السعر الحالي : ~97
الغرض : دخول واضح + خروج واضح
═
⭐ BUY قياسي محدد
BUY : **79.50 $**
═
⛔ وقف الخسارة (قانوني)
STOP : **71.80 $**
• كسر هذا المستوى = خروج نهائي
• ما دام السعر فوقه → السيناريو حي
═
🎯 أهداف (TP) مرتبة
═
TP1 : **94.00 $**
TP2 : **104.00 $**
TP3 (نهائي) : **120.00 $**
═
⏱️ THMP (الإطار الزمني)
═
✔️ المرحلة الأولى (TP1) : **5 – 12 يومًا**
✔️ المرحلة الثانية (TP2) : **12 – 21 يومًا**
✔️ المرحلة الثالثة (TP3) : **21 – 35 يومًا**
الزمن جزء من الحركة،
ليس عائقًا.
═
🧠 MODE 3 — الانضباط النفسي
═
✔️ لا خروج قبل TP1
✔️ أي تصحيح فوق STOP = فخ نفسي
✔️ الالتزام بالخطة هو مفتاح الربح
═
📖 الخلاصة — AZOU FINAL
═
✔️ الدخول عند **79.50 $**
✔️ السيناريو حي ما دام فوق **71.80 $**
✔️ الأهداف واضحة:
- TP1 (94 $)
- TP2 (104 $)
- TP3 (120 $)
✔️ الحركة محسوبة وفق السعر والزمن
> القرار واضح
> الخطة ثابتة
> الانضباط يصنع الربح
═
#analysis #cryptouniverseofficial $SOL
زنكي:
هل تعتقد ان قاع سولانا هو ٧٨؟
$SOL $BTC 🚨 SOLANA (SOL) ANALYSIS: Is the Moon Mission Ready? 🚀
Solana is currently the "talk of the town," but should you jump in now or wait for a dip? Let’s break down the data! 📊
1. The Bullish Narrative 🐂
Ecosystem Growth: Solana’s daily active addresses are hitting record highs. More users = more demand for $SOL .
Institutional Adoption: With talks of a potential Solana ETF in the future, big money is keeping a close eye on this "Ethereum Killer."
Speed & Efficiency: The upcoming Firedancer upgrade is expected to make Solana even faster, fixing previous network congestion issues.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 📉
Immediate Support: $98 - $105. This is a "Golden Zone" for buyers. If it holds here, we expect a strong bounce.
Major Resistance: $125. A breakout above this level could trigger a massive rally toward $150+.
3. The Strategy (NFA) 💡
Don't chase green candles! Look for entries during small pullbacks. Using DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) is the safest way to build a position without stressing over daily volatility.
Final Thoughts:
Solana’s utility in the NFT and Meme coin space makes it a must-watch for 2026.
What’s your price prediction for $SOL this month? 1️⃣ $150 🚀
2️⃣ $80 📉
Drop your vote in the comments! 👇
#BinanceSquareFamily #cryptouniverseofficial #TrendingTopic #UpdateAlert #analysis
Solana is currently the "talk of the town," but should you jump in now or wait for a dip? Let’s break down the data! 📊
1. The Bullish Narrative 🐂
Ecosystem Growth: Solana’s daily active addresses are hitting record highs. More users = more demand for $SOL .
Institutional Adoption: With talks of a potential Solana ETF in the future, big money is keeping a close eye on this "Ethereum Killer."
Speed & Efficiency: The upcoming Firedancer upgrade is expected to make Solana even faster, fixing previous network congestion issues.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 📉
Immediate Support: $98 - $105. This is a "Golden Zone" for buyers. If it holds here, we expect a strong bounce.
Major Resistance: $125. A breakout above this level could trigger a massive rally toward $150+.
3. The Strategy (NFA) 💡
Don't chase green candles! Look for entries during small pullbacks. Using DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) is the safest way to build a position without stressing over daily volatility.
Final Thoughts:
Solana’s utility in the NFT and Meme coin space makes it a must-watch for 2026.
What’s your price prediction for $SOL this month? 1️⃣ $150 🚀
2️⃣ $80 📉
Drop your vote in the comments! 👇
#BinanceSquareFamily #cryptouniverseofficial #TrendingTopic #UpdateAlert #analysis
TRUST (Intuition) — Can the “trust layer” actually move the price?
Current snapshot (early 2026): $TRUST trading around $0.08–$0.09 USDT. Price sits below key moving averages; momentum is weak (RSI in the high-30s, MACD negative), and volume has thinned since the listing pump. That’s the technical baseline — now the question investors care about: where can it go, why, and what will drive it?
The simple thesis
TRUST is a protocol bet, not a meme. Its value depends on whether Intuition becomes the on-chain data/trust layer used by AI and Web3 apps. If it wins real, repeatable demand (queries, staking, fees), token economics and price can work in the token’s favour. If it remains a niche experiment, unlock schedules and investor supply will likely dominate price action.
