Technicals

  • XRP trades below all six of its key moving averages (Blockchain.News), so the trend is still down.

  • RSI (14, daily): no fresh exact reading; FXStreet (Nov 6) says XRP is nearing oversold territory.

  • Resistance: $1.20 (lost support, now a cap), $1.23, $1.25 (price area during the Nov 1 escrow week), $1.30 (rebound target in crypto.news coverage).

  • Support: $1.16 (key level flagged by analysts, Coin-Turk), $1.15 (Nov 7 squeeze low), $1.00 (psychological), $0.90 (bear target from an analyst cited by The Coin Republic).

Fundamentals and on-chain

  • ETFs: XRP ETFs went a whole week without a single dollar of inflows (Bitcoin.com News); week-45 flows were about −813K XRP, roughly −$1M (XRP Insights).

  • Escrow: Ripple’s regular monthly release unlocked 1B XRP on Nov 1 (crypto.news); price held near $1.25 at the time.

  • RLUSD: Ripple’s stablecoin supply is above $2.5B; Ripple minted about $110.6M of RLUSD on the XRP Ledger after Binance resumed withdrawals following its hack (Coinpaper).

  • Whales: wallets holding 1M+ XRP rose to 2,147, the highest of 2026 (Crypto Briefing).

  • Regulation: Ripple says the “road to clarity ends (for now)” as the CLARITY Act stalls; per CryptoTicker it expires on Jan 3, 2027 unless the Senate acts.

  • Derivatives: liquidations were heavily skewed against longs, a 3,090% imbalance in one window (U.Today); options priced an 8.7% swing into Nov 8 (CryptoTicker). Fresh funding and open-interest numbers: no data found.

  • Macro: Fear & Greed 25 (Extreme Fear, Nov 7); Fed hike odds for Dec 9 about 77% (CME FedWatch via CryptoTicker).

Top news

  1. XRP ETFs record a week with zero inflows, small net outflows for week 45.

  2. A long squeeze pushes XRP to $1.15 on Nov 7.

  3. Ripple says the CLARITY Act effort has stalled for now.

  4. Whale wallets (1M+ XRP) hit a 2026 high of 2,147 despite the drop.

  5. Ripple mints $110M RLUSD as Binance restores XRP withdrawals after its hack.

Forecasts

  • 🟢 Bullish ($1.25–1.30): reclaim $1.20 and $1.23 with ETF inflows returning; whale buying turns into price.

  • ⚪ Base ($1.12–1.23): choppy range just above $1.15 while CPI and Fed data land.

  • 🔴 Bearish ($0.90–1.00): a daily close below $1.15 opens $1.00; an analyst cited by The Coin Republic flags $0.90.

  • Analysts: FXStreet sees XRP near oversold, which could attract dip buyers. CoinGape maps how low XRP could go in November if $1.15 fails. An openPR market note warns of risk to $1.10 if the CLARITY Act expires.

Upcoming events

  • Mon Nov 9, 02:00 — weekly candle close (00:00 UTC).

  • Tue Nov 10, 15:30 — US October CPI (08:30 ET).

  • Wed Nov 18, 21:00 — FOMC minutes (14:00 ET).

  • Tue Dec 1 — next monthly XRP escrow release (time not announced).

Does $1.15–1.16 hold while spot XRP ETFs see no fresh buyers ahead of Tuesday’s US CPI? Leave ur comment's below!

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