Technical picture — what price action says right now
Trend: short-term bearish. TRUST is trading under the 7-day and 30-day SMAs; 4H/MACD shows no confirmed reversal.Key support: $0.078–$0.080 (recent swing low). A daily close under $0.075 would be a clear bearish trigger.Key resistance: $0.091–$0.094 (first hurdle), then $0.105–$0.11 (stronger overhead zone). Reclaiming and holding above $0.105 would flip momentum.What to watch on the charts: a MACD cross-up with rising volume, and daily RSI moving above ~50 — these would be the first reliable bullish signs.
Fundamentals that will decide the winner (and the price)
Price won’t sustain a multi-fold move unless these metrics improve:
On-chain usage: daily publishers/query volume — real fees paid in TRUST. Adoption > speculation.Staking & veTRUST uptake: % of circulating supply locked. Higher lock rate = less sellable float.Developer activity & dApps: measurable production apps (marketplaces, identity, AI pipelines) using Intuition.TVL & liquidity: healthy TVL and multiple deep CEX listings (not just launch hype).Token unlock schedule absorption: tokens vesting to the market must be soaked by usage or staking; otherwise, price pressure follows.
If these move positively, price can follow; if not, token unlocks + weak volume will keep weight on TRUST.
Concrete price scenarios (USDT) — realistic, conditional targets
Short term (next 1–3 months) — what matters most: market sentiment & initial adoption
Bear: $0.05–$0.06 — weak market + unlock selling.Base: $0.075–$0.10 — consolidation around the current range as the market digests listings and early growth.Bull: $0.25–$0.30 — only if clear adoption metrics emerge and altcoins rally.
Mid-term (6–18 months) — adoption + macro cycle decide this
Bear: $0.08 — flat/stagnant adoption, heavy unlocks.Base: $0.25 — modest uptake: developer traction, rising queries, steady staking.Bull: $0.50 — strong adoption by AI/data projects, sustained fee revenue, and a broad altcoin bull market.
Probability note: $0.5 within 6–18 months is possible but conditional (~20–30% probability) — needs product-market fit + favorable macro.
End of 2026 (longer view) — the payoff or the trap
Bear (worst realistic): $0.05–$0.06 (if usage stalls, unlocks dominate).Base (most plausible if roadmap executes): $0.15–$0.20 — steady ecosystem growth absorbing some supply.Bull (blue-sky, requires market + adoption): $0.50+ — if Intuition becomes a standard trust layer for high-value AI/Web3 apps.
$1+ is possible long-term only in an extreme narrative + adoption scenario — not the base expectation.
What has to happen for the price to double or triple?
If you want $0.15–$0.30 by year-end or next year, expect to see:
Real query/fee volume ramping month-over-month (not just staking or airdrop traffic).High % of supply locked into veTRUST (meaning less liquid float).Named integrations with AI providers or major dApps actually routing queries and paying fees in TRUST.Sustained CEX volume (not single-day spikes).
Without these, price moves will be fragile and short-lived.
Biggest risks (what can sink the token)
Large scheduled unlocks are hitting the market without absorption.No developer traction — ideas without production.Macro risk/altcoin bust — even strong projects get dragged down when money flees risk assets.Security/governance failures — bugs in staking, bonding-curve mechanics or oracle issues would be immediate catalysts for sell pressure.
How smart traders & holders should act (practical rules)
Traders: keep position size small, avoid leverage, use $0.075 as an emergency guard (tighten stops if it breaks). Look to scalp bounces into $0.09–$0.11 resistance only with strong volume.Long-term holders: DCA into positions during pullbacks; avoid averaging up without on-chain adoption signals. Consider locking a portion in veTRUST if you believe in the long run — locking reduces marketable supply and increases protocol governance power.All: watch the token unlock calendar and weekly developer activity; those two metrics are early warning/confirmation signals.
The bottom line — one sentence
TRUST is a high-upside, execution-dependent infrastructure bet: its path to meaningful price appreciation runs through real on-chain usage, staking uptake, and successful developer adoption — not just listing hype. Trade with discipline; invest only what you can afford to see through months of execution.
#Market_Update #analysis
The simple thesis
TRUST is a protocol bet, not a meme. Its value depends on whether Intuition becomes the on-chain data/trust layer used by AI and Web3 apps. If it wins real, repeatable demand (queries, staking, fees), token economics and price can work in the token’s favour. If it remains a niche experiment, unlock schedules and investor supply will likely dominate price action.
Technical picture — what price action says right now
Trend: short-term bearish. TRUST is trading under the 7-day and 30-day SMAs; 4H/MACD shows no confirmed reversal.Key support: $0.078–$0.080 (recent swing low). A daily close under $0.075 would be a clear bearish trigger.Key resistance: $0.091–$0.094 (first hurdle), then $0.105–$0.11 (stronger overhead zone). Reclaiming and holding above $0.105 would flip momentum.What to watch on the charts: a MACD cross-up with rising volume, and daily RSI moving above ~50 — these would be the first reliable bullish signs.
Fundamentals that will decide the winner (and the price)
Price won’t sustain a multi-fold move unless these metrics improve:
On-chain usage: daily publishers/query volume — real fees paid in TRUST. Adoption > speculation.Staking & veTRUST uptake: % of circulating supply locked. Higher lock rate = less sellable float.Developer activity & dApps: measurable production apps (marketplaces, identity, AI pipelines) using Intuition.TVL & liquidity: healthy TVL and multiple deep CEX listings (not just launch hype).Token unlock schedule absorption: tokens vesting to the market must be soaked by usage or staking; otherwise, price pressure follows.
If these move positively, price can follow; if not, token unlocks + weak volume will keep weight on TRUST.
Concrete price scenarios (USDT) — realistic, conditional targets
Short term (next 1–3 months) — what matters most: market sentiment & initial adoption
Bear: $0.05–$0.06 — weak market + unlock selling.Base: $0.075–$0.10 — consolidation around the current range as the market digests listings and early growth.Bull: $0.25–$0.30 — only if clear adoption metrics emerge and altcoins rally.
Mid-term (6–18 months) — adoption + macro cycle decide this
Bear: $0.08 — flat/stagnant adoption, heavy unlocks.Base: $0.25 — modest uptake: developer traction, rising queries, steady staking.Bull: $0.50 — strong adoption by AI/data projects, sustained fee revenue, and a broad altcoin bull market.
Probability note: $0.5 within 6–18 months is possible but conditional (~20–30% probability) — needs product-market fit + favorable macro.
End of 2026 (longer view) — the payoff or the trap
Bear (worst realistic): $0.05–$0.06 (if usage stalls, unlocks dominate).Base (most plausible if roadmap executes): $0.15–$0.20 — steady ecosystem growth absorbing some supply.Bull (blue-sky, requires market + adoption): $0.50+ — if Intuition becomes a standard trust layer for high-value AI/Web3 apps.
$1+ is possible long-term only in an extreme narrative + adoption scenario — not the base expectation.
What has to happen for the price to double or triple?
If you want $0.15–$0.30 by year-end or next year, expect to see:
Real query/fee volume ramping month-over-month (not just staking or airdrop traffic).High % of supply locked into veTRUST (meaning less liquid float).Named integrations with AI providers or major dApps actually routing queries and paying fees in TRUST.Sustained CEX volume (not single-day spikes).
Without these, price moves will be fragile and short-lived.
Biggest risks (what can sink the token)
Large scheduled unlocks are hitting the market without absorption.No developer traction — ideas without production.Macro risk/altcoin bust — even strong projects get dragged down when money flees risk assets.Security/governance failures — bugs in staking, bonding-curve mechanics or oracle issues would be immediate catalysts for sell pressure.
How smart traders & holders should act (practical rules)
Traders: keep position size small, avoid leverage, use $0.075 as an emergency guard (tighten stops if it breaks). Look to scalp bounces into $0.09–$0.11 resistance only with strong volume.Long-term holders: DCA into positions during pullbacks; avoid averaging up without on-chain adoption signals. Consider locking a portion in veTRUST if you believe in the long run — locking reduces marketable supply and increases protocol governance power.All: watch the token unlock calendar and weekly developer activity; those two metrics are early warning/confirmation signals.
The bottom line — one sentence
TRUST is a high-upside, execution-dependent infrastructure bet: its path to meaningful price appreciation runs through real on-chain usage, staking uptake, and successful developer adoption — not just listing hype. Trade with discipline; invest only what you can afford to see through months of execution.
#Market_Update #analysis
空山寨:
看跌 做空
$BTC Excellent pure completely Tp hit my analysis ❤️💜#ADPWatch #TrumpEndsShutdown #TPHit #analysis #USIranStandoff
My Sniper analysis is on $BTC (4H)
I will go Short if the candle closes below 77,200.
🔴 Short Entry: Below 77,200 close
🎯 Target: 75,800
🛑 Stop Loss: 77,600
Why am I taking this trade?
Price first touched the ERL (External Range Low). ERL is the area where the market takes liquidity. After that, price moved back up and is now looking weak near the IRL and Order Block.
From this area, price often moves down.
If price moves against me and reaches 77,600 I will close the trade. czz is my stop-loss point.
Now I will wait for candle close and
#TrumpEndsShutdown #StrategyBTCPurchase #USIranStandoff #btc70k #Btcsignal
{future}(BTCUSDT)
I will go Short if the candle closes below 77,200.
🔴 Short Entry: Below 77,200 close
🎯 Target: 75,800
🛑 Stop Loss: 77,600
Why am I taking this trade?
Price first touched the ERL (External Range Low). ERL is the area where the market takes liquidity. After that, price moved back up and is now looking weak near the IRL and Order Block.
From this area, price often moves down.
If price moves against me and reaches 77,600 I will close the trade. czz is my stop-loss point.
Now I will wait for candle close and
#TrumpEndsShutdown #StrategyBTCPurchase #USIranStandoff #btc70k #Btcsignal
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ZEC
📊 1H Chart Technical Snapshot
Current Market Context
ZEC is trading below recent short-term averages and has been under short-term bearish pressure (price dropped vs. yesterday).
Indicators on some TA sources show the hourly RSI around neutral–slightly above 50, mixed momentum signals (MACD slightly positive but close to flat).
Trend Structure
1H trend leans neutral to slightly bearish with short-term price below key moving averages in some scans.
However, momentum isn’t deeply oversold, suggesting potential for range play or a bounce rather than free fall.
📈 Key Technical Levels (1H & nearby)
Support Levels (1H / intra-day)
Near support: ~$280–$290 (minor support cluster)
Strong intraday support: $265–$270 — reaction zone seen on recent lower timeframes and pivot clusters.
Resistance Levels
Immediate resistance: ~$310–$312 zone.
Next upside barrier: ~$328–$330 supply area.
Higher resistance cluster: ~$326–$327 daily seller zone.
🎯 Entry & Exit Levels (Example trade setups)
These are illustrative, not financial advice. Always use your own risk management.
🟢 Bullish (Long) Setup
Entry
Aggressive entry: around $270–$275 if price shows bullish reversal candlestick and bounce off support.
Conservative entry: wait for a break & close above $310–$312 on 1H to confirm short-term upside.
Targets
1st target: $310–$312 (minor resistance).
2nd target: $328–$330 zone.
Extended: above $340 only on strong momentum.
Stop-loss
Below $265 (invalidates short bounce attempt).
🔴 Bearish (Short) Setup
Entry
On failure near resistance: $310–$312 rejection on strong wick / volume spike.
Targets
1st downside: $280–$285
2nd downside: $265–$270
Stop-loss
Above $328–$330 if price breaks key sellers.
📌 Summary of Current Bias
Short-term bias: neutral-to-slightly-bearish on 1H, mixed signals.
Key zones to watch today: $270–$275 support, $310–$312 resistance.
#zec #Write2Earn #Market_Update #analysis #TrumpProCrypto
📊 1H Chart Technical Snapshot
Current Market Context
ZEC is trading below recent short-term averages and has been under short-term bearish pressure (price dropped vs. yesterday).
Indicators on some TA sources show the hourly RSI around neutral–slightly above 50, mixed momentum signals (MACD slightly positive but close to flat).
Trend Structure
1H trend leans neutral to slightly bearish with short-term price below key moving averages in some scans.
However, momentum isn’t deeply oversold, suggesting potential for range play or a bounce rather than free fall.
📈 Key Technical Levels (1H & nearby)
Support Levels (1H / intra-day)
Near support: ~$280–$290 (minor support cluster)
Strong intraday support: $265–$270 — reaction zone seen on recent lower timeframes and pivot clusters.
Resistance Levels
Immediate resistance: ~$310–$312 zone.
Next upside barrier: ~$328–$330 supply area.
Higher resistance cluster: ~$326–$327 daily seller zone.
🎯 Entry & Exit Levels (Example trade setups)
These are illustrative, not financial advice. Always use your own risk management.
🟢 Bullish (Long) Setup
Entry
Aggressive entry: around $270–$275 if price shows bullish reversal candlestick and bounce off support.
Conservative entry: wait for a break & close above $310–$312 on 1H to confirm short-term upside.
Targets
1st target: $310–$312 (minor resistance).
2nd target: $328–$330 zone.
Extended: above $340 only on strong momentum.
Stop-loss
Below $265 (invalidates short bounce attempt).
🔴 Bearish (Short) Setup
Entry
On failure near resistance: $310–$312 rejection on strong wick / volume spike.
Targets
1st downside: $280–$285
2nd downside: $265–$270
Stop-loss
Above $328–$330 if price breaks key sellers.
📌 Summary of Current Bias
Short-term bias: neutral-to-slightly-bearish on 1H, mixed signals.
Key zones to watch today: $270–$275 support, $310–$312 resistance.
#zec #Write2Earn #Market_Update #analysis #TrumpProCrypto
🚀 XAG – “Silver At Multi‑Year Momentum Zone: Between 80 Support And 100+ Breakout Dreams” ⚡
Silver (XAG) is trading in the mid‑80s, with spot and CFDs around 86–88, so your 87.9 E1 is almost exactly at current value, right inside a key resistance‑turned‑support band after a strong run from the low‑70s. Recent analyses warn that XAG must defend the 80 area or risk a slide toward 71–60, while futures desks see the new XAGUSDT contracts attracting leveraged flows around these levels, making 87.9 a high‑energy pivot, not a calm discount.
Market context :
Price & structure
Investing.com: XAG/USD currently about 87.4, with today’s range 83.25–88.24.
FXEmpire: silver CFD quoting ~86.8, up around 2.7% on the day.
Coinglass synthetic XAG index: ≈85–86, up ~3%, confirming we are near the top of today’s range but still inside a broader 80–90 band.
Derivatives & narrative
Binance Futures launched XAGUSDT (1 oz per contract, up to 50×) on Jan 7, 2026, bringing large leveraged flows directly into silver.
Entry points:
E1: 87.90
E2: 82.00
E3: 76.00
Target points
TP1: 95.00
TP2: 105.00
TP3 (cycle leg): 120.00
Stop-loss
Stop: 79.00
Below the 80 “must‑defend” support and above the 71–60 longer‑term trendline area.
A daily close under 79 signals that the current bullish leg has failed and the market is likely moving toward the 71–60 macro support zone instead.
XAG = macro hedge + new futures favorite, trading near the top of a volatile 80–90 box:
Ladder entries: 87.90 / 82.00 / 76.00.
Ladder exits: 95.00 / 105.00 / 120.00.
Once TP1 at 95 hits, tighten your stop at least to E1 or 82, so one volatility event in gold and the dollar cannot flip a well‑timed silver momentum trade into a full round‑trip while derivatives traders are battling around the new XAGUSDT contracts.
$XAG
$OG
$ENSO
#analysis #coinanalysis #cryptouniverseofficial #cryptooinsigts #CryptocurrencyWealth
Silver (XAG) is trading in the mid‑80s, with spot and CFDs around 86–88, so your 87.9 E1 is almost exactly at current value, right inside a key resistance‑turned‑support band after a strong run from the low‑70s. Recent analyses warn that XAG must defend the 80 area or risk a slide toward 71–60, while futures desks see the new XAGUSDT contracts attracting leveraged flows around these levels, making 87.9 a high‑energy pivot, not a calm discount.
Market context :
Price & structure
Investing.com: XAG/USD currently about 87.4, with today’s range 83.25–88.24.
FXEmpire: silver CFD quoting ~86.8, up around 2.7% on the day.
Coinglass synthetic XAG index: ≈85–86, up ~3%, confirming we are near the top of today’s range but still inside a broader 80–90 band.
Derivatives & narrative
Binance Futures launched XAGUSDT (1 oz per contract, up to 50×) on Jan 7, 2026, bringing large leveraged flows directly into silver.
Entry points:
E1: 87.90
E2: 82.00
E3: 76.00
Target points
TP1: 95.00
TP2: 105.00
TP3 (cycle leg): 120.00
Stop-loss
Stop: 79.00
Below the 80 “must‑defend” support and above the 71–60 longer‑term trendline area.
A daily close under 79 signals that the current bullish leg has failed and the market is likely moving toward the 71–60 macro support zone instead.
XAG = macro hedge + new futures favorite, trading near the top of a volatile 80–90 box:
Ladder entries: 87.90 / 82.00 / 76.00.
Ladder exits: 95.00 / 105.00 / 120.00.
Once TP1 at 95 hits, tighten your stop at least to E1 or 82, so one volatility event in gold and the dollar cannot flip a well‑timed silver momentum trade into a full round‑trip while derivatives traders are battling around the new XAGUSDT contracts.
$XAG
$OG
$ENSO
#analysis #coinanalysis #cryptouniverseofficial #cryptooinsigts #CryptocurrencyWealth
$BTC /usdt Short Setup (Quick Plan)
Trend: Bearish (4H & Daily)
Resistance: $78,500 – $79,000
Support: $75,300 / $72,900
Entry: $78,400 – $78,800 (after bearish rejection)
Stop Loss: $79,350
Targets:
TP1: $76,000
TP2: $75,000
TP3: $73,200
Confirm With:
RSI rejection, bearish candle, volume spike, EMA/VWAP resistance
Risk: Max 1–2% per trade
Bias: Sell pullbacks in downtrend
#btc70k #BTC #BTC走势分析 #NEW #analysis
?#Analysis $WAL [4H] If the close is above the box, it can pump to the specified target. Otherwise, the analysis will be canceled. Tignal #BinanceSquareTalks #WAL #analysis
$SOL 𝗙𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 🚨👀
Trend is still bearish, but RSI shows bullish divergences sellers are tiring, buyers aren’t in control yet.
📌 Key levels:
Support: $100 - $101, next $96 - $98
Resistance: $106 - $108, then $112 - $115
✅ Strategy:
Wait for price to hold above $108 for a short-term bounce
Or dip buy near $96 - $98 if $100 breaks
Patience wins here don’t chase the candles. 🧠💎
What’s your move on SOL? 💬
#solana #nextmove #market #analysis
$SOL
Trend is still bearish, but RSI shows bullish divergences sellers are tiring, buyers aren’t in control yet.
📌 Key levels:
Support: $100 - $101, next $96 - $98
Resistance: $106 - $108, then $112 - $115
✅ Strategy:
Wait for price to hold above $108 for a short-term bounce
Or dip buy near $96 - $98 if $100 breaks
Patience wins here don’t chase the candles. 🧠💎
What’s your move on SOL? 💬
#solana #nextmove #market #analysis
$SOL
👀 Still scrolling ufff 😂? Pause for 5 seconds
This one might save you a bad trade 👇
$CC Analysis Trend Not Broken
Price did exactly wht structure said it would do.Support held. Trend stayed bullish 📈
🧱 What smart traders are watching:
A clean retest of structure not FOMO entries, not chasing candles.
⏳ Game plan:
• Wait for pullback
• Let structure hold
• Then look for trend-following longs
❌ Buying tops is gambling
✅ Waiting for confirmation is trading
🧠 Professional mindset:
The market pays patience, not emotions.
Read it again.
Then trade it properly i do manage. 😉🚀
#CCcoin #ccusdt #analysis #TrumpProCrypto #AISocialNetworkMoltbook
This one might save you a bad trade 👇
$CC Analysis Trend Not Broken
Price did exactly wht structure said it would do.Support held. Trend stayed bullish 📈
🧱 What smart traders are watching:
A clean retest of structure not FOMO entries, not chasing candles.
⏳ Game plan:
• Wait for pullback
• Let structure hold
• Then look for trend-following longs
❌ Buying tops is gambling
✅ Waiting for confirmation is trading
🧠 Professional mindset:
The market pays patience, not emotions.
Read it again.
Then trade it properly i do manage. 😉🚀
#CCcoin #ccusdt #analysis #TrumpProCrypto #AISocialNetworkMoltbook
BNB (Binance Coin) Market Analysis – What’s Next?
BNB remains one of the strongest utility-driven assets in crypto, backed by the Binance ecosystem. Unlike hype-based tokens, BNB’s demand is tied directly to exchange activity, BNB Chain usage, and quarterly token burns.
Fundamental Outlook
Exchange Utility: Used for trading fee discounts, launchpads, and payments inside Binance.
$BNB Chain Growth: DeFi, GameFi, and AI projects continue to build on BSC, driving on-chain demand.
Token Burns: Regular burns reduce supply, creating long-term deflationary pressure.
Institutional Trust: BNB benefits whenever Binance trading volume spikes.
Technical Perspective
Price often outperforms during market recoveries.
Strong historical support during market corrections.
Breakouts usually follow volume expansion + BTC stability.
Bullish Catalysts
Rising Binance user activity
New BNB Chain upgrades
Increased launchpad & staking demand
Market rotation from memes → utility coins
Risk Factors
Regulatory headlines around centralized exchanges
Broader market corrections led by BTC
Final Take
$BNB is not a “moonshot” coin — it’s a core ecosystem asset. In bullish or sideways markets, BNB historically shows resilience, steady growth, and lower downside risk compared to high-beta altcoins.
📌 Smart money watches BNB when the market shifts from hype to fundamentals.
#bnb #analysis
BNB remains one of the strongest utility-driven assets in crypto, backed by the Binance ecosystem. Unlike hype-based tokens, BNB’s demand is tied directly to exchange activity, BNB Chain usage, and quarterly token burns.
Fundamental Outlook
Exchange Utility: Used for trading fee discounts, launchpads, and payments inside Binance.
$BNB Chain Growth: DeFi, GameFi, and AI projects continue to build on BSC, driving on-chain demand.
Token Burns: Regular burns reduce supply, creating long-term deflationary pressure.
Institutional Trust: BNB benefits whenever Binance trading volume spikes.
Technical Perspective
Price often outperforms during market recoveries.
Strong historical support during market corrections.
Breakouts usually follow volume expansion + BTC stability.
Bullish Catalysts
Rising Binance user activity
New BNB Chain upgrades
Increased launchpad & staking demand
Market rotation from memes → utility coins
Risk Factors
Regulatory headlines around centralized exchanges
Broader market corrections led by BTC
Final Take
$BNB is not a “moonshot” coin — it’s a core ecosystem asset. In bullish or sideways markets, BNB historically shows resilience, steady growth, and lower downside risk compared to high-beta altcoins.
📌 Smart money watches BNB when the market shifts from hype to fundamentals.
#bnb #analysis
XPL just dumped hard but this level really matters 👀📉
Friends After dropping from 0.14, XPL is now hovering around the 0.10 support zone.
Price is still trading below key moving averages, so the trend isn’t bullish yet ⚠️
But here’s the thing.
Selling pressure is slowing, and price is trying to stabilize at this level.
🔹 Hold above 0.10 → short-term bounce possible
🔻 Lose 0.098 → risk of another leg down
This is a wait & watch zone, not a FOMO entry.
Are you buying here or waiting for confirmation? 🤔👇
@Plasma #chart #analysis #Plasma $XPL
Friends After dropping from 0.14, XPL is now hovering around the 0.10 support zone.
Price is still trading below key moving averages, so the trend isn’t bullish yet ⚠️
But here’s the thing.
Selling pressure is slowing, and price is trying to stabilize at this level.
🔹 Hold above 0.10 → short-term bounce possible
🔻 Lose 0.098 → risk of another leg down
This is a wait & watch zone, not a FOMO entry.
Are you buying here or waiting for confirmation? 🤔👇
@Plasma #chart #analysis #Plasma $XPL
O Bitcoin segue em movimento corretivo e pode buscar um novo teste de suporte em uma região extremamente relevante do gráfico mensal.
🔹 O preço pode recuar até a faixa dos US$ 65.480, onde há confluência técnica forte:
• EMA 50 mensal
• Antiga resistência histórica, agora atuando como possível suporte
• Zona de defesa natural de mercado após forte expansão
Esse movimento representaria uma queda adicional de aproximadamente 7% a partir dos níveis atuais ($70.764)
⚠️ Ponto de atenção:
Essa região precisa mostrar reação clara dos compradores. Caso o $BTC perca força e feche abaixo desse nível, o cenário abre espaço para uma correção mais profunda, com alvo na região dos US$ 58.100, próximo a suportes estruturais anteriores.
📌 Resumo do cenário:
• US$ 65.480 → suporte-chave (decisão do mercado)
• Segurou = continuação estrutural de alta
• Perdeu = risco de extensão da correção até US$ 58.100
#btc #analysis #trader #crypto
🔹 O preço pode recuar até a faixa dos US$ 65.480, onde há confluência técnica forte:
• EMA 50 mensal
• Antiga resistência histórica, agora atuando como possível suporte
• Zona de defesa natural de mercado após forte expansão
Esse movimento representaria uma queda adicional de aproximadamente 7% a partir dos níveis atuais ($70.764)
⚠️ Ponto de atenção:
Essa região precisa mostrar reação clara dos compradores. Caso o $BTC perca força e feche abaixo desse nível, o cenário abre espaço para uma correção mais profunda, com alvo na região dos US$ 58.100, próximo a suportes estruturais anteriores.
📌 Resumo do cenário:
• US$ 65.480 → suporte-chave (decisão do mercado)
• Segurou = continuação estrutural de alta
• Perdeu = risco de extensão da correção até US$ 58.100
#btc #analysis #trader #crypto
$XRP #analysis
XRP Price Update and What It Means
Right now XRP is trading around one point six four USD on most major price sites and is down from higher levels seen last week and last month showing clear weakness in the short term .In the recent sessions XRP dropped toward lower end of the range with sellers still in control and price bouncing around key support near one point five five to one point seven five depending on where you look .Technically this tells me price is in a short term downtrend and needs to reclaim levels above one point nine seven before buyers gain meaningful control again If support holds here we could see sideways consolidation before any real move up but if it gives way then lower levels are possible before any reversal . So this is not about crazy targets or hype it is simple price structure what levels matter and where price could go from here
XRP Price Update and What It Means
Right now XRP is trading around one point six four USD on most major price sites and is down from higher levels seen last week and last month showing clear weakness in the short term .In the recent sessions XRP dropped toward lower end of the range with sellers still in control and price bouncing around key support near one point five five to one point seven five depending on where you look .Technically this tells me price is in a short term downtrend and needs to reclaim levels above one point nine seven before buyers gain meaningful control again If support holds here we could see sideways consolidation before any real move up but if it gives way then lower levels are possible before any reversal . So this is not about crazy targets or hype it is simple price structure what levels matter and where price could go from here
$DASH
📈 Current Structure (1H)
On the 1-hour timeframe, DASH has recently trended sideways to slightly bearish, with a neutral-to-slight bullish bias in some indicators. Recent DASH 1H analysis shows neutral short-term momentum and mixed moving averages, making strong directional moves less certain right now.
Daily chart sentiment (from other sources) suggests broader weakness and volatility, including moves below pivot points and oversold signals that could produce short bounces.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch (1H)
These levels act as potential support/resistance areas based on recent short-term technicals and pivot structures:
Support zones (possible bounce areas):
~$38.8–$39.0 — recent local support range from 1H chart data and CoinLore support area.
~$37.5 — psychological level below current price.
Resistance zones (targets or stops):
~$42.6 — recent range resistance on short timeframe.
~$45.0–$46.0 — next layer if price breaks above local resistances.
🕐 Suggested 1H Entry / Exit (Hypothetical Signals)
(This is illustrative, not financial advice — always use your own risk management)
Bullish scenario — if price finds support:
Entry (long): around $38.8–$39.2 (near support).
Take profit targets:
TP1: ~$42.6 (first resistance)
TP2: ~$45.0 (higher breakout target)
Stop loss: below support — ~$37.5
Bearish scenario — if breakdown continues:
Entry (short): below $38.0 break with momentum.
Take profit targets:
TP1: ~$36.0
TP2: ~$34.0
Stop loss: above $39.5–$40.0 resistance area.
📊 Indicator Bias
RSI & Momentum: Generally neutral to slightly bearish in ultra-short term (1H RSI not strongly trending).
MACD / Oscillators: Mixed or flattening — not strongly trending yet.
Volatility: Crypto markets remain volatile; sudden spikes or slides are possible.
#DASH #Write2Earn #Market_Update #analysis #GoldSilverRebound
📈 Current Structure (1H)
On the 1-hour timeframe, DASH has recently trended sideways to slightly bearish, with a neutral-to-slight bullish bias in some indicators. Recent DASH 1H analysis shows neutral short-term momentum and mixed moving averages, making strong directional moves less certain right now.
Daily chart sentiment (from other sources) suggests broader weakness and volatility, including moves below pivot points and oversold signals that could produce short bounces.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch (1H)
These levels act as potential support/resistance areas based on recent short-term technicals and pivot structures:
Support zones (possible bounce areas):
~$38.8–$39.0 — recent local support range from 1H chart data and CoinLore support area.
~$37.5 — psychological level below current price.
Resistance zones (targets or stops):
~$42.6 — recent range resistance on short timeframe.
~$45.0–$46.0 — next layer if price breaks above local resistances.
🕐 Suggested 1H Entry / Exit (Hypothetical Signals)
(This is illustrative, not financial advice — always use your own risk management)
Bullish scenario — if price finds support:
Entry (long): around $38.8–$39.2 (near support).
Take profit targets:
TP1: ~$42.6 (first resistance)
TP2: ~$45.0 (higher breakout target)
Stop loss: below support — ~$37.5
Bearish scenario — if breakdown continues:
Entry (short): below $38.0 break with momentum.
Take profit targets:
TP1: ~$36.0
TP2: ~$34.0
Stop loss: above $39.5–$40.0 resistance area.
📊 Indicator Bias
RSI & Momentum: Generally neutral to slightly bearish in ultra-short term (1H RSI not strongly trending).
MACD / Oscillators: Mixed or flattening — not strongly trending yet.
Volatility: Crypto markets remain volatile; sudden spikes or slides are possible.
#DASH #Write2Earn #Market_Update #analysis #GoldSilverRebound
“This time it’s different”: Bitcoin falls and revives fears of the 4-year cycle
📅 February 4 | Every time Bitcoin falls sharply, the market doesn’t just look at the price: it looks at its past. And that past weighs heavily. The recent correction, which has already erased nearly 40% from the October high, has reignited one of the biggest collective fears in the crypto ecosystem: the infamous four-year cycle, that pattern that in 2018 and 2022 ended in brutal crashes and long winters.
📖Bitcoin is going through one of its most uncomfortable moments in the current cycle. According to Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, the price has fallen by around 40% since its October peak, with an additional 11% loss in the last week alone, amidst a global environment dominated by increased risk aversion.
This type of rapid and profound movement is precisely the fuel that reignites comparisons to the great bear markets of the past.
The irony is that Vetle Lunde has been one of the most consistent critics of the rigid four-year cycle theory. In October, he went so far as to claim that this model was dead.
However, today he admits that market behavior is starting to resemble 2018 and 2022 too closely, not due to a collapse in fundamentals, but because psychology is once again taking over. Fear, memory, and the need to protect past gains are outweighing structural data.
K33 explains that this type of fear can become a self-fulfilling prophecy. When long-term investors reduce their exposure to avoid losing what they've gained, and new capital is held back, selling pressure increases.
The result is a market that behaves as if it's entering a classic bear market, even when underlying conditions are much stronger than in the past.
And therein lies the crucial difference. Unlike in 2018 or 2022, Bitcoin today has a genuine institutional base. There are billions of dollars invested in regulated products, more financial advisors with access to the asset, and traditional banks launching crypto-related services.
Furthermore, the macroeconomic environment is more favorable than before: interest rates are no longer rising aggressively, which reduces pressure on risk assets.
Another crucial point is what is not happening. In 2022, the market plummeted in a chain reaction due to forced deleveraging events: Luna, Three Arrows Capital, BlockFi, Genesis, FTX, and the structural impact of GBTC acted like dominoes. According to K33, there is no comparable systemic risk, making a prolonged 80% collapse in a single year, as in previous cycles, unlikely.
Topic Opinion:
Every generation of investors carries its scars, and Bitcoin is no exception. But while the behavior may seem similar, the structure is different. There is more serious capital, fewer hidden bombs, and a more mature ecosystem. That doesn't eliminate volatility or risk, but it does change the probabilities.
💬 Do you think the four-year cycle still prevails?
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#bitcoin #CryptoCycle #K33 #Analysis #CryptoNews $BTC
📖Bitcoin is going through one of its most uncomfortable moments in the current cycle. According to Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, the price has fallen by around 40% since its October peak, with an additional 11% loss in the last week alone, amidst a global environment dominated by increased risk aversion.
This type of rapid and profound movement is precisely the fuel that reignites comparisons to the great bear markets of the past.
The irony is that Vetle Lunde has been one of the most consistent critics of the rigid four-year cycle theory. In October, he went so far as to claim that this model was dead.
However, today he admits that market behavior is starting to resemble 2018 and 2022 too closely, not due to a collapse in fundamentals, but because psychology is once again taking over. Fear, memory, and the need to protect past gains are outweighing structural data.
K33 explains that this type of fear can become a self-fulfilling prophecy. When long-term investors reduce their exposure to avoid losing what they've gained, and new capital is held back, selling pressure increases.
The result is a market that behaves as if it's entering a classic bear market, even when underlying conditions are much stronger than in the past.
And therein lies the crucial difference. Unlike in 2018 or 2022, Bitcoin today has a genuine institutional base. There are billions of dollars invested in regulated products, more financial advisors with access to the asset, and traditional banks launching crypto-related services.
Furthermore, the macroeconomic environment is more favorable than before: interest rates are no longer rising aggressively, which reduces pressure on risk assets.
Another crucial point is what is not happening. In 2022, the market plummeted in a chain reaction due to forced deleveraging events: Luna, Three Arrows Capital, BlockFi, Genesis, FTX, and the structural impact of GBTC acted like dominoes. According to K33, there is no comparable systemic risk, making a prolonged 80% collapse in a single year, as in previous cycles, unlikely.
Topic Opinion:
Every generation of investors carries its scars, and Bitcoin is no exception. But while the behavior may seem similar, the structure is different. There is more serious capital, fewer hidden bombs, and a more mature ecosystem. That doesn't eliminate volatility or risk, but it does change the probabilities.
💬 Do you think the four-year cycle still prevails?
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#bitcoin #CryptoCycle #K33 #Analysis #CryptoNews $BTC
